Gear up for Week 15 with the ultimate running back and wide receiver rankings breakdown. Tera Roberts, Pat Fitzmaurice, and Billy Muzio break up this week’s consensus rankings into tiers and provide detailed analysis of the key differences they have on several of these players. Tune in to hear our dissenting opinions on this week’s most polarizing players and prepare yourself for a triumphant week in fantasy football!
Timestamps (Note that these may be off due to the ads):
Introduction - 0:00:00
Top 20 RB Rankings - 0:01:15
Austin Ekeler - 0:01:25
Rachaad White - 0:02:39
C+ Tier - 0:03:33
Jerome Ford - 0:04:00
James Conner - 0:07:43
DraftKings Sportsbook - 0:11:20
C Tier - 0:12:59
Keaton Mitchell - 0:13:22
Kenneth Walker - 0:18:12
Ty Chandler - 0:23:11
C- Tier - 0:28:21
Antonio Gibson - 0:29:03
Tyjae Spears - 0:29:42
Gametime - 0:30:06
D+ Tier - 0:31:18
D'Onta Foreman - 0:31:40
D+ Tier - 0:36:48
Kareem Hunt - 0:36:56
Tyler Allgeier - 0:37:38
D- Tier - 0:38:13
Would You Rather? - 0:39:58
James Cook vs. Ezekiel Elliott - 0:40:05
Gus Edwards vs. Jerick McKinnon - 0:43:10
Top 20 WRs - 0:45:18
Justin Jefferson - 0:45:26
Cooper Kupp - 0:46:13
B Tier - 0:47:58
Tyler Lockett - 0:48:24
Miller Lite - 0:51:54
B- Tier - 0:52:58
Odell Beckham Jr. - 0:53:12
C+ Tier - 0:56:59
Tee Higgins - 0:57:19
C Tier - 1:01:53
Jordan Addison - 1:02:28
C- Tier - 1:04:32
Elijah Moore - 1:04:43
D+ Tier - 1:08:04
Wan'Dale Robinson - 1:08:22
D Tier - 1:10:23
Quinton Johnston - 1:11:02
Would You Rather? - 1:13:10
Terry McLaurin vs. Drake London - 1:13:16
Romeo Doubs vs. Zay Jones - 1:16:00
Flex Appeal - 1:18:50
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Welcome into Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy Football Podcast. Tara Roberts here alongside Pat fitz Morris and Billy Muzio. In today's our ranking show, we'll be going through the Fantasy Pros rankings tier for Week fifteen. It is playoff time. This is critical. Pat and Billy are going to be providing their thoughts on players in the tiers, and there's no better pair to provide analysis on these rankings because Billy was the number four overall most accurate in season Fantasy football ranker in twenty twenty two, and he has done consistently well in our accuracy competition and we're very happy to have him back this week after one week absence. Fitz was the most accurate in season weekly ranker in twenty twenty and has done consistently well among the most accurate Fantasy football rankers. You can find Billy at f f Museo, you can find at fits Underscore FF, and you can find me at its Tea Time. So buckle in because again it is the fantasy playoffs. These are critical here and we've got some hot, hot discussions and debates that are going to happen here. Our consensus rankings can be found on fantasypros dot com slash rankings, and make sure that you are also subscribed and turning on your notifications as well. Now we're going to go through these top twenty players here. Now, Pat, I'll start off with you what stands out in this top twenty here? For running backs?
Running backs?
Well, once again, Tarah Austin Eckler ranked a little too high in the consensus rankings at RB seven. I had him up at RB eight last week, but that was in a great matchup with the Denver Broncos, and more importantly, that was with Justin Herbert at quarterback for the Chargers. I do not like Eckler's much this week in a tougher matchup against the Raiders and with Easton Stick at quarterback. Maybe Eastern Stick dumps it off to Eckler ten times, and you know, Eckler gets his fantasy points that way. But I'm not really optimistic about Eckler's rushing outlook or his touchdown outlook in this greatly diminished Chargers offense. I've got him at running back twelve, so pretty well below consensus. I mean, I guess you're starting him no matter what if you spent that first or second round pick on Austin Eckler and still managed to make your way into the playoffs. Congratulations, But you know, I guess you're still rolling with him, but I don't know if he's going to carry you to the Promised Land.
Yeah, that matchup there, I feel like maybe sometimes when people are ranking, they're looking at it thinking Vegas layup matchup, but it actually hasn't been that much of a layup matchup. It's actually kind of a sneaky, not stingy, but just not the high upside matchup that we were seeing earlier in the season. So I'm with you on that one. Billy, what stands out to you in this top twenty.
You know, it's nice seeing Rashud White get some respect. Finally, this was a guy's high on going to the season. He's been seeing all the touches in the backfield, from the rushing attempts to the receiving work, and if you go back to week nine, he's actually RB two on the season and half point PPR behind Christian McCaffrey during that span from week nine to week fourteen, And so I think it's it's time to put some respect on the name. Rashad White is here and on the season, he's RB five for the season, so I love what he's able to do and he's kind of had a mini breakout.
Rashad White our zero RB king. Finally, thank you respect on his name after everything that he has done contributing to our fantasy teams this year. Again, for in depth analysis on any of these players, go to fantasypros dot com slash rankings and for updated rankings, make sure that you are using our my Playbook app. And we usually start off with the B minus tier here, but that is in the top twenty. Very interesting little changes here, So we're going to start off with the C plus tier. And we got some goodies in this tier. This is a very interesting tier. It starts off with James Cook who has been hot, Jerome Ford, Naji Harris, Jalen Warren back to back there, Cuba Hubbard, James Connor, and Josh Jacobs. A good little tier here. We want to pull out a couple of people from this tier here. We're going to start off by talking about Jerome Ford. Ecier has him at RB twenty two. Pat, you've got him at RB twenty four. Billy. You've got him at RB twenty three, right along lines with consensus here, but he's such an interesting player. Pat talked to us about Jerome Ford.
