Don't listening to Fox Sports Radio. Well, that's right, you heard the man that time of week. My name is Bernie Frida. We are coming to your line from the tarrac dot com studios here in Las Vegas, Fox Sports Radio, tyraq dot com. We'll help you get there an unmatched selection, fast free shipping for your road hazard protection and over ten thousand recommend an installers tyrat dot com the way tire buying should be. Well, I would suspicion the good folks at Tuscaloosa between now and ten hours from now, we'll have rope burns from their rosary praying for the best possible outcome. They watched from the sidelines today and now they get to watch from the sideline Sunday to see what the committee decides. And that's what I'm going to attempt to do here in the next five minutes is not tell you who I think should be in or who deserves to be in. I'm going to try to make a prediction as to who the committee will put in. And you know exactly where I'm going with this. Is it going to be Alabama or is it going to be SMU. And so for those who listen, selectively, try not to because I'm gonna check a lot of boxes here for starters. Let's ask you a question that's not a rhetorical question. Would Alabama beat SMU? Yes, yes they would, Yes, yes they would. Would SMU have beaten Georgia this year, LSU or South Carolina or Missouri? No, no, no, they wouldn't have. I don't think so. But BAMA beat Georgia and LSU and South Carolina and Missouri. By the way, SMU lost to Clemson Saturday night. Who lost to Georgia and South Carolina? If you're scoring at home, the cumulative record of Bama's upon was ninety two and fifty two, forty games over five under. The cumulative record of SMUs opponents were eighty three and seventy five. And uh, you know, I get it. Who wore SMU's biggest wins. Louisville pitt Okay had a prior to Saturday. Their lone loss was a three point loss at BYU, a team that up until last week was in the mix for the Big twelve title game. Give it up to SMU. Eleven and two. First year at a brand new conference, they were picked to finish seventh and they defied the odds as it were. So they had a good season. You know, they they made it to their conference champions You get me. SM had a very good season.

Don't listening to Fox Sports Radio. Well, that's right, you heard the man that time of week. My name is Bernie Frida. We are coming to your line from the tarrac dot com studios here in Las Vegas, Fox Sports Radio, tyraq dot com. We'll help you get there an unmatched selection, fast free shipping for your road hazard protection and over ten thousand recommend an installers tyrat dot com the way tire buying should be. Well, I would suspicion the good folks at Tuscaloosa between now and ten hours from now, we'll have rope burns from their rosary praying for the best possible outcome. They watched from the sidelines today and now they get to watch from the sideline Sunday to see what the committee decides. And that's what I'm going to attempt to do here in the next five minutes is not tell you who I think should be in or who deserves to be in. I'm going to try to make a prediction as to who the committee will put in. And you know exactly where I'm going with this. Is it going to be Alabama or is it going to be SMU. And so for those who listen, selectively, try not to because I'm gonna check a lot of boxes here for starters. Let's ask you a question that's not a rhetorical question. Would Alabama beat SMU? Yes, yes they would, Yes, yes they would. Would SMU have beaten Georgia this year, LSU or South Carolina or Missouri? No, no, no, they wouldn't have. I don't think so. But BAMA beat Georgia and LSU and South Carolina and Missouri. By the way, SMU lost to Clemson Saturday night. Who lost to Georgia and South Carolina? If you're scoring at home, the cumulative record of Bama's upon was ninety two and fifty two, forty games over five under. The cumulative record of SMUs opponents were eighty three and seventy five. And uh, you know, I get it. Who wore SMU's biggest wins. Louisville pitt Okay had a prior to Saturday. Their lone loss was a three point loss at BYU, a team that up until last week was in the mix for the Big twelve title game. Give it up to SMU. Eleven and two. First year at a brand new conference, they were picked to finish seventh and they defied the odds as it were. So they had a good season. You know, they they made it to their conference champions You get me. SM had a very good season.

You know.

You know.

By the way, SME doesn't have a quote bad loss like Alabama's twenty four to three defeat to Oklahoma on their resume. Matter of fact, Bama finished for three losses, but again they have a win over the SEC champ Georgia, plus Missouri, LSU, and South Cairline. All those teams had at least eight wins this season. See, I don't really want to hear about bad losses because if you're gonna tell me about bad losses, that means there's good losses. And there's no such thing as a good loss. A good loss is like a good kidney stone. But here's the issue and where I think the committee is going with this, and before I before I get to that, I want to just talk something and about this laughable SEC hate that people are just dying to hate the SEC just because and they're living in the past, they're living on a reputation. And in case you missed it, on current NFL rosters the SEC, there are four hundred and thirty nine SEC players on current NFL rosters more than any other conference. And it's not close. Fourteen of the last twenty national champions came from the SEC. By the way, if you want to go back to ninety eight, the SEC has not only been a conference that's routinely won the national championship, They've had five different teams do it. Tennessee did it, Ulics, you did it, Florida did it. Alabama and Auburn have all done it. Even conferences like the Big Ten. Finally Michigan got through last year, but only Ohio State Michigan. You get the picture early. You know, let's not go down that road because we're going to convoluted and the people who listen selective leader are going to think I'm you know, some SEC hank and I'm not. I try to keep it real here. A lot of people make predictions and based on who they hope will win, or what they think should happen, or what would best serve their lives if it happened. There are objective truths in our personal feelings when it comes to these five minutes here, we're dealing with objective truths, all right. And if the conference championship games mean nothing anymore. Well, that's as wrong as rain I'm opening day. There has to be some semblance of importance to these games, if not even for seeding. You know, obviously you know the BYU or checked at the Boise State UNLV game in a lot the winner was going to the playoffs, the loser goes to a different bowl game. Same thing with Arizona State and Iowa State. And I guarantee you at Clemson lost Saturday night, the committee was not going to take a four loss team. So the games do matter, and they also can set up buys, and they also can set up you know, seeding and a home game or all sorts of different things. So I don't really care what ward Manuel said during last Tuesday's ranking show. I guess you know. For me, it's clear Alabama played a solid schedule. Finishing nine to three is commendable. The road loss to Vanderbilt's understandable. The Commodores are a much improved team. I realized that twenty four to three to loss to Oklahoma, it features Alabama's lowest Alabama's lowest point total since two thousand and four, is a bad optic. There's a bad optic, and you know SMU was largely dominated Saturday night until they came up with seventeen fourth quarter points, fought incredibly hard late against a good, not great good Kennon three Clemson team almost took it to overtime. Almost almost doesn't mean much. So where the hell am I going with this? Who's it going to be SMU or Alabama? Not what I think it should be, not who I'm predicting it might be. I'm going to try to read the mind. And it's against the law to practice psychology without a license of the committee. And when I get up Sunday morning and we are all in front of our TV, I believe I believe the number twelve seed will be the SMU Mustangs. That's who I believe the committee will pick. And here's what I think it's going to look like. Your first round byes will be organ as your number one seed, right on schedule. Thank you, Penn State. I bet two and a half units on that game. We'll have feather gun here in about ten minutes. There's no value in a torn up ticket. I'm not going to take a picture lap. You know how I felt about Penn State. James Franklin's only one in seventeen now against top five teams. Goregon's the fastest team in the world. Forget it's stupid, come on, stupid. I'm surprised they got with an eight. Georgia will be the number two seed, well deserve. We're going to talk about them a little later. I'm not saying listen, this team's got the DNA, this defense, there's no question their defense is worthy of a national title. I know they'll be questions about a shaky offense, but when you know the fourth quarter, in the final five minutes roll around and the situation demand's greatness, Kirby Smart and his crew they're great, and they did with a backup quarterback. So I think O're going to be one. Georgia two, Boise State three, Arizona State fourth. All these teams seem pretty straightforward. Remember, Boise State started the weekend five spots ahead of Arizona State, and then they beat in UNLB by two touchdowns Friday night in the Mountain West Conference title game. Meanwhile, Arizona State dominated Iowa State in the Big twelve title game, and they were two spots ahead of Clemson in Tuesday's rankings. Clemson did not do enough to get a first round by and Boise State will probably stay ahead of Arizona State because they started out to day ahead of Arizona State and they won by fourteen in their conference championship game. So when December twentieth rows around, you'll have I believe number twelve SMU at eleven and two the at large team face at number five Texas the at large team. I think you have number eleven Clemson, the a SEC champion, traveled at Penn State as an at large team. The eleven six matchup SMU Texas will be the twelve five matchup. Indiana will be tenth. I know, Kurt Signetty's all pissed off because you're gonna have to go to Notre Dame and play the Notre Dame fighting Irish as the number seven seed. They're both eleven and one. Just go there and beat him, Kurt, I don't what the hell is everybody talking about right front team got COVID. We're gonna shut up. Just play the games on the field. Jesus number nine, Tennessee, they'll be the ten and two at large. They're dangerous. They visit Ohio State number eight and tell me every one of these games don't have just a phenomenal storyline. Really, SMU, they can validate their selection by beating Texas. Meanwhile, Texas is they haven't didn't meet the top twenty five team all year, sam U's twelfth, here's their chance. I thought, I thought Steve Sarkisan did an outstanding job though Clemson Dabosweeney sticks in. Can can James Franklin win a meaningful game? That's it? You know, Indiana, you know they've suffered from this inferiority complex that everybody's ripping them right and left. I think Doug Elif said they should even be in the playoffs where they get to play Notre Dame, which will be a phenomenal in state game at Notre Dame. That'd be a hell of a program builder to beat them, you know, wouldn't be good for Notre Dame's coach, but they've had a good year in the Ohio State Ryan Day. Can you imagine if he's won and done. It's Tennessee teams for real. Things are going to be interesting, right and some of these head to head results are going to bring storylines along with it. So there you have it. It doesn't matter what I think it doesn't matter theoretically who would be who if they played. Do I think Alabama would be at SMU on a neutral absolutely, but the fifths and butts for candy and nuts. You'll all have a merry Christmas, which is what just seventeen eighteen days away now. So that's my prediction that I predict the comedee. We'll pick SMU for the reasons I just gave, and we shall see what we shall see coming up. Get your pens and pencils ready. You'll be drinking from a fire hose. Fez. We'll be talking a lot of NFL. But he wants to revisit the college plays he made last week and I got I tried to warn him on Penn State, but I was unsuccessful. Football fans, be sure to tune into Fox Sports Radio every Sunday morning, beginning at ten am Eastern seven am Pacific for Countdown to Kickoff, presented by betmgm, Brian No, Jeff Schwartz, and professional better Bill Krackman Krackenberger, My buddy will have you covered three hours before kickoff. Every Sunday morning, listen to Countdown to Kickoff, presented by bettmgm. Right here on Fox Sports Radio in the iHeart Radio app, I'm Bernie fraddlew We're coming to line from the Las Vegas Fox Sports Radio TIREC dot com studios. Keep it locked. You listened to the Bernie Fradle Show on Fox Sports Radio.

