First Strike is back with a full betting preview of UFC Mexico, headlined by Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh.
Dave Ross and Rob Moreno are joined by Dan Vreeland (@GumbyVreeland) to break down the card from a betting perspective, diving into model projections, matchup dynamics, and where the value might lie heading into fight night.
📊 Model-driven predictions
💰 Betting angles across the card
🧠 Moreno vs Kavanagh breakdown
🎯 Spots worth targeting (and avoiding)
Whether you’re looking for sharp analysis or actionable betting insight, First Strike gets you ready for UFC Mexico.
🎧 Subscribe and listen wherever you get your podcasts. Or watch on YouTube! (@FirstStrike-mma)
🐦 Follow the hosts on X: @drosssports & @TheRobbeo
🌐 More sports betting coverage at VSiN.com
00:00 - Welcome Back
01:13 - Previewing Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh
05:53 - A look at Marlon Vera vs David Martinez
08:00 - Expect Fireworks in Daniel Zellhuber vs King Green
10:00 - Diving Deeper in UFC Mexico
11:10 - Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson
14:44 - Identifying some Prelim plays
18:19 - Welcome back Rob Moreno
20:38 - Extracting value out of Zellhuber vs Green
24:26 - A close look at Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson
28:06 - Advice from the data
31:16 - Main Event Model Predictions
37:44 - Wrap Up
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