Yeah, not a lot of difference of opinion here with ECR, Billy and myself, But I think he's a good guy to talk about because I know in the early lineup questions I've gotten from people, Jerome Ford has shown up a lot, and I think he's going to be a pivot player for a lot of people setting their lineups this week. I'm a little nervous that he has had twelve or fewer carries in four straight games. The Browns had a pair of seventeen point losses during that stretch, one of the Broncos and one to the Rams, so Ford only had nine carries in each of those games, and maybe the negative game script wad into that, But the Browns also had one score victories over the Steelers and the Jaguars, and four still only had twelve carries in each of those games. So not a bountiful rushing workload for him. And you've also got Kareem Hunt poaching short range touchdowns. But Ford does have some pretty steady usage in the passing game. Since the start of November, he's everaging four point eight targets, three point three receptions, and twenty point two receiving yards per game. That could definitely help him. This week, he is going up against a very good Bears run defense. The Bears have given up the fourth fewest rushing yards to running backs, but they do really give it up to running backs in the passing game. The Bears have allowed a league high seven hundred and forty eight receiving yards to running backs this year. I do think that helps make Ford flexworthy, but you know, RB twenty two in ECR seems just a smidge optimistic still, though, I think you're probably playing Ford under most circumstances this week.
Yeah, he's been a steady guy. He's been someone that you don't feel like you have to been. You can rely on him to get you there in terms of getting you double digit fantasy points. But the ceiling has kind of been taken off from what we first saw when he finally got that opportunity to be the RB one earlier in the season. But you mentioned the receiving upside there. Very interesting that even with Kareem Hunt there, he still has a strong role within the receiving game there, so maybe that's something we can hang our hat on. Billy, How are you feeling about Jerome for this week?
Yeah, Pat touch base on the main sentiment is that the Chicago Bears rush defense is stout. He touched base on that, and so I'm not going to repeat all that information. But they can be beaten the air, not as much in the ground. So where Ford kind of plays most of his involvement is going to be through the air as the running back here. You know, he's seen a total of sixteen targets over the course of the last three games. But that being said, his overall snaps have kind of been down, and so we've only seen in three the last four weeks he's only seen fifty six percent of the snaps or fewer. Out said Week twelve was the outlier. He's all seventy percent, and so he is kind of exceeding some of this the snapshare to Kareem Hunt, especially when it comes down to goal line and especially when it comes down to short down distances. So Kareem Hunt the preferred back in those scenarios where he's seeing sixty plus percent of the short down distance and when you get into goal line, it's primarily all hunt there. So I do think that Ford's upside is limited, and quite frankly, he just hasn't looked quite the same ever since that ankle injury, and I do think that it's kind of been maybe a hindrance because let's face it, he had a high ankle sprain and play through it, and so he just hasn't been the same back in my opinion since since that injury. And so I think, you know, back in RBQW this week makes a lot of sense.
Yeah, I agree with you guys. I think ECR is kind of dead on right there and makes sense. Moving on to James Connor, another one that we want to talk about here RB twenty five and consensus. We got a little difference of opinion here, Pat, you are at RB twenty nine. A little bit further on James Connor. Billy, you're right with consensus almost at RB twenty six for James Connor. Difficult matchup this week, but prior to the Arizona bye week, we did see him come off with that massive game where he finally had that breakout James Connor type of game there, Billy, all start off with you. When you're looking at James Connor this week, how much does the matchup play into where you're ranking him.
It's definitely a tough matchic. I mean, SF is number one against the run, but they're not quite the same SF team as we've known in the past, where you know, nobody could get anything going. So we have seen them be beat from time to time. They've only given up seven hundred and forty three yards on the ground three point eight yards per carrying only four hundred and seventy four reception yards, which is going to be kind of, you know, middle of the pack. I think it's I think it's like fifteenth overall. But I do think that it's a volume play here. It's hard to ignore, you know, the volume he's getting. And I know we've had this debate many times, is is it kind of empty carries twenty five rushing attempts. Last last time we saw him in the field week thirteen here against Pittsburgh, he did see two targets. That type of volume is hard to project, especially when you're going up against you know, the number one defense against the run. It's going to break down to how much involvement in the passing game, I think is what it's going to take with him and kind of beating this this ECR. But it's a tough number to project based upon the matchup and the overall touches he's getting, because all he needs is one big run and he can kind of outproduce this this SCR.
That's true, and then we do have to wonder about the work within receiving. We've got these receivers that are questionable, Marquise Brown hopefully coming back, Michael Wilson hopefully coming back in the injury. See how all of that impacts them if they have a full and finally healthy receiving corps. Hat you're a little bit further back on James Connor. What's the hesitation with James Connor this week?
Yeah, I mean Billy mentioned that Connor is a volume play, and I do think that he is a very safe bet for double digit carries. But he's getting this ECR bounce because he's coming off that twenty five carry, one hundred yard, two touchdown rushing day against the Steelers. But in nine games this season, Connor has had twenty or more carries twice. In the other seventeen game or other seven games sixteen or fewer carries, and in six of those games fourteen or fewer, So it works out to fourteen point three carries a game for Connor. Solid usage, but I would say it falls below the threshold for workhorse usage. And what worries me is that Connor has really been a zero as a pass catcher this year. Fourteen catches thirty six yards, that's two point six yards per catch. So whatever Connor is going to do for you this week, he's probably going to have to do it in the running game against the forty nine ers. Yeah, Billy's right, like the forty nine ers haven't been this nightmare running back matchup like they have been in the past. But still seven hundred and forty three rushing yards that's the fewest allowed by any team this season. So not only that, but the Cardinals being nearly two touchdown underdogs in this game, So Connor probably isn't getting a very run friendly game script. Yeah, I just kind of want to stay away and avoid him if I can.
Game script could be the issue there. Even if he can run on them, it might get away and if he's not involved in the receiving work. You mentioned that as well, then we got a major problem before we move on to the next tier. Can you believe that we are this deep into the NFL season. We got to make every second count. With DraftKings Sportsbook, you can make the most out of every game this season. Bet on your favorite teams for a shot to win big bucks. New customers can score one hundred and fifty instantly in bonus bets for betting five on any match. Maybe you want to look at the lines on some of the players that we're talking about today. Maybe you want to look at somebody like Jerome Ford, maybe James Connor. You can do that on Draft Kings. Get in on the action with DraftKings sports Book and official sports betting partner of the NFL. Download the app now and use code Fantasy pros. New customers can score one hundred and fifty instantly in bonus bets for betting just five bucks on the NFL Only on DraftKings Sportsbook with Code Fantasy Pros.
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Moving on to the C tier here, we were going to pull out quite a few players in this tier. Oh, it's always an interesting the seatare is always an interesting one. We've got Brian Robinson here, hopefully coming back this week from that hamstring injury. We've got Keaton Mitchell, Kenneth Walker, Clyde Edwards, Hilaire has pushed his way up here. We've got aj Dillon as well, Devin Singletary and Ty Chandler. We're gonna start off with someone who I feel like we talk about all the time. Here we're start off with Keaton Mitchell here ECR has him at RB twenty nine. Pat, you got him? Well, you guys are lockstep on this one. Pat and Billy RB thirty one each. So just a little bit more skeptical around Keaton Mitchell. This is a good one to talk about and it's so he's one of those guys where I feel like we get a thousand start sick questions throughout the lives all week because you just don't know how much you can trust him and what the the Ravens are really going to do. So again cr RB twenty nine. Billy got him at RB thirty one. Billy, I'll start off with you on this one, keithon Mitchell. What's the exact expectation? Can we put an exact expectation on what we can see from him this week?
Man, this is the most of one of the most frustrating like running backs to project because talent wise, like I call him like a chain light, like this guy has the ability to be a RB one every week or high end RB two. He's got the speed to do it. You see him break off a large chunk run every single game he plays, but it just breaks down to them not wanting to use him. I mean, he's he's seen nine or fewer rushing attempts in every single game this season, you know, and he's got so thirty eight total rushing attempts for three hundred and twenty three yards. That's an eight point five yard per attempt average. I mean, these are like video game stats, and they still aren't dedicating more snaps to him, and so it's frustrating. So and so we can see them commit to Keaton Mitchell and and say, hey, we're going to see him at fifty percent of the snaps or more, then I think we have to kind of keep him in this territory because his his career high is forty six and that's the season high as well rookie. Of course, forty six percent snaps, which was week twelve. He saw thirty four percent in Week fourteen, thirty seven percent, Week eleven, twenty two percent, Week ten, seventeen percent Week nine, and it decreases from there. So I need to see him closer to fifty percent in order for me to get him hired in this ranking. If we do, and when that happens, I mean it should happen to every single game. It really should. I mean, gus Is is just a plotter. We've had this conversation multiple times. He's he's going to be the short yardage back, He's going to be the goal line back. That's fine, that's his role. Run Keaton Mitchell between the twenties every single time, like, that's what we need to do here in order for this offense to get the explosive kid on the field. And so until that happens, though, he's going to kind of stay in this ranking zone.
Does the matchup concern you at all? We've got Jacksonville here. I mean last week they were exploited by the tandem backfield of Joe Mixon and Jase Brown, but typically they've been a stingy matchup to opposing running backs. For a guy who lives off of being efficient, not a lot of opportunities here. Is the matchup a major concern?
It's tough matchup Jacksonville gives up. Has given up the third fewest rushing yards on the season to running backs three point seven yards per attempt, So definitely a bit of a concern, especially given the fact that he's only seen nine or fewer carries, so it definitely plays into the factor with the ranking. You know it's gonna happen, though we all know it's gonna happen. We're gonna we're gonna move him down rankings like we have and then he's gonna see fifteen touches and then we're gonna just kick ourselves because we know he has the talent to do it. And then he's gonna the increase and touches is going to offset the inefficiencies of the rush defense, I mean offset the inefficiencies based upon the matchup on the defense. So it's it's a frustrating. It's a frustrating piece with him because I love this kid. He's talented. It's just he needs to see more touches.
Pat, how about you on this one?
Yeah, you guys have laid it out pretty well as far as the head winds Keith Mitchell's facing with the tough matchup and the usage concerns. So ECRs got him at RB twenty nine, Billy and I have him at RB thirty one, and since Week nine, when the Ravens started using him every week, Mitchell has been RB thirty in Fantasy points per game, So we are right in the correct neighborhood here for him in the rankings, But Billy, I think you and I are probably below consensus on him just because we tend to follow the usage and it's leading us to the slightly lower than ECR ranking for him. It still hasn't had double digit carries in a game all season, and you know, as Billy pointed out last week against the Rams, Mitchell only played about a thirty the offensive snap. So yes, you can get that big splash play, and Keith Mitchell is certainly a guy capable of making his weekly fantasy quota on just one play, you know, a fifty yard touchdown run and boom, he's paid off for you. But if he does not connect for any big plays against a Jaguars defense that ranks number two in the league in DVA against the run, you could end up with a pretty disappointing fantasy day from Keith Mitchell because the volume just isn't there.
We're going to keep things here in this tier and talk about another player, Kenneth Walker RB thirty. You guys are on opposite ends here, so ECR has him at RB thirty. Pat, You've got him at RB twenty seven. Billy, you've got him at RB thirty four. I cannot wait to hear this debate because Kenneth Walker is someone who I want to be optimistic around his usage. But it's just concerning the type of split and workload that we're having here from Seattle. Then we've got the concerns with Gino Smith's injuries. Well, there's just a lot of factors working in here that makes it so difficult to really pinpoint his true upside. Pat, I'll start off with you, because you're a little bit higher on Kenneth Walker this week. Are you feeling like we're going to continue to maybe see a return of him to his RB one workload or are we at least trending in that.
Yeah, I don't know about that, Tara. I mean you mentioned it that he has been sharing work with Zach Charbonat, and although Walker did have a fifty six percent snapshare last week, I think it's fair to say that you know, Charbona is going to be involved. Like Walker is still out ranks him, but Charbona is going to be involved. So last week only eight carries for twenty one yards against the forty nine ers for Walker, but he did salvage an otherwise disappointing fantasy day by catching four passes for thirty three yards, and on one of those receptions, I'm sure Billy saw this one as a forty nine Ers fan, Walker reversed field and broke like twenty six tackles on one play. It was pretty impressive, And like, that's the thing with Walker. He is a really, really good player, So I think he's flexworthy even if he is no longer in the workhorse role. Walker investors were hoping that he would be in all year, and like, I'm not terrified by this matchup with the Eagles. Yes, the Eagles are allowing the fewest points per game to running backs on the season fantasy points, but I think a lot of that was because early in the season they were just blowing people's doors off and creating unfriendly game scripts for opponents. So the Eagles have faced the fourth fewest rushing attempts in the league. But get this, in their first nine games of the year, only one of the Eagles opponents managed to run for one thousand yards as a team or one hundred yards excuse me, So the Eagles were giving up sixty six point three rushing yards per game before their Week ten by. Since coming out of the by, the Eagles have been giving up more than They've been giving up one hundred and fifty six point three rushing yards per game, and they've allowed more than one hundred rushing yards to all four of their opponents. So I do not fear this matchup for Kenneth Walker, who is still a very good player. We're not going to get a workhorse roll most likely, but I think even on ten to fifteen kites he can be flexworthy.
For you, oof, that is a dramatic difference in terms of rush yards in the earlier season and then more recent You're good, very good thing to point out there so that we can see where these defensive trends are heading. Billy, what's the concern is that the usage or does match up make you kind of push him back a little further back from ECR here.
It's cutilization, you know, I know he's coming off injury. He saw fifty eight percent of snaps. He's seen that or fewer since Week seven, where he last saw seventy nine percent of snaps. So Charbonay has kind of been involved, you know, continued to be involved I don't think they're going to want to give Walker that seventy to eighty percent that he was seeing in the beginning of the season. They're going to want to keep him healthy, so I definitely think that that's a bit of a concern. The targets were nice. Bonus, it's first time that he's seen over thirteen percent since Week seven as well, so he saw a total of seventeen percent of the target sharer. So if that continues, I think that I might be a little low in the rankings. But it's hard to project that when you go from seventeen three percent ten percent, so seventeen percent might be a bit of anomaly here. So I do think it's we're in the ballpark. I'll probably settle closer to where Pat is when everything's one of the best settles in the rankings. But I do think that the trend with the Philadelphia has been changing, but there's a one stat that hasn't and they just don't give up a lot of touchdowns to running backs. They've given up zero in the air on the season. They've only given it four on the ground, which is tied for the the third fewest in the in the league. So it's going to take a bit of it's gonna take a bit of catches. It's going to take a you know, a good chunk of yards in the ground for him to pay this off, because quite frankly, touchdown doesn't look like it's gonna be likely in the books based upon the statistics. So I have a bit of hesitation this week with kendth Walker and uh, until we can see him back on the field in a larger full time capacity, I think it's it's going to kind of settle as a back in arby two touchdowns.
Rushing touchdowns could be the key there for him if he doesn't get that. It's been a while since we've seen an actual rushing touchdown for him since Week six, So without that, the upside is kind of capped there if the passing game is considerably inconsistent for him. So I agree on that one. We're going to talk about one more player here in this here it is ty Chandler. Ty Chandler, and obviously you know ECR is going to fluctuate in terms of ty Chandler as we get more information on this injury to Alexander Madison and just waiting waiting on pins and needles to kind of figure out if if we're looking at ty Chandler this week or ty Chandler rest of season? Is it ty Chandler season. Let's talk about it. Let's talk about it here. ECR has him at RB thirty six. Pat, you got him at RB twenty five. Billy, you're on with ECR at RB thirty seven, Billy, I'll start off with you with ty Chandler. Right here? Is this where ultimately he would end up if we had confirmation that Alexander Madison would go out or would how or would you be bumping up to him to a certain point.
No, I have a placeholder right now from Madison at roughly thirty two percent of the rushing share, So this this number would change drastically if Madison is ruled out. I mean that opens up a third of the total touches in the backfield, not to mention another you know three percent that I have pegged in for the target share right now for a placeholder. So I would probably be closer, if not higher than Pat, if Madison is ruled out for a fact, and I think it definitely changes the landscape of this backfield and how the usage is going to look because we saw that injury appear last week and Anti Chandler saw a season high and fifty six percent of the snaps and so forty eight percent of the rushing share and started taking on nine percent of the total targets for the game. So I definitely think that this is a fluid situation and we got to remain flexible here as news comes out, and that this is this kind of disclaimer ranking, is that this ranking is subject to change based upon news that we receive during the given week. Here for the running back landscape in Minnesota, nice I got to ask with Ty Chandler if we got if we got confirmation that we were going to not have Alexander Matterson rest of season, is this someone that you could comfortably see within your top twenty running back?
I mean, we know the explosive upside for him, and we don't have any competition from anybody else in that backfield.
No, I don't think top twenty. I just plugged the numbers iner it now to see what it would look like as you were talking just to it gets him like at the RB twenty three twenty four matchup, of course, will change the over under for the Vegas totals of course, will affect that line as well. But I could see him, you know, breaking the top twenty on certain weeks and maybe outside the top twenty on certain weeks, depending upon the matchups. Because we know that they're going to get Kenny Luwangu more involved. They may sign a veteran as well off the street, or bring in somebody like you know, Darrell Henderson, who knows what they're going to do. But Nuongu. We saw even Nuwangu get more involved last week, So it will not be one hundred percent Ty Chandler, as people who've been holding him all season would hope. I do think that he would probably see fifty five sixty percent of the Russian share until they were able to balance back to a lot more. But I don't necessarily quite think that's going to be enough to get him in the top twenty every week.
Oh Billy, that's not what I wanted to hear. I wanted to hear that my secret type the shares were just going to carry me to Fantasy championships in like five leagues. Come on, now, help me out here, God, maybe you can help me out here. How are you approaching Ty Chandler this week.
Yeah. So while Billy and the other rankers seem to be doing the prudent thing and sort of hedging a little bit with their rankings, you know, I'm never one to look before I leave, so I'm just leaping to the conclusion that Madison is not going to play this week. I don't know if that's the right conclusion in a draw, but I know that Madison hadn't practiced as of Tuesday, and the Vikings have a Saturday game this week, so it seems like kind of a long shot that he plays. Billy, let me ask you. I've got Chandler right now ranked in between Jerome Ford at RB twenty four and Jalen Warren at RB twenty six. If Madison were out, how would you rank those three Ford, Chandler and Jalen.
Warren Ford, Chandler, Jalen Warren. I'd probably have Chandler the top of the list.
Okay, Yeah, so I think you can make that case where he goes ahead of Ford. And like Billy said, I mean, I don't know if Chandler is getting all the work, Like, I don't think he would see in Ezekiel Elliott like ninety one percent snapshare twenty nine touches like Zeke had last week. Because Chandler's barely two hundred pounds, but he does have run catch versatility that we like, you know, like, I don't want to overstate the upside of a guy that the Vikings have refused to, you know, get more opportunities to despite the fact that he's behind Alexander Madison, who I think we can all agree as a pretty pedestrian starting running back in the NFL. But yeah, like, give Chandler that full workload and maybe you know, fifteen to eighteen touches against the Bengals run defense that's twenty seventh in DVOA, and I think he could give you a pretty nice week.
Moving on to the next here, here we've got Jerck McKinnon, Gus Edwards, Antonio Gibson, and Taj Spears. This is an interesting one. We already talked about Gus Edwards in terms of Keaton Mitchell. And then you've got some guys that are coming off of interesting games. We've got Jerck McKinnon coming off of the game where he didn't have a massive workload, but he did have touchdowns, so potentially opportunity if Pacheco is out, Antonio Gibson always a question mark, and then Taja Spears who had a nice little breakout there, while Derrick Henry was strong as well. The Titans looking overall a lot better against that Miami defense and have have a good interesting team matchup this week. So looking at the C minus here, Pat, I'll start off with you, is there anyone that you would prefer to pull out of this here for potential usage this week?
Yeah?
I mean, I think Antonio Gibson is the really interesting guy if Brian Robinson isn't able to play. If Robinson does play, Gibson is not really startable, or at least not if you want to get fantasy points out of it. But if we do see Robinson miss this game, suddenly Gibson is probably operating as the lead back. I mean, maybe we see some of Chris Rodriguez Junior, but like it would definitely vault Gibson into I think, you know, RB two flex status flex worthiness for this.
Week, Billy, how about you in this year?
Yeah?
I agree with Pat. I'm gonna just throw Tajy Spears in names of the hat as well. I've seen fourteen targets the last two weeks and for the last three weeks he's RB twenty eight. I think he's getting kind of this defined role in the passing game and has been utilized a little bit more on the ground as well, So I think he's got a pretty high upside if he does get a larger role on a week to week basis, and and I like his involvement in the passing game.
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It's first and foremost the bears. The second it is a committee. I mean it's it's fifty six per just based off last week's numbers, fifty six percent snaps for Foreman, seventeen percent for Herbert, twenty seven percent for Roshan Johnson. But if you go back now, if you go into the week before, it's seventy five percent Roshan Johnson, it was only twenty four percent Dante Foreman seventeen and then is twenty two percent Khalil Herbert. And back to that week, Roshan Johnson got the targets. Last week, Foreman got the targets. So it's it's going to be impossible to kind of pin the tail on the Donkey here and try to figure out what this coaching scheme is going to do with this backfield in a given week. They're clearly playing the hot hand approach, and it's to the point the season where you got to see what you got in the rookie. And I think that they're going to continue to get the rookie more and more and more involved as they prepare for the twenty twenty four seasons. So I get that Foreman has been pretty productive with the touches that he's gotten, but I'm not quite sure how many touch he's going to get. Not to mention, they are facing the Cleveland Browns, and let's face it, the Browns are one of the best defense in the NFL, so I know they can be beat on the ground. I just I just don't have a lot of faith inside of this offense. And I think the game script is going to hurt Chicago in this instance. And I definitely think that this is where Foreman is the weakest, is inside the passing game. And I think that we're going to see a little bit more roche On this week.
So less about Herbert and more about Rocheaw And I can maybe get on board with that Pat, you are on the positive side of Donta Foreman, talk us into Donta Foreman.
Yeah, so we are most likely going to see all of Deonta Foreman, Khalil Herbert, and Roshan Johnson. Billy's right. It has been kind of a committee. But once again, I'm gonna leap to conclusions based on last week's results. And I mean Foreman had seven more snaps than Khalil Herbert and Roshan Johnson combined. He had eleven carries, where Herbert and Rochean combined for four. And this was with Foreman coming off an injury. So like he comes off the injury and immediately operates as the lead back, it seems like they made up their mind about who the lead back is going to be. Yeah, and I realized the matchup against the Browns is kind of a tricky one. But we do see the rushing efficiency of running backs often spike when they're playing with mobile quarterbacks, which is certainly the case here with justin fields. So I do think Foreman offers flex worthiness. I am using him in a playoff game this week in the case Classic where we have three flex spots. So with three flex spots. The threshold for flexworthiness is lowered a bit, But like, I don't feel bad about having Deonta Foreman in my lineup this week. Like I don't feel like that's any sort of gaping hole. And I'm betting that he leads the Bears and touches among the running backs this week.
Pat, I am on your side here. I do a waiver wire video for Fantasy pros, and I am very, very pro do on to Foreman. He was my number one waiver wire at it the week because he is shockingly lower rostered than Khalil Herbert. Billy, you haven't pointed out that if there's someone that we're leaning here towards other than Foreman, it's probably Roshan. But Herbert is the highest rostered of all of these backs. And I agree with Pat when we're looking at the statistics. We talked about him coming back from the injury, Foreman was immediately put back into the RB one role prior to the injury. He got hurt on that first drive. He started off the drive in that game, he was the RB one. He got the goal line touch. He I think we've got plenty of evidence here that I leaned towards him consistently being this RB one and they're just committed to it at this point. So I'm with you, Pat, I feel more comfortable I'm higher than ECR on Forman this week.
I'll just say that. You know, like, I think a lot of us want to see Roshan get this bigger audition for twenty twenty four and that seemed like maybe the way things were going to go down in week thirteen when he played like a lot more than Khalil Herbert. But then we also wondered if that might be just because the Vikings blitz so much and Roshan is really good at blitz pick up. And it turns out based on the week fourteen usage, like, yeah, maybe that was the case, that it was just sort of a game specific usage thing for Roshan. But I'd like to see him get more run down the stretch. I just don't know if it's going to happen.
I agree with that. Moving on to the D plus tire, we've got Kareem Hunt, Bamian Peerish, Jamal Williams, Tyler Algier. I don't know about you, guys, but Kareem Hunt is the only one that I feel like we can pretend really pull out here. We did see that that a little bump and increase from Jamal Williams from Taysom Hill being out. But I just don't feel like this is a very reliable group here outside of Korean hut Billy. I'll start off with you. Is there anyone that you could turn to in a low inflex option in deeper leagues?
No?
I think you were spot on here. Kareem has the only one that you can even quote unquote kind of trust here, and it's just based upon his goal line usage and his short down distance, so at least he has a role. The other backs here I have inconsistent roles and a lack of usage, So the only one I'd play here is on pat How about you, Like, if.
You're really in a pinch, I could maybe make a slight case for Tyler Algier strictly because of the match up against the Panthers, because the Panthers are so bad against the run. But the thing is like Algier was getting double digit carries pretty consistently, and now the Falcons are mixing in court Aero Patterson, which is sort of kneecapping the floor for Tyler Algeer every week, So boy, it's just like a matchup driven like Hail Mary flex play here for Tyler Algier.
Arthur Smith at it again. Moving on to the D minus tier, we've got Knnick game Well, Miles Sanders, Aaron Jones, Rico Daddle and another play that we talked about just now, Roshan Johnson. Aaron Jones obviously down here with the question marks in terms of injuries here when you're looking at this tier, it's it's interesting, but is there is there anyone that you would potentially pull out from this tier here? Patt'll start off with.
You, Oh no, Tara. I mean like if you are you're you're basically waving the white flag and you're starting any of these guys in a playoff game, Uh, you would. You would need your other starters to make up a lot of ground to account for the donut hole you're gonna get from this lineup spot. Even Aaron Jones, Like if he was cleared and I think he did some light practice work before the Week fourteen game didn't play, so if he comes back this week. The only thing is, like the Packers are notoriously cautious about bringing guys back from injury. So even if he does play, he's probably not getting a full compliment of snaps and touches this week.
True would be very unreliable, Billy. How about you in this year? Yeah?
If I mean, the only correct answer here is if Aaron Jones plays, you're gonna in this group, He's gonna be the one that you're gonna choose, because even in the limited capacity, he's still gonna finish as like RB thirty to Derby forty. We saw it all season, pretty much after Week one when he was the number one RB, he just kind of hasn't played much. And I've seen thirteen or fewer rushing attempts in every single game outside of Week nine, and so I think he's the only name in here that I would trust. If I had a gamble and I don't have him out of this group, it'd be roacheon Johnson in hopes of some passing down.
I agree with that. We're gonna do one more segment here. Who would you rather? You guys know the drill. I'm giving you two players, you tell me which one you prefer. We're gonna start off here with. And this one is interesting. James Cook versus is ze Heel Elliott. These were two players that you probably didn't think you would be comparing earlier in the season, and James Cook on a nice slide there as well, coming back into relevance here. Finally, so this is interesting these guys both on an upswing here and in difficult matchups. Ezekiel Elliott versus the Chiefs, James Cook versus the Cowboys pat Who would you rather?
Oh, man, I've got them right next to each other, Tara. I have Zeke at RB twenty and Cook at RB twenty one, and with Ramandra Stevenson out of the lineup. Last week, Zeke had twenty nine touches and played a ninety one percent snapchare. I don't know how long he's going to survive if he keeps getting that sort of workload, but hey, his fantasy investors just want to see it for three more weeks. So and the thing about the matchup, like, I don't totally hate it. I mean I hate that the Patriots are probably going to lose this game by double digits, even though the Chiefs haven't been firing on all cylinders. But the Chiefs are really good against the pass and not all that great against the run there thirtieth and Dvoa against the run. So we've got Zeke in a decent matchup with a lot of volume, but in a very limited offense. And then we've got James Cook, who is undeniably more explosive than Zeke and plays in the far better offense. But Cook also is a tougher matchup against the Cowboys. And while Cook is undeniably the lead back for Buffalo, he does occasionally lose some snaps and touches to Latavius Murray and Ty Johnson. So really close call, But I'm going to lean into the volume with Zeke here.
If only the Bills would just give James Cook Ezekiel Elliott's usage, then we will just all be said, if this would be so easy, Billy, what do you think here? Is it Ezekiel Elliott or James Cook for you?
Initially, when I was reading the show notes, I had this whole argument of why it should be James Cook based upon the usage increase ever since they made the coaching change. But it's very hard to argue with thirty touches in a game. And that's what we saw from Ezekiel Elliott last week twenty two on the ground, eight targets in the air, he had seventy two receiving yards. He had sixty eight rushing yards. You know, touchdown, touchdown, the air, And so it doesn't matter if they're ahead, doesn't matter if they're behind. Against Kansas City, we all know they're probably gonna behind. But even even if that is either situation happens, his volume and his usage is gonna be pretty much protected here because they're gonna use them for dumpoffs or they're gonna use them for ground and pounds. So I think I'm gonna go with the twenty eight year old Ezekiel Elliott over the twenty four year old James Cook in a playoff matchup and a very tough situation on both sides. So thirty touches. That's what it breaks down to there.
It is you can't deny that. You can't deny that. Also, the offense just looks so much better with with Zeke. He just made it. So I'm joking. I'm not saying that Zeke was the solution to the Patriots answer. No one clipped that and make me look crazy there. Moving on to the next who would you rather it is? Gus Edwards. We talked about that Baltimore backfield, Gus Edwards versus the Jags or Jeric McKinnon versus the Patriots, the battle of guys who need to get touchdowns. Billy, I'll start off with you, which one do you prefer here?
Option see Rico Dubel.
Yeah, if I had to pick one here, I'm gonna I'm gonna start Gus and pray for a touchdown.
That's what we're that's what we're hoping for when when we start them, I mean, McKinnon gets some passing down work. But if they get ahead, which we're expecting them to, it's not going to be McKinnon on the field here. We're probably going to see more Clido's lair. We could potentially even see some generic prints if they activate him from the practice squad. I just don't trust the McKinnon usage, especially in a game that they're probably going to lead by double digit points most of the time. So I'm going to go Gus Edwards here and cross my fingers and pray for a goal line carry and he plunges in for two touches, one for a touchdown for two yards.
Pat Who would you rather? Yeah?
I mean you said it at the top tra with this being the battle of the touchdown dependent running backs and man generally, in a case like this, I want to go for the guy who catches more passes, which would be McKinnon. But I have Gus ranked higher here. I mean he's even though he's splitting snaps with Keith Mitchell and Justice Hill, which is an ideal, Edwards is still averaging eight point four carries over his last five games and still has five touchdowns over that stretch. Like, if they're at the goal line, Gus is getting the ball. So you know, McKinnon had four carries last week for nineteen yards and a touchdown. Four carries is his season high on the season. Like, so even though you know he's go a few targets every game, I'm going to go for Gus here, Like, I just think he has the slightly better chance of tumbling into the end zone.
I'll make it a three way sweep here, and we will go with.
Gus wide receivers.
Now, we're going to look at these top twenty players here. First, Billy, I'll start off with you what stands out here in these top twenty receivers.
It's not who's in there, but who's not in there? And it's Justin Jefferson, And I think people are hedging, but I expect him to play. And if he's playing, I know we're all going to put him inside of our top five. So it's a name I expect to kind of shift this top ten up pretty significantly. I expect him to be in the game. Ten year old reported it the other day on Twitter that Justin Jefferson was going to be playing as they were walking through the convenience store, and so we also got news reports today that he was going to be playing. So I expect to see just Jefferson on the field and inside of the Top twenty.
Hopefully he'll have that Devon Hn track where he got injured, comes back, has a fantastic game. So yeah, let's we're going with Justin Jefferson and having a big game this week. Hopefully. What stands out for you here in this top twenty.
Oh man, what a difference a week makes for Cooper Cup. I think a week ago everyone was wondering if Cooper Cup was toast, and you know he's facing this bad matchup against the Ravens. I think he was down at like wide receiver twenty seven in ECR or something like that. And then, after six straight games with fewer than fifty receiving yards, Cooper Cup goes out against the Ravens and has eight catches for one hundred and fifteen yards and a touchdown. Now he gets a matchup against an absolutely dreadful Washington pass defense. The Commanders have given up nine point eight yards per pass attempt over their last three games, and league average is something like six point six yards per pass attempt. So Commanders can't cover, they can't rush the pass, the pass or anymore after trading Montese, Sweat and Chase, but man wide receiver eight is still really aggressive. Look you're starting Cooper Cup, I think this week. But I've got Tom met wide receiver seventeen, and I've got Pookin a Cooper ranked a little higher. Billy, Where do you have copp this week?
I got Cup at wide deceiver nine.
So you're you're right there with dcr Man. Maybe I'm I'm the oddball. This is a this is a tasty matchup.
Indeed it is. And Matt Stafford has been on such a hot streak here ten touchdowns over the past three games. He just looks different. I'm just looking at the Rams as a whole, Kyen Williams back. They look like a different complete team. So I'm buying into it that we can finally trust Cooper Cup here. So I'm leaning into a Cooper Cup top ten here. I'm excited for it and crossing my fingers that we get it again. For in depth analysis on any of these players, go to Fantasy pros dot com slash rankings and for updated rankings, make sure that you're using are my playbook gap. Now we're going to start off here with the B tier. B tier is a very interesting tier. It starts Satting. We've got a Marii Cooper, Calvin Ridley coming off of the disappointing game, Tyler Lockett, Terry McLaurin who's having just kind of a rough season in general there with consistency, Drake London coming off the big game there for Atlanta, and Justin Jefferson who we just talked about as well, probably going to create back up into these rankings here. Now we're going to pull out one person here, and there's a lot to talk about. There's a lot to talk about about the person that we're pulling out of the rankings. Here it is Tyler Lockett. Tyler Lockett here in this B tier and spoiler alert, Pat and Billy don't feel like he deserves to be there. ECR has him at wide receiver twenty six. Pat, you got him at wide receiver thirty one. Billy, you got him at wide receiver thirty eight. I mean, I'm with you, guys. I'm not judging at all here. I just don't know if we can trust Tyler Lockett is a borderline wide receiver two point. It feels aggressive. Pat also off with you wide receiver thirty one. Man talk to us about Tyler Lockett.
Yeah, I mean, I think it's the growth of Jackson Smith and Jigba's role that's draining a little bit of fantasy value from Tyler Lockett. I mean, the floor is pretty safe. He's seen at least five targets in every game since Week two, and over his last five games he's averaging seven point two targets, five point four catches, sixty one point eight receiving yards like those are wide receiver three numbers. I think that's where he belongs to this week in the rankings. Great matchup against an Eagles defense that has just gotten its doors blown off by wide receivers over the last couple of months. I think Lockett is very playable this week, but considering that it's now a three receiver split in Seattle and those targets are coming from either Gino Smith, who wouldn't be fully healthy if he plays, or Drew Locke, I just think wide receiver twenty six is a little too aggressive.
Yeah, it's definitely a layup matchup. Targeting Philadelphia is one of the Philadelphia receivers and quarterbacks against Philadelphia has been pretty much a failsafe all season long. But unfortunately, again we got Jackson Smith. Well, not unfortunate for Jackson Smith and Jigmit great for him, but he is peeking in there and just kind of capping this upside. That fourteen Week fourteen performance from Tyler Lockett was the best we had seen in several weeks from him. Outside of that, it's just been a lot of mediocrity. Unfortunately, Billy, with you wide receiver thirty eight man that is way way behind ECR any adjustments there are you sticking to that? Are you thinking that this is just going to be a week where he just can't take advantage of this matchup.
No, there's his name circled on the sheet. This is the algorithm the first kickout. I go through and adjust them based upon matchups and the matchups just juice. I mean, Philadelphia has given up the most Fantasy points to wide receivers across the league. They've given up that the only team over two hundred receptions they've given up in the league. They've given up the second most receiving yards at twenty five and ten. They've given up the most touchdowns in the league at twenty three the wide receiver position. So I think there's a manual adjustment that I'm going to have to make here. For Tyler Lockett, I don't think I'm going to be able to get as quite as high as ECR, but probably closer to where Pat is in this matchup, just based or in the rankings, just based upon the matchup. There's definitely some concern utilization. Pat touched on it, the increased usage for Jack Smith the JIGBA, who saw twenty three percent of targets last week, thirty one percent in week thirteen, and Tyler Lockett has saw twenty percent twenty three respectively. So I do think that it is a three headed monster now, and it's something that we got to kind of keep in mind. We're doing these these projections.
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It's just an inconsistent usage. Last week, of course, the usage was great, but we've kind of seen him do this alternating every other week between his routes ran and you know, fifty seven percent last week, thirty three percent in week twelve, fifty two percent week eleven, forty percent in week ten. Uh. And so when we have this kind of up and down metric, it's it's very hard to pinpoint, uh and to to rely on on a week to week basis. I definitely think that the offense has changed since we saw the loss of Mark Andrews, and it's definitely benefited Odell Beckham, and the thing is going to continue to benefit him. But it's just it's just a little difficult to put him, you know, much higher than wide receiver thirty five, thirty four, thirty three, thirty five. Okay, we're splitting hairs here. I'm not going to argue with someone if they want to have him in thirty three, but I see some inside the top thirty and it's a little bit it's a little bit of a concern for me. So overall, I mean, the matchup isn't anything to be that scared of, but I do think that, uh, the incostent usage is why I have him at thirty five.
You're right, the inconsistent inconsistency is definitely an issue, and a lot of that I think has to do with the you know, he gets banged up almost every single game off and on the field, and dealing with these minor injuries just something that happens with Odell and it really limits his usage there. So we're just crossing our fingers that if he stays healthy throughout a single game, you can get those kind of games like he saw last week with ten targets if he's actually on the field, But it's just so hard to depend on it, Pat, how are you feeling about Odell?
Better than I thought I would? Tara and I thought we were well past the time that we would ever be thinking about putting Odell Beckham into our lineups for fantasy playoff games. But like I do think he belongs sort of in the wide receiver three flex conversation at least this week. And like, remember Odell's run with the Rams a few years ago before he tore his ACL on the Super Bowl. It was like there just weren't any big plays. He was really touchdown. De Pennant eight regular season games with the Rams, five touchdowns, but just like eleven point three yards per catch average like thirty eight yards a game. Weirdly, now we have reintroduced the big play into Odell's game, like it's reminiscent of his days with the Giants again and like averaging sixteen point three yards per catch this year. Average depth of target is thirteen point six yards. Three of Obj's ten targets last week were considered deep targets, and he had two hundred and eighteen air yards, which is crazy. So yeah, I mean I'm a little below consensus son Beckham because of what Billy was pointing out, just we can't count on consistent targets. But I don't mind him in all. This week in a pretty good matchup against the Jaguars.
I immediately thought of that run with the Rams as well. I think maybe maybe we dub him. Maybe we take away playoff Lenny and we rebrand Odell to playoff Odell. But we got to think about a more clever name, because playoff Lenny just sounded cool. I don't like playoff Odell. We'll figure that out, But yes, maybe we're getting more Odell as we head towards the end of the season. Moving on to the C plus tier, We've got Brandon Cooks, T Higgins, Jacobe Myers, Markus Brown hopefully returning this week, Chris Godwin, and Romeo Dobbs. In this tier, we're not pulling out the Packers players. Shocking. I'm just like kind of thrown here. We're actually pulling out T Higgins that we want to talk about here. T Higgins is a painful one. I think you know for me, guys, you know me. I'm a Clemson alumni. This is my Clemson brethren, and he has just been on the struggle bus. Even last week. The little uptick in volume that he had, it just wasn't anything that he could really write home about, barely even ten Fantasy points. So looking at ECR, we've got wide receiver thirty five and Pad and Billy. You guys are not feeling it either. Wide receiver thirty nine for Pat, Wide receiver forty three for Billy. I would like to make an argument against it, but I can't. I can. Unfortunately, Billy, what is your trust level with T? Higgins?
Trust is strong word. I don't really trust him. Seven targets in the last two weeks. He is definitely on the field though, and he's getting his cardio in eighty one percent of routes weeks thirteen and fourteen, both those those those weeks, but eleven percent of targets in week thirteen, seventeen percent of targets last week. It's just it just seems to be that T Higgins is definitely an afterthought. I mean, I know he's coming, He's had some injuries this season, but Tyler Boyd has, you know, kind of stepped up. Jamar Chase is seeing a bulk of the targets here. And that's what we usually see when we have a wide receiver or say a quarterback that comes in that isn't a veteran quarterback, they typically like to hone in and lock into one receiver, and that's Jamar Chase in this offense. And so we've seen an increase of usage at the running back position, of course, in the passing game two with browning at quarterback, Joe Mixon has seen nineteen percent targets week thirteen, seventeen percent of targets here in Week fourteen, and we're even seeing you know, Chase Brown getting heavily involved in the passing game last week who saw thirteen percent of targets. So we're seeing a shift in the offense with with Browning at quarterback. We're seeing more dump offs to the running backs, We're seeing more targets to the running backs, and we're seeing one receiver be honed in, locked in and that is not T Higgins. So I definitely have some concern with him moving forward.
Yeah, when we can get more reliable usage out of the back at running back, that is a major major problem for T Higgins. Pat talk to us about T Higgins.
Yeah, so boy, this whole tier, Tara is like the throw up your hands, like there's a lot of talent on this here, but like you can't trust any of these dudes. And that's kind of the thing with T Higgins. Like, I know, the matchup against the Vikings looks pretty good on paper, and we're no longer concerned about the Bengals pass catchers being limited by bad quarterbackings since Jake Browning has proved to be a pretty competent replace sid for Joe Burrow, but Jamar Chase as a target hog. Billy mentioned the uptick in targets to running backs we saw with you know Chase Brown and Joe mix in last week, and even the tight ends are getting it, like blocking tight end Drew Sample was getting targets last week and Tyler Boyd there too. Higgins has had four or fewer targets in four of his last six games, and for the year, in nine games the T Higgins has played, he's had two good weeks, two okay weeks, and five games that were just complete duds. So more than half of his games have been just total fantasy duds. And look, I mean, there's no denying Tara. I do not want to be smirch or Clemson guy. Like, there's no denying that T. Higgins