By the way, SME doesn't have a quote bad loss like Alabama's twenty four to three defeat to Oklahoma on their resume. Matter of fact, Bama finished for three losses, but again they have a win over the SEC champ Georgia, plus Missouri, LSU, and South Cairline. All those teams had at least eight wins this season. See, I don't really want to hear about bad losses because if you're gonna tell me about bad losses, that means there's good losses. And there's no such thing as a good loss. A good loss is like a good kidney stone. But here's the issue and where I think the committee is going with this, and before I before I get to that, I want to just talk something and about this laughable SEC hate that people are just dying to hate the SEC just because and they're living in the past, they're living on a reputation. And in case you missed it, on current NFL rosters the SEC, there are four hundred and thirty nine SEC players on current NFL rosters more than any other conference. And it's not close. Fourteen of the last twenty national champions came from the SEC. By the way, if you want to go back to ninety eight, the SEC has not only been a conference that's routinely won the national championship, They've had five different teams do it. Tennessee did it, Ulics, you did it, Florida did it. Alabama and Auburn have all done it. Even conferences like the Big Ten. Finally Michigan got through last year, but only Ohio State Michigan. You get the picture early. You know, let's not go down that road because we're going to convoluted and the people who listen selective leader are going to think I'm you know, some SEC hank and I'm not. I try to keep it real here. A lot of people make predictions and based on who they hope will win, or what they think should happen, or what would best serve their lives if it happened. There are objective truths in our personal feelings when it comes to these five minutes here, we're dealing with objective truths, all right. And if the conference championship games mean nothing anymore. Well, that's as wrong as rain I'm opening day. There has to be some semblance of importance to these games, if not even for seeding. You know, obviously you know the BYU or checked at the Boise State UNLV game in a lot the winner was going to the playoffs, the loser goes to a different bowl game. Same thing with Arizona State and Iowa State. And I guarantee you at Clemson lost Saturday night, the committee was not going to take a four loss team. So the games do matter, and they also can set up buys, and they also can set up you know, seeding and a home game or all sorts of different things. So I don't really care what ward Manuel said during last Tuesday's ranking show. I guess you know. For me, it's clear Alabama played a solid schedule. Finishing nine to three is commendable. The road loss to Vanderbilt's understandable. The Commodores are a much improved team. I realized that twenty four to three to loss to Oklahoma, it features Alabama's lowest Alabama's lowest point total since two thousand and four, is a bad optic. There's a bad optic, and you know SMU was largely dominated Saturday night until they came up with seventeen fourth quarter points, fought incredibly hard late against a good, not great good Kennon three Clemson team almost took it to overtime. Almost almost doesn't mean much. So where the hell am I going with this? Who's it going to be SMU or Alabama? Not what I think it should be, not who I'm predicting it might be. I'm going to try to read the mind. And it's against the law to practice psychology without a license of the committee. And when I get up Sunday morning and we are all in front of our TV, I believe I believe the number twelve seed will be the SMU Mustangs. That's who I believe the committee will pick. And here's what I think it's going to look like. Your first round byes will be organ as your number one seed, right on schedule. Thank you, Penn State. I bet two and a half units on that game. We'll have feather gun here in about ten minutes. There's no value in a torn up ticket. I'm not going to take a picture lap. You know how I felt about Penn State. James Franklin's only one in seventeen now against top five teams. Goregon's the fastest team in the world. Forget it's stupid, come on, stupid. I'm surprised they got with an eight. Georgia will be the number two seed, well deserve. We're going to talk about them a little later. I'm not saying listen, this team's got the DNA, this defense, there's no question their defense is worthy of a national title. I know they'll be questions about a shaky offense, but when you know the fourth quarter, in the final five minutes roll around and the situation demand's greatness, Kirby Smart and his crew they're great, and they did with a backup quarterback. So I think O're going to be one. Georgia two, Boise State three, Arizona State fourth. All these teams seem pretty straightforward. Remember, Boise State started the weekend five spots ahead of Arizona State, and then they beat in UNLB by two touchdowns Friday night in the Mountain West Conference title game. Meanwhile, Arizona State dominated Iowa State in the Big twelve title game, and they were two spots ahead of Clemson in Tuesday's rankings. Clemson did not do enough to get a first round by and Boise State will probably stay ahead of Arizona State because they started out to day ahead of Arizona State and they won by fourteen in their conference championship game. So when December twentieth rows around, you'll have I believe number twelve SMU at eleven and two the at large team face at number five Texas the at large team. I think you have number eleven Clemson, the a SEC champion, traveled at Penn State as an at large team. The eleven six matchup SMU Texas will be the twelve five matchup. Indiana will be tenth. I know, Kurt Signetty's all pissed off because you're gonna have to go to Notre Dame and play the Notre Dame fighting Irish as the number seven seed. They're both eleven and one. Just go there and beat him, Kurt, I don't what the hell is everybody talking about right front team got COVID. We're gonna shut up. Just play the games on the field. Jesus number nine, Tennessee, they'll be the ten and two at large. They're dangerous. They visit Ohio State number eight and tell me every one of these games don't have just a phenomenal storyline. Really, SMU, they can validate their selection by beating Texas. Meanwhile, Texas is they haven't didn't meet the top twenty five team all year, sam U's twelfth, here's their chance. I thought, I thought Steve Sarkisan did an outstanding job though Clemson Dabosweeney sticks in. Can can James Franklin win a meaningful game? That's it? You know, Indiana, you know they've suffered from this inferiority complex that everybody's ripping them right and left. I think Doug Elif said they should even be in the playoffs where they get to play Notre Dame, which will be a phenomenal in state game at Notre Dame. That'd be a hell of a program builder to beat them, you know, wouldn't be good for Notre Dame's coach, but they've had a good year in the Ohio State Ryan Day. Can you imagine if he's won and done. It's Tennessee teams for real. Things are going to be interesting, right and some of these head to head results are going to bring storylines along with it. So there you have it. It doesn't matter what I think it doesn't matter theoretically who would be who if they played. Do I think Alabama would be at SMU on a neutral absolutely, but the fifths and butts for candy and nuts. You'll all have a merry Christmas, which is what just seventeen eighteen days away now. So that's my prediction that I predict the comedee. We'll pick SMU for the reasons I just gave, and we shall see what we shall see coming up. Get your pens and pencils ready. You'll be drinking from a fire hose. Fez. We'll be talking a lot of NFL. But he wants to revisit the college plays he made last week and I got I tried to warn him on Penn State, but I was unsuccessful. Football fans, be sure to tune into Fox Sports Radio every Sunday morning, beginning at ten am Eastern seven am Pacific for Countdown to Kickoff, presented by betmgm, Brian No, Jeff Schwartz, and professional better Bill Krackman Krackenberger, My buddy will have you covered three hours before kickoff. Every Sunday morning, listen to Countdown to Kickoff, presented by bettmgm. Right here on Fox Sports Radio in the iHeart Radio app, I'm Bernie fraddlew We're coming to line from the Las Vegas Fox Sports Radio TIREC dot com studios. Keep it locked. You listened to the Bernie Fradle Show on Fox Sports Radio.

Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at foxsports Radio dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to listen live.

Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at foxsports Radio dot com and within the iHeartRadio app search FSR to listen live.

All right back at the Bernie Fraddle Show Fox Sports Radio. Just hours away from Week fourteen of the National Football League, the resumption after that Baffo Thursday night game between Green Bay and Detroit. And you know him, you love me Candle without him. He joined this during football season, during this time slot every Saturday night. Yep, it's time the time, It's the physick fly. These are the five things.

All right back at the Bernie Fraddle Show Fox Sports Radio. Just hours away from Week fourteen of the National Football League, the resumption after that Baffo Thursday night game between Green Bay and Detroit. And you know him, you love me Candle without him. He joined this during football season, during this time slot every Saturday night. Yep, it's time the time, It's the physick fly. These are the five things.

You need to hear about. No with the only back Toup Back Hilton Super Contest winner Steve Zig Here's Bernie Fredo.

You need to hear about. No with the only back Toup Back Hilton Super Contest winner Steve Zig Here's Bernie Fredo.

All right, fez, So, I know there are multiple NFL teams on buy this week, but be that as it may, there's actually several plays I like you'll get to. But I think you wanted to have a quick recap analysis of the conference champion college football games based on some wagers place heading into today. So why don't you take it away?

All right, fez, So, I know there are multiple NFL teams on buy this week, but be that as it may, there's actually several plays I like you'll get to. But I think you wanted to have a quick recap analysis of the conference champion college football games based on some wagers place heading into today. So why don't you take it away?

Oh my goodness, MC clients are going to kill me. Went onen four today, Bernie on college football plays, I gave out and three and four I gave out early in the weekend. You know, Closing line value CLV. We talk about it all the time, and closing line value crashed. And for me, I had Texas minus one twenty five. They could have gotten there, but they didn't. I had SMU plus one. They closed minus three. They could have won, but they didn't. And probably the one I regret the most. But as we've discussed in pre production, I penn Stay plus four and it closed three. And of course James Franklin can't win the big game. But you know, at some point you get you beat the closing number game after game, you're going to win. Where So they say, I'm starting to question that at least this year.

Oh my goodness, MC clients are going to kill me. Went onen four today, Bernie on college football plays, I gave out and three and four I gave out early in the weekend. You know, Closing line value CLV. We talk about it all the time, and closing line value crashed. And for me, I had Texas minus one twenty five. They could have gotten there, but they didn't. I had SMU plus one. They closed minus three. They could have won, but they didn't. And probably the one I regret the most. But as we've discussed in pre production, I penn Stay plus four and it closed three. And of course James Franklin can't win the big game. But you know, at some point you get you beat the closing number game after game, you're going to win. Where So they say, I'm starting to question that at least this year.

I am, Well, there's a half seg so you want to be a gambler. I would say this. I know you're an NFL expert college I might have the edge on you because I've been doing it so long, But you just have a different situation than coms fence and one side of the ball. You got better athletes no matter who's playing, and maybe I got good closing line value. I actually got some freeze yesterday Organs legs three if I had two and a half units time. So there's marble fade on James Franklin. I mean, it's just death taxes and James Franklin. Well, we'll just leave it there. Any final thoughts about the upcoming twelve team playoff and who you might like?

I am, Well, there's a half seg so you want to be a gambler. I would say this. I know you're an NFL expert college I might have the edge on you because I've been doing it so long, But you just have a different situation than coms fence and one side of the ball. You got better athletes no matter who's playing, and maybe I got good closing line value. I actually got some freeze yesterday Organs legs three if I had two and a half units time. So there's marble fade on James Franklin. I mean, it's just death taxes and James Franklin. Well, we'll just leave it there. Any final thoughts about the upcoming twelve team playoff and who you might like?

Oh, you know, and it's so freaking frustrating because of course I like Oregon Minas three also, but I can't go back to my clients and tell them late three when I told them to take four man, that's a very profitable middle and heck, the wrong game landed three because Smooth wound up landing three. Thoughts. I think there's a.

Oh, you know, and it's so freaking frustrating because of course I like Oregon Minas three also, but I can't go back to my clients and tell them late three when I told them to take four man, that's a very profitable middle and heck, the wrong game landed three because Smooth wound up landing three. Thoughts. I think there's a.

Debate that's who was a favorite, so that doesn't count.

Debate that's who was a favorite, so that doesn't count.

Should should SMU be in? SMU opened up a minus one thousand favorite to be in. They're down to only like a minus three fifty. This is the DraftKings. I think this is a ludicrous because SMU played well today, So you've got an eleven and one team versus a nine and three Alabama team, And you really can't doc SMU that much for losing basically playing almost on the road against Clemson and they very close game. It would be a travesty. The best example I can give, let's assume Bernie I'm in. I'm they made me king, and I'm in charge of putting teams in, and I put in Alabama over SMU. I would never get another job in this country. I'd be just ridiculed for completely incompetent guys stupid. And yet somehow we're still worried. The odds are saying there's a viable chance that they're going to sell out and put Alabama in.

Should should SMU be in? SMU opened up a minus one thousand favorite to be in. They're down to only like a minus three fifty. This is the DraftKings. I think this is a ludicrous because SMU played well today, So you've got an eleven and one team versus a nine and three Alabama team, And you really can't doc SMU that much for losing basically playing almost on the road against Clemson and they very close game. It would be a travesty. The best example I can give, let's assume Bernie I'm in. I'm they made me king, and I'm in charge of putting teams in, and I put in Alabama over SMU. I would never get another job in this country. I'd be just ridiculed for completely incompetent guys stupid. And yet somehow we're still worried. The odds are saying there's a viable chance that they're going to sell out and put Alabama in.

No, that's well stated. I don't know if you've heard my opening. It's difficult to get in the mind of the committee, but I'm fairly certain they will put SMU in. Would Alabama beat SMU, Yes, they would. Would SMU beat Georgia, Missouri, LSU, or South Carolina all those teams at eight wins, No, I don't think they would. Bama did that, and Bama num Ley did that. Georgia and South Carolina'd be cleansing the team. SMU lost to tonight, but SMU got to the conference championship game, and they're going to stay true to their model and this and this is just it's made for TV event. They do the best they can, we're all gonna be watching. I just think Alabama is gonna be left out here? Would I leave them out?

No, that's well stated. I don't know if you've heard my opening. It's difficult to get in the mind of the committee, but I'm fairly certain they will put SMU in. Would Alabama beat SMU, Yes, they would. Would SMU beat Georgia, Missouri, LSU, or South Carolina all those teams at eight wins, No, I don't think they would. Bama did that, and Bama num Ley did that. Georgia and South Carolina'd be cleansing the team. SMU lost to tonight, but SMU got to the conference championship game, and they're going to stay true to their model and this and this is just it's made for TV event. They do the best they can, we're all gonna be watching. I just think Alabama is gonna be left out here? Would I leave them out?

No?

No?

They're the better team. You'd agree they're the better team, right, Faz.

They're the better team. You'd agree they're the better team, right, Faz.

Yes, But if we're going to take the twelve best teams, we just called Brad Powers and say just send me your power ratings, it's the teams that have the twelve best seasons that those are the teams that should make the playoffs.

Yes, But if we're going to take the twelve best teams, we just called Brad Powers and say just send me your power ratings, it's the teams that have the twelve best seasons that those are the teams that should make the playoffs.

Yeah.

Yeah.

No, And that's essentially what they're doing. And it begins with championship based performance. So if you're the Big ten champ or the SEC champ, or the Big twelve or the Mountain West of the ACC, you're getting in. And three of those five who got to the championship game and yet lost like a Texas, like a Penn State, et cetera, they're getting in as well. All right, let's move on to the NFL, FAZ, because there's actually some games that I really like this week, and I want to get your thoughts and then we'll get your best bets. I want to start with Jaguars Titans. The Titans are a team that can't find there. Took us with both hands. They're laying four points, They're owing five at home this year against the number. As a dog every time one in seven is their last eight games. You dress them up as a favorite. And I'm not a Max Jones hater. I grab Jacksonville And for your thoughts on this game, yeah.

No, And that's essentially what they're doing. And it begins with championship based performance. So if you're the Big ten champ or the SEC champ, or the Big twelve or the Mountain West of the ACC, you're getting in. And three of those five who got to the championship game and yet lost like a Texas, like a Penn State, et cetera, they're getting in as well. All right, let's move on to the NFL, FAZ, because there's actually some games that I really like this week, and I want to get your thoughts and then we'll get your best bets. I want to start with Jaguars Titans. The Titans are a team that can't find there. Took us with both hands. They're laying four points, They're owing five at home this year against the number. As a dog every time one in seven is their last eight games. You dress them up as a favorite. And I'm not a Max Jones hater. I grab Jacksonville And for your thoughts on this game, yeah.

Down to three point twenty five. The market absolutely agrees with you. My power ratings actually would lean to Tennessee. But my power ratings are wrong because they're not incorporating enough. How Will Levis does not take care of the ball. And the special teams are so bad to the Titans. This team gives up so many defensive special teams touchdowns and Jaguars are still playing hard. I got nothing on this game.

Down to three point twenty five. The market absolutely agrees with you. My power ratings actually would lean to Tennessee. But my power ratings are wrong because they're not incorporating enough. How Will Levis does not take care of the ball. And the special teams are so bad to the Titans. This team gives up so many defensive special teams touchdowns and Jaguars are still playing hard. I got nothing on this game.

I passed so Panthers, Eagles. I'm seeing four teams out there. Are we in agreement? There are four teams you can grab now.

I passed so Panthers, Eagles. I'm seeing four teams out there. Are we in agreement? There are four teams you can grab now.

There were not anymore, but there will be tomorrow. It's painted thirteen and a half. But if you just be cool and you wait it out, you'll get fourteen.

There were not anymore, but there will be tomorrow. It's painted thirteen and a half. But if you just be cool and you wait it out, you'll get fourteen.

I know, well I got it earlier today, and I know we're going to be on the opposite sides of this, fez, but hear me out. You know I feel about double digit lines. And let's not forget the Eagles are zero and five against the spread in their last five games as a double digit favorite. All of a sudden, here come to town, the plucky Carolina Panthers and Cuba Hubbard, Bryce Young who's finding new life. They've covered four in a row. And who do the Eagles play next week? They play in state rival Pittsburgh. So I grab the fourteen for multiple reasons. We'll see what happens. The Eagles have been a double digit favorite twice this year, didn't cover either time. I know you're on the opposite side. To go ahead and make your case.

I know, well I got it earlier today, and I know we're going to be on the opposite sides of this, fez, but hear me out. You know I feel about double digit lines. And let's not forget the Eagles are zero and five against the spread in their last five games as a double digit favorite. All of a sudden, here come to town, the plucky Carolina Panthers and Cuba Hubbard, Bryce Young who's finding new life. They've covered four in a row. And who do the Eagles play next week? They play in state rival Pittsburgh. So I grab the fourteen for multiple reasons. We'll see what happens. The Eagles have been a double digit favorite twice this year, didn't cover either time. I know you're on the opposite side. To go ahead and make your case.

Well, I played the Eagles first half. This is available. Draftings miss seven minus one twenty because a team that's laying fourteen should not be laying seven on the first half.

Well, I played the Eagles first half. This is available. Draftings miss seven minus one twenty because a team that's laying fourteen should not be laying seven on the first half.

That's just lay later and right now, yeah be later, yeah yeah.

That's just lay later and right now, yeah be later, yeah yeah.

At least eight exactly. So that's just it's just not being priced correctly. There have been enough fourteen point favorites this year for the makers get it right. So I just if you're about the Eagles, I would play it that way. I can't imagine that Hurts is going to be running in the fourth quarter if the Eagles are up twelve, by example, So I mean, when am I ever going to disagree with taking plus fourteen? But the ability bet I made on the game with the Eagles.

At least eight exactly. So that's just it's just not being priced correctly. There have been enough fourteen point favorites this year for the makers get it right. So I just if you're about the Eagles, I would play it that way. I can't imagine that Hurts is going to be running in the fourth quarter if the Eagles are up twelve, by example, So I mean, when am I ever going to disagree with taking plus fourteen? But the ability bet I made on the game with the Eagles.

First half, Oh okay, I'm okay, very good. For some reason, I thought you you had liked the Eagles minus twelve and a half on the sand off line, But I stand corrected. Anyway, I like those two plays. Let's talk about the Falcons and Vikings. Kirk Cousins and the Falcons will never get any of my money. However, there's an interesting factoid here, Fez. When Cousins loses two games in a row, he's six to zero against the number in their third game, and I believe they're catching what five and a half Atlanta? What's the number in Minnesota?

First half, Oh okay, I'm okay, very good. For some reason, I thought you you had liked the Eagles minus twelve and a half on the sand off line, But I stand corrected. Anyway, I like those two plays. Let's talk about the Falcons and Vikings. Kirk Cousins and the Falcons will never get any of my money. However, there's an interesting factoid here, Fez. When Cousins loses two games in a row, he's six to zero against the number in their third game, and I believe they're catching what five and a half Atlanta? What's the number in Minnesota?

Yeah, it's up to six. You know. It is interesting because I'll argue that, well, Kirk Cousins doesn't play in the NFL anymore. There's this impost that can't throw the ball any further than I can, and I'm a sixty one year old former chess master, so great candidate master.

Yeah, it's up to six. You know. It is interesting because I'll argue that, well, Kirk Cousins doesn't play in the NFL anymore. There's this impost that can't throw the ball any further than I can, and I'm a sixty one year old former chess master, so great candidate master.

Sorry, so.

Sorry, so.

You've got a revenge game. Normally expect the quarterback with the revenge coming back to his old stomping grounds is going to have a big game. But I mean literally, he can't throw the ball, so I can only look towards Minnesota.

You've got a revenge game. Normally expect the quarterback with the revenge coming back to his old stomping grounds is going to have a big game. But I mean literally, he can't throw the ball, so I can only look towards Minnesota.

H I'm not going to be involved in that game whatsoever. Now, if you played Boris Spasky, what would be the line? Would you be? Like minus one sixty?

H I'm not going to be involved in that game whatsoever. Now, if you played Boris Spasky, what would be the line? Would you be? Like minus one sixty?

You know, I'm glad you brought this up because famously, I'm the guy that lost to on the Purdue money line Bobby Fisher. But Bobby Fisher could play me one million times and he would beat me one million times when there's that much of a disparity between chess players. Just like I could play like like like a random you know, person that just doesn't that's never studied, and I would literally win every single game because there's just no luck in.

You know, I'm glad you brought this up because famously, I'm the guy that lost to on the Purdue money line Bobby Fisher. But Bobby Fisher could play me one million times and he would beat me one million times when there's that much of a disparity between chess players. Just like I could play like like like a random you know, person that just doesn't that's never studied, and I would literally win every single game because there's just no luck in.

Chess, right right, Well, you got to be you got to protect that queen says, you got to protect queen the king. The king well, ultimately, but once you lose your how many how many chess matches. Do you win when you lose your queen first zero against the good thing? Thank you, thank you very much. Good night, folks. You be a great audience, all right, fez on, we do it all here on the show. Right. The Dolphins, we know they're bump slayers fourteen and four against the number and their last eight team at home when they are favored by six, are more they're favored against. They're favored by six against the Jets. I feel like the Jets have mailed it in. No breeze Hall, no sauce, gardener, Fez need I say more. It feels like this is a twenty eight to thirteen game in the waiting your thoughts, I.

Chess, right right, Well, you got to be you got to protect that queen says, you got to protect queen the king. The king well, ultimately, but once you lose your how many how many chess matches. Do you win when you lose your queen first zero against the good thing? Thank you, thank you very much. Good night, folks. You be a great audience, all right, fez on, we do it all here on the show. Right. The Dolphins, we know they're bump slayers fourteen and four against the number and their last eight team at home when they are favored by six, are more they're favored against. They're favored by six against the Jets. I feel like the Jets have mailed it in. No breeze Hall, no sauce, gardener, Fez need I say more. It feels like this is a twenty eight to thirteen game in the waiting your thoughts, I.

Think it's going to be a twenty four to twenty game, and I actually look to the Jets. Let me make my case.

Think it's going to be a twenty four to twenty game, and I actually look to the Jets. Let me make my case.

Go ahead, yes, sir, and.

Go ahead, yes, sir, and.

You're spot on. Miami's just covered against two bad teams, laying seven, all right, So they covered, and they played very well against New England and against the Raiders. But the Jets are better than those two teams, and those two teams were catching seven. And before you say no, the Jets aren't better their garbage. If you wanted to bet against the Jets. You had so many opportunities this year, including but not limited to Jets. At Pittsburgh, Jets were minus three, Bernie. I know it doesn't seem possible, but Pittsburgh's better than Miami. So this is how much the Jets have been downgraded. The Jets were playing three in Pittsburgh and now they're catching six at Miami. So the market has thrown them into the dumpster fire can and I'm going to buy low on those horrible New York Jets.

You're spot on. Miami's just covered against two bad teams, laying seven, all right, So they covered, and they played very well against New England and against the Raiders. But the Jets are better than those two teams, and those two teams were catching seven. And before you say no, the Jets aren't better their garbage. If you wanted to bet against the Jets. You had so many opportunities this year, including but not limited to Jets. At Pittsburgh, Jets were minus three, Bernie. I know it doesn't seem possible, but Pittsburgh's better than Miami. So this is how much the Jets have been downgraded. The Jets were playing three in Pittsburgh and now they're catching six at Miami. So the market has thrown them into the dumpster fire can and I'm going to buy low on those horrible New York Jets.

Oh boy, that's an interesting one. You got me on that one says, Just for the record, you know, Mike McDaniel likes to be a bumps layer. Last year, the Dolphins played the Jets twice and they beat them by a total of sixty four to thirteen cumulutes lead in both games. You made it right, We'll see, We'll see, all right. Another game that's got my attention. It's not often that I like to lay seven, and I haven't done it yet, but the Browns are one and twenty straight up and six and fifteen against the number in their last twenty one games in Pittsburgh, and I don't want to hear about Jamis. He's two and three at a start. They act like he's a second coming of Giohnny Unitedson and five. This guy is a pick machine. Him and Max Staff are pick six machine. As you know. If I had a nickel for every time Jamis threw a pick six, Elon Musk could be more in mylong Can you make a case for the Browns here?

Oh boy, that's an interesting one. You got me on that one says, Just for the record, you know, Mike McDaniel likes to be a bumps layer. Last year, the Dolphins played the Jets twice and they beat them by a total of sixty four to thirteen cumulutes lead in both games. You made it right, We'll see, We'll see, all right. Another game that's got my attention. It's not often that I like to lay seven, and I haven't done it yet, but the Browns are one and twenty straight up and six and fifteen against the number in their last twenty one games in Pittsburgh, and I don't want to hear about Jamis. He's two and three at a start. They act like he's a second coming of Giohnny Unitedson and five. This guy is a pick machine. Him and Max Staff are pick six machine. As you know. If I had a nickel for every time Jamis threw a pick six, Elon Musk could be more in mylong Can you make a case for the Browns here?

Yes, Jamis Winston is leading the NFL this year in snow angels after a win. So unfortunately he made those snow angels in Cleveland Stadium after beating these said Pittsburgh Steelers on national TV. So they're going to be angry, and Pittsburgh owns Cleveland, like you said, eight, there's my six and a half's again. I go back to the Hall of Fame. Bookmakers at Southpoint have it mina six and alf So go lay the six ap with Pittsburgh with a revenge. That's not too That loss was not excellent point long ago. So Pittsburgh wins going away.

Yes, Jamis Winston is leading the NFL this year in snow angels after a win. So unfortunately he made those snow angels in Cleveland Stadium after beating these said Pittsburgh Steelers on national TV. So they're going to be angry, and Pittsburgh owns Cleveland, like you said, eight, there's my six and a half's again. I go back to the Hall of Fame. Bookmakers at Southpoint have it mina six and alf So go lay the six ap with Pittsburgh with a revenge. That's not too That loss was not excellent point long ago. So Pittsburgh wins going away.

Yes, all right, an.

Yes, all right, an.

Under the radar game. Though that's going to be dangerous, it might end up being good for the books. I have a funny feeling the New York Giants sneak up on New Orleans Sunday. Your thoughts.

Under the radar game. Though that's going to be dangerous, it might end up being good for the books. I have a funny feeling the New York Giants sneak up on New Orleans Sunday. Your thoughts.

You know this is weird because I agree as well, neighbors. I don't know if he's going to play, you know, the rookie wide receiver. Yeah, and he's really important. But who are the Saints, especially without Taysom Hill, to be laying five and a half big? So yeah, I mean, the Saints are just the Saints are really bad. The Giants are horrible, and the Giants are home. I mean, it wouldn't shock it wouldn't shock me at all. The Giants win the game at all. So Giants plus five and a half the only way I could go.

You know this is weird because I agree as well, neighbors. I don't know if he's going to play, you know, the rookie wide receiver. Yeah, and he's really important. But who are the Saints, especially without Taysom Hill, to be laying five and a half big? So yeah, I mean, the Saints are just the Saints are really bad. The Giants are horrible, and the Giants are home. I mean, it wouldn't shock it wouldn't shock me at all. The Giants win the game at all. So Giants plus five and a half the only way I could go.

I'm not betting, well, not for nothing. The Saints are giving up like five yards for five yards per carry on the ground, so you can run on this team. Just just just saying, uh, Tampa Bay and the Raiders. The Raiders have been Plucky's a dog. You get to the end of the year. They're still playing hard for Antonio Pierce. Not very good, but they're they're they're playing hard and Tampa Bay is very banged up. So you got a nice cozy seven point number there. I've made a half point half a unit play on the Raiders.

I'm not betting, well, not for nothing. The Saints are giving up like five yards for five yards per carry on the ground, so you can run on this team. Just just just saying, uh, Tampa Bay and the Raiders. The Raiders have been Plucky's a dog. You get to the end of the year. They're still playing hard for Antonio Pierce. Not very good, but they're they're they're playing hard and Tampa Bay is very banged up. So you got a nice cozy seven point number there. I've made a half point half a unit play on the Raiders.

Your thoughts, Yeah, I agree, and you can get plus seven. It's not easy to find, but I think it'll be easy, you know, tomorrow. And I know people don't like it when I say this, but this is this is the way it is. You want to win sports betting, you need to get plus seven mins one ten. You can't play plus seven miles one twenty, so you got to have enough outs and just I'm sure it'll pop up tomorrow. Like right now when I look on the screen, one book has it and the Raiders are playing hard and brock Bowers should have a big day against the Tampa Bay Bucks defense that is nothing special at all. I can see the Raiders putting up twenty three points on Tampa and losing like twenty seven twenty three, or they could lose twenty seven to twenty. So you got to be sure to get the plus seven and not pay extra big to get it.

Your thoughts, Yeah, I agree, and you can get plus seven. It's not easy to find, but I think it'll be easy, you know, tomorrow. And I know people don't like it when I say this, but this is this is the way it is. You want to win sports betting, you need to get plus seven mins one ten. You can't play plus seven miles one twenty, so you got to have enough outs and just I'm sure it'll pop up tomorrow. Like right now when I look on the screen, one book has it and the Raiders are playing hard and brock Bowers should have a big day against the Tampa Bay Bucks defense that is nothing special at all. I can see the Raiders putting up twenty three points on Tampa and losing like twenty seven twenty three, or they could lose twenty seven to twenty. So you got to be sure to get the plus seven and not pay extra big to get it.

And think about what you just said there. If you can see the Raiders putting up twenty three points, your team total is nineteen and a half. Maybe you look at a team total over for the Raiders.

And think about what you just said there. If you can see the Raiders putting up twenty three points, your team total is nineteen and a half. Maybe you look at a team total over for the Raiders.

No excellent. I like that as well. I'll certainly endorse that.

No excellent. I like that as well. I'll certainly endorse that.

I'm just throwing that out there. I can't take credit for firing on it. I don't know if it's going to hit or not. But I like the way you said that. And the Raiders aren't playing hard, They're giving an effort, and can they score twenty points? I'm sure somebody's gonna fire on that play, all right. A game that's caught my eye of the Arizona Cardinals laying a field goal against the Seahawks. I always like teams who can run the ball versus teams who can't run the ball. The Seahawks cannot run the ball. They're twenty eighth in the league. The Cardinals are fifth in the league. Home game lightline. I've liked this Arizona team and Jonathan Gannon all year long. You have this Arizona not cover this game. I'm baffled if they don't cover this game.

I'm just throwing that out there. I can't take credit for firing on it. I don't know if it's going to hit or not. But I like the way you said that. And the Raiders aren't playing hard, They're giving an effort, and can they score twenty points? I'm sure somebody's gonna fire on that play, all right. A game that's caught my eye of the Arizona Cardinals laying a field goal against the Seahawks. I always like teams who can run the ball versus teams who can't run the ball. The Seahawks cannot run the ball. They're twenty eighth in the league. The Cardinals are fifth in the league. Home game lightline. I've liked this Arizona team and Jonathan Gannon all year long. You have this Arizona not cover this game. I'm baffled if they don't cover this game.

This is the only game I really like. I'm on Arizona and I understand the line. I understand why Arizona's only mis two and a half because power rating wise, I make the game two and a half, but everything benefits Arizona one. I'm not sure I have them as a better team at home, and I'm laying less than a field go. It's mis two and a half right now, mice one ten at south point minus two and at minus one fifteen at book Maker. Secondly, they've got recent revenge. They just went to the Pacific Northwest evenly played game. Murray threw a seventy yard pick six, so Seattle one by ten. Stats were equal. And Arizona went to Minnesota and they played them equal. In fact, they actually should have won the game, and then they gave up. They got outscored thirteen to three at the end of the game, somehow lost by one point. So Arizona zone in two and playing just fine. If you look at their first ten games, for an they went six and four against the juggernaut of Buffalo's Detroit screen Bays Miami with two. I mean, it's just it's unbelievable that they could be six and four playing nothing but conten or teams in middling teams like Rams or Bears. So Arizona's undervalued, the defense undervalue. They face so many good quarterbacks. They're going to wax Seattle here.

This is the only game I really like. I'm on Arizona and I understand the line. I understand why Arizona's only mis two and a half because power rating wise, I make the game two and a half, but everything benefits Arizona one. I'm not sure I have them as a better team at home, and I'm laying less than a field go. It's mis two and a half right now, mice one ten at south point minus two and at minus one fifteen at book Maker. Secondly, they've got recent revenge. They just went to the Pacific Northwest evenly played game. Murray threw a seventy yard pick six, so Seattle one by ten. Stats were equal. And Arizona went to Minnesota and they played them equal. In fact, they actually should have won the game, and then they gave up. They got outscored thirteen to three at the end of the game, somehow lost by one point. So Arizona zone in two and playing just fine. If you look at their first ten games, for an they went six and four against the juggernaut of Buffalo's Detroit screen Bays Miami with two. I mean, it's just it's unbelievable that they could be six and four playing nothing but conten or teams in middling teams like Rams or Bears. So Arizona's undervalued, the defense undervalue. They face so many good quarterbacks. They're going to wax Seattle here.

I really like Eric, I think so too. All right, a game, I'm really conflicted on because it feels like a mismagic excuse me Buffalo laying three and a half at the Rams. Now, A couple things to note here, Fez, Buffalo's got Detroit on deck next week. In Detroit, They're going to want to win both of these games because they have designs on getting that home by Only one team in each league gets to buy this year in the playoffs, and they have the tiebreaker against Kansas City, so they can't falter here. I know some people are calling in a look ahead game and all that. I don't know how they look into guys' minds in the NFL, But here's the point. It's a little scary to lay the three and a half on the road, even though Buffalo is the far better team, So it's a stay away from me. One final thing, Fez, the Bills are own six against the spread in the first of consecutive road games the last six times they've played back to back road games.

I really like Eric, I think so too. All right, a game, I'm really conflicted on because it feels like a mismagic excuse me Buffalo laying three and a half at the Rams. Now, A couple things to note here, Fez, Buffalo's got Detroit on deck next week. In Detroit, They're going to want to win both of these games because they have designs on getting that home by Only one team in each league gets to buy this year in the playoffs, and they have the tiebreaker against Kansas City, so they can't falter here. I know some people are calling in a look ahead game and all that. I don't know how they look into guys' minds in the NFL, But here's the point. It's a little scary to lay the three and a half on the road, even though Buffalo is the far better team, So it's a stay away from me. One final thing, Fez, the Bills are own six against the spread in the first of consecutive road games the last six times they've played back to back road games.

Your thoughts, Yeah, you know, in six means they're one and six. I don't really pay much attention to short term trends like that. I don't like a team from Buffalo that just had two feet of snow dropped on them going out to La La Land and laying points. I think that's that is a bad spot. We've used to see New England, remember when they'd always go to Miami with those great Hyman Sure, well then just hey, it's sunshine, you know, and it's beautiful, and it's like like it's a distraction. So I don't like that. But having said that about the Rams, I don't want the Rams plus three and a half against a really good Bills team when if I fast forward to Thursday, you know, the Rams are playing Thursday and they're playing the Niners, and they're catching plus three lay one twenty at DraftKings. The Niners aren't even in the same area code as the Bills in terms of I got those teams separated by like six and a half points in my power ratings. So and you're going to spreads the same. So if you want to beat and are almost the same. So if you want to back the Rams, invest in the Rams. Do it next week when they're playing a Niner team that's completely decimated.

Your thoughts, Yeah, you know, in six means they're one and six. I don't really pay much attention to short term trends like that. I don't like a team from Buffalo that just had two feet of snow dropped on them going out to La La Land and laying points. I think that's that is a bad spot. We've used to see New England, remember when they'd always go to Miami with those great Hyman Sure, well then just hey, it's sunshine, you know, and it's beautiful, and it's like like it's a distraction. So I don't like that. But having said that about the Rams, I don't want the Rams plus three and a half against a really good Bills team when if I fast forward to Thursday, you know, the Rams are playing Thursday and they're playing the Niners, and they're catching plus three lay one twenty at DraftKings. The Niners aren't even in the same area code as the Bills in terms of I got those teams separated by like six and a half points in my power ratings. So and you're going to spreads the same. So if you want to beat and are almost the same. So if you want to back the Rams, invest in the Rams. Do it next week when they're playing a Niner team that's completely decimated.

All right, So no more Matt Eberflus after that Thanksgiving Turkey. See what I did there. Their offensive coordinator Thomas Brown takes over. They had to San Francisco again. I know the Niners are a shell of what they have been, but you've got a nice little cozy three and a half point number here. I am not involved in the game, but I could honestly only look to the Niners your thoughts.

All right, So no more Matt Eberflus after that Thanksgiving Turkey. See what I did there. Their offensive coordinator Thomas Brown takes over. They had to San Francisco again. I know the Niners are a shell of what they have been, but you've got a nice little cozy three and a half point number here. I am not involved in the game, but I could honestly only look to the Niners your thoughts.

And it's down to three. I watch three point twenty five, but you can get minus three, Bernie. And if you like the Bears and I people listen. I don't want they don't want this. They do not want me to say this, but I'm going to say it because you know what I can tell you. Go talk to one hundred people that manage sports betting investment teams like I've done in the past, and every all of them will agree with what I'm saying. And yet Barney and the Bars and everyone will disagree. They want to hear what's the right side? What's the right side? So here it is, And don't scream at me, because this is the truth, all right. You can't handle the truths. But you want me on that wall.

And it's down to three. I watch three point twenty five, but you can get minus three, Bernie. And if you like the Bears and I people listen. I don't want they don't want this. They do not want me to say this, but I'm going to say it because you know what I can tell you. Go talk to one hundred people that manage sports betting investment teams like I've done in the past, and every all of them will agree with what I'm saying. And yet Barney and the Bars and everyone will disagree. They want to hear what's the right side? What's the right side? So here it is, And don't scream at me, because this is the truth, all right. You can't handle the truths. But you want me on that wall.

Jack the Bears.

Jack the Bears.

Yeah, the Bears plus four was the right side, and then at the Niners, minus three is the right side. And if you bet both of them. At minus one ten, you have a very profitable middle. The Bears fire the coach, but they've had ten days, and the Bears are healthy and the Niners are very injured. But the Bears stink and the Niners are average. So once that line hits three and the Niners are home, there, I mean, no one would debate the Bears are better than the Niners. Think about this, and the Niners are home and the lines down to three, now is the time you should have laid the three with the Niners.

Yeah, the Bears plus four was the right side, and then at the Niners, minus three is the right side. And if you bet both of them. At minus one ten, you have a very profitable middle. The Bears fire the coach, but they've had ten days, and the Bears are healthy and the Niners are very injured. But the Bears stink and the Niners are average. So once that line hits three and the Niners are home, there, I mean, no one would debate the Bears are better than the Niners. Think about this, and the Niners are home and the lines down to three, now is the time you should have laid the three with the Niners.

Well, you know, the Niners are banged up, but they still have a few good men. Faz, there you go, Thank you, folks. All right, two more Kansas City hosts the Chargers Sunday Night. All they do is win, win, win. They're eleven and one. I don't make fun of teams. There are eleven in one. A little later in the show, I'm going to talk about I'm going to dissect the Chiefs. I know, everybody, it's an oxymoron to say they're an unimpressive eleven and one team. You can say that, but they know how to win their back to back Super Bowl champs. Nonetheless, I think you get max s effort out of the Chargers here, and I feel like this is another one score game, a light number. I'd be more inclined to lay the four than grab it. But it's a dicey game. Your thoughts.

Well, you know, the Niners are banged up, but they still have a few good men. Faz, there you go, Thank you, folks. All right, two more Kansas City hosts the Chargers Sunday Night. All they do is win, win, win. They're eleven and one. I don't make fun of teams. There are eleven in one. A little later in the show, I'm going to talk about I'm going to dissect the Chiefs. I know, everybody, it's an oxymoron to say they're an unimpressive eleven and one team. You can say that, but they know how to win their back to back Super Bowl champs. Nonetheless, I think you get max s effort out of the Chargers here, and I feel like this is another one score game, a light number. I'd be more inclined to lay the four than grab it. But it's a dicey game. Your thoughts.

I'm on the Chargers. The market disagrees with me. My handicap is that I know Kansasity is eleven and one, and I get it. In the Carolina game, they were never threatened to lose the game, and as soon as the game got tied, okay, God took over a quarterback and marched them right down and scored. But there are games they have won that the Chiefs didn't win their opponents have lost. Similar to a basketball team where basketball team's up one and their punts on the free throw line and they break both free throws. That's happened in multi sliple games, specifically Denver thirty five yard field goal. Denver botches it and they get it blocked. Okay, the Raiders are in position to kick a game winning field goal, they botch it, get a penalty, and they don't wind up winning. It's not that Kansas City did anything to win those games necessarily, Okay, they blocked.

I'm on the Chargers. The market disagrees with me. My handicap is that I know Kansasity is eleven and one, and I get it. In the Carolina game, they were never threatened to lose the game, and as soon as the game got tied, okay, God took over a quarterback and marched them right down and scored. But there are games they have won that the Chiefs didn't win their opponents have lost. Similar to a basketball team where basketball team's up one and their punts on the free throw line and they break both free throws. That's happened in multi sliple games, specifically Denver thirty five yard field goal. Denver botches it and they get it blocked. Okay, the Raiders are in position to kick a game winning field goal, they botch it, get a penalty, and they don't wind up winning. It's not that Kansas City did anything to win those games necessarily, Okay, they blocked.

The field goal.

The field goal.

Give me a break, they're like ninety percent to lose at that point. So because of that, the underlying stats in this team are for the Chiefs, they're a five hundred team. They're gaining five point three yards per playing, they're given up five point four. My experience in the history of the NFL, the only team that succeeded with subpar stats with the Patriots because they did so many other things right. And I don't think Kansas City does all these other things right like Belichick and the Patriots did, so I have to say the Chiefs.

Give me a break, they're like ninety percent to lose at that point. So because of that, the underlying stats in this team are for the Chiefs, they're a five hundred team. They're gaining five point three yards per playing, they're given up five point four. My experience in the history of the NFL, the only team that succeeded with subpar stats with the Patriots because they did so many other things right. And I don't think Kansas City does all these other things right like Belichick and the Patriots did, so I have to say the Chiefs.

So the Chiefs are one to thirteen teams or check that, twenty three teams in NFL history that started at eleven and one, but they have the lowest point differential plus fifty four. That doesn't really bother me. This is what will keep me off the Chargers. The Chargers have played three playoff teams this you're Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and Kansas City. They're all in three. They've been outscored by a combined sixty seven and forty three, giving up an after three hundred and sixty yards per game. So the Chargers are a lot like Miami. They're bump slayers, but when they step up in class. They're not the same team. Finally, Cincinnati, nowez, I've always had a rule of thumb. When you get past November and you have a team that's under five hundred going on the road and they're laying points, no, I'm not doing it. I'm not going to have a team that's under five hundred lane points on the road. Dallas hasn't really quit. They're not very good. The five and a half folks are little juicy? Is that way? You see the number right now, Dallas catching five and a half money.

So the Chiefs are one to thirteen teams or check that, twenty three teams in NFL history that started at eleven and one, but they have the lowest point differential plus fifty four. That doesn't really bother me. This is what will keep me off the Chargers. The Chargers have played three playoff teams this you're Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and Kansas City. They're all in three. They've been outscored by a combined sixty seven and forty three, giving up an after three hundred and sixty yards per game. So the Chargers are a lot like Miami. They're bump slayers, but when they step up in class. They're not the same team. Finally, Cincinnati, nowez, I've always had a rule of thumb. When you get past November and you have a team that's under five hundred going on the road and they're laying points, no, I'm not doing it. I'm not going to have a team that's under five hundred lane points on the road. Dallas hasn't really quit. They're not very good. The five and a half folks are little juicy? Is that way? You see the number right now, Dallas catching five and a half money.

Night, exactly five and a half. I think we might get six eight if we wait. But I'm with you now, I'm gonna use the rule of two to explain why the Cowboys are the right investment. Let's move this spread two points in each direction. Since he was laying minus three at Dallas, I don't think Bernie we blink is yeah, okay, it seems it seems about right.

Night, exactly five and a half. I think we might get six eight if we wait. But I'm with you now, I'm gonna use the rule of two to explain why the Cowboys are the right investment. Let's move this spread two points in each direction. Since he was laying minus three at Dallas, I don't think Bernie we blink is yeah, okay, it seems it seems about right.

But they're under five hundred. Go ahead fast.

But they're under five hundred. Go ahead fast.

But they're the better team. They are the better team, and they have the much better ratifications. We can make the Bengals a favorite. But but if we move the two points in the other direction, and we made the Bengals a seven and a half point favorite, we'd be.

But they're the better team. They are the better team, and they have the much better ratifications. We can make the Bengals a favorite. But but if we move the two points in the other direction, and we made the Bengals a seven and a half point favorite, we'd be.

Like, what the f is this?

Like, what the f is this?

This is ridiculous. The Bengals have no defense. I'm not even sure the Bengals, like you said, are better than the Cowboys. And the game is in Texas? Are you kidding me?

This is ridiculous. The Bengals have no defense. I'm not even sure the Bengals, like you said, are better than the Cowboys. And the game is in Texas? Are you kidding me?

So?

So?

If plus seven and a half is a ludicrous number, by definition, plus five and a half has to be an attractive number. Also, we should bet Dallas.

If plus seven and a half is a ludicrous number, by definition, plus five and a half has to be an attractive number. Also, we should bet Dallas.

Enjoy your day. We'll talk to you next week. And happy Holidays, Merry Christmas, all that stuff.

Enjoy your day. We'll talk to you next week. And happy Holidays, Merry Christmas, all that stuff.

Okay, if you bet the college football and loss, just just let me know. Come to Vegas. I'll buy your dinner.

Okay, if you bet the college football and loss, just just let me know. Come to Vegas. I'll buy your dinner.

Okay, Oh there's some all right, Nick Jensen dropping f bombs, So come on, buddy. You keep your kids with that mouths, keep it to yourself. Love you, take care of pal.

Okay, Oh there's some all right, Nick Jensen dropping f bombs, So come on, buddy. You keep your kids with that mouths, keep it to yourself. Love you, take care of pal.

Thank you, Berdie.

Thank you, Berdie.

Coming up, final thoughts on the college football Saturday, which was really quite a day, even even if you're just a fan and you don't bet. I'm Bernie Frattle. We are coming to you live from the Las Vegas Fox Sports Radio Tarrack dot Com studios. Keep it locked. You listened to the Bernie Fraddle Show. On Fox Sports Radio. Do're listening to Fox Sports Radio Radio. How We're back at the Bernie Fraddle Show. Fox Sports Radio, coming to live from the Tarrack dot Com studios here in Las Vegas. A couple final thoughts following Saturday's conference championship slate Arizona State, massive props, massive respect. They were one hundred and one beginning of the year to emerge his conference champions For context, he had the same odds as a New Orland Saints to win the Super Bowl. Camp scadow Bow the first Big twelve player in history to ever have fifteen hundred rushing yards five hundred receiving yards in the same season. Here's the beauty man. Cinderella usually doesn't make an appearance in the college football playoffs, maybe in the baseball basketball playoffs March Madness, But the first year of this expanded college football playoff, man, you get the Arizona State Sun Devils, the plucky underdog, very much worth rooting for. I was on I had Jared Smith onlist, and I told him I thought that Arizona I felt like they win both lines of the scrimmage. And they did, and they forty five nineteen. They thrashed Iowa State. They lock up a berth in the Big twelve playoff field. I think they're leaving. I think they'll jump Boise State. No, no, I don't. They won't jump Bois State. They were five spots behind and Boise State won by fourteen, so you can't do that. But they're going to get a bye, all right. Give it up to Kenny Dillingham. They were picked to finish last in their league with the media. And this team is for real, man. And when you got at Camp scattable zero star recruit. His two scholarship offers were from Sacramento State and William and Mary. All Right, they're going to enter the playoffs in a six game winning streak and they are for real. They will be a very tough out. Meanwhile, I got some thoughts about Texas and the resume they had, you know, some long stretches Saturday that suggested they should have beaten Georgia. They won the stats totaled by about one hundred and twenty yards, threw the ball all over the lot, but eleven penalties for ninety four yards. Two errant fieldgal attempts the usually reliable Bert Auburn two picks by quinn Ewers that kept things close enough for Georgia to close it out in overtime. This eventual loss by Texas is going to have to call some serious attention to their college Football Playoff resume. I know they're in, but if you look at their resume, they're their ranks second. There are no danger missing out. They are in, but it's fair to ask whether they deserve a first round by the long Runs have zero wins over top twenty five opponents. They have two losses to Georgia, who comfortably won by fifteen points on the road in Austin and beat them a second time. Beat Texas a second time with a backup quarterback. Frankly, if you put Texas resume next to Semus on paper, looks similar, but again, I think the SEC is a much different gauntlet. They cannibalize each other. There you have it. I love Oregon for making me look smart. I knew they would pummel Penn State. That game was never in doubt. There's a reason Oregon went out and got Dylan Gabriel in the transfer portal and he torched Penn State for two to eighty four touchdowns. Yeah, you can call it forty five thirty seven. Penn State was never going to win that game, but they did win respect. They did ruin respect, they did play hard. But again, you know my model, there's no such thing as a good loss. That's like a good kidney stone. Speaking of good losses, how about those lovable acres coming out? Mark Madina Medina Magic. We switched to the NBA. Keep it locked right here. You listen to the Bernie Frattle Show on Fox Sports Radio. Well, that's right, you heard the man. Bernie Frattle Show keeps rolling right along. My name is Bernie Frattle. We are coming toy line from the tararet dot com studios here in Las Vegas, f Sports Radio tyraq dot com. We'll help you get there an unmatched selection, fast free shipping for your road hazard protection and over ten thousand recommended installers tyrec dot com. The wee tire buying should be. It's that time of the week, twelve midnight Pacific time on Saturday night, heading into Sunday. We dive into the NBA because there's so much news there, always is, real simple, It's that time. Mark Medina Medina Magic, our Fox Sports Radio NBA guru and this particular conversation tonight should be an interesting one because I think Mark, we have to really start to dissect this entity called the Los Angeles Lakers, and I have several angles from which I will approach this, but I want to start by their recent patch, losing six in a row. I facetiously said before the season would surprise me if they didn't make the playoffs. Now I give that maybe a ten percent chance, but I'll stick to the fact I think they're playing team at best. Can you really base can you really blame their recent bad patch because they don't have Austin Reeves on the floor, Jackson Hayes or Jared Vanderbilt your thoughts.