First Strike is back with a full betting preview of UFC Mexico, headlined by Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh.

Dave Ross and Rob Moreno are joined by Dan Vreeland (@GumbyVreeland) to break down the card from a betting perspective, diving into model projections, matchup dynamics, and where the value might lie heading into fight night.



📊 Model-driven predictions

💰 Betting angles across the card

🧠 Moreno vs Kavanagh breakdown

🎯 Spots worth targeting (and avoiding)



Whether you’re looking for sharp analysis or actionable betting insight, First Strike gets you ready for UFC Mexico.

🎧 Subscribe and listen wherever you get your podcasts. Or watch on YouTube! (@FirstStrike-mma)

🐦 Follow the hosts on X: @drosssports & @TheRobbeo

🌐 More sports betting coverage at VSiN.com



00:00 - Welcome Back

01:13 - Previewing Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh

05:53 - A look at Marlon Vera vs David Martinez

08:00 - Expect Fireworks in Daniel Zellhuber vs King Green

10:00 - Diving Deeper in UFC Mexico

11:10 - Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson

14:44 - Identifying some Prelim plays

18:19 - Welcome back Rob Moreno

20:38 - Extracting value out of Zellhuber vs Green

24:26 - A close look at Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson

28:06 - Advice from the data

31:16 - Main Event Model Predictions

37:44 - Wrap Up


Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

First Strike is back with a full betting preview of UFC Mexico, headlined by Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh.
Dave Ross and Rob Moreno are joined by Dan Vreeland (@GumbyVreeland) to break down the card from a betting perspective, diving into model projections, matchup dynamics, and where the value might lie heading into fight night.
 
📊 Model-driven predictions
💰 Betting angles across the card
🧠 Moreno vs Kavanagh breakdown
🎯 Spots worth targeting (and avoiding)
 
Whether you’re looking for sharp analysis or actionable betting insight, First Strike gets you ready for UFC Mexico.
🎧 Subscribe and listen wherever you get your podcasts. Or watch on YouTube! (@FirstStrike-mma)
🐦 Follow the hosts on X: @drosssports & @TheRobbeo
🌐 More sports betting coverage at VSiN.com
 
00:00 - Welcome Back
01:13 - Previewing Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh
05:53 - A look at Marlon Vera vs David Martinez
08:00 - Expect Fireworks in Daniel Zellhuber vs King Green
10:00 - Diving Deeper in UFC Mexico
11:10 - Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson
14:44 - Identifying some Prelim plays
18:19 - Welcome back Rob Moreno
20:38 - Extracting value out of Zellhuber vs Green
24:26 - A close look at Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson
28:06 - Advice from the data
31:16 - Main Event Model Predictions
37:44 - Wrap Up Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See <a href="https://pcm.adswizz.com">pcm.adswizz.com</a> for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Hosted by Dave Ross and Rob Moreno, First Strike is your go-to UFC betting show for sharp insights, bold predictions, and can’t-miss plays.Tune in every Monday and Friday for a fast-paced breakdown of upcoming fight cards, betting angles, and insider takes—with weekly guests ranging from analysts to fellow bettors. Whether you’re chasing longshots or fading favorites, this is where the smartest UFC conversations happen.New episodes every week. Bets. Banter. Battle-tested picks.First Strike hits different.