美国共和党党内初选1月15日开跑。前总统特朗普旗开得胜，赢得艾奥瓦州初选。在共和党内所有参选人之中，特朗普民意的支持度高达六成。他的民调和现任总统拜登也不相上下。随着他在共和党内的主要竞争对手罗恩·德桑蒂斯宣布退选，特朗普很可能再次代表共和党和拜登一较高下。

英国《经济学人》杂志警告，特朗普是 2024年世界的最大危险。欧洲中央银行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德也表示如果特朗普当选美国总统，对欧洲是个威胁。特朗普卷土重来，引起大家的担忧。他们到底在害怕什么？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和新加坡管理大学李光前商学院副教授傅方剑深入分析特朗普再当选的“优”与“忧”。

延伸阅读：

• 韩咏红：特朗普阴影笼罩2024年
• 金建国：拜登竞选之路崎岖不平

Former President Donald Trump made a triumphant start in his re-election bid by securing a resounding win in the first 2024 Republican presidential contest in Iowa, solidifying his front-runner status in the party. With his main rival, Ron DeSantis, dropping out of the race, Trump looks set to represent the Republican Party in a rematch with the current US President Joe Biden.

The Economist asserts that Trump presents the “biggest danger” to the world in 2024. European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde has also stated that a re-election of Trump as US president would represent a "threat" for Europe.

In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, Associate Professor of Finance from the Singapore Management University’s Lee Kong Chian School of Business, Fu Fangjian, weighs the pros and cons of a second Trump presidency. 

Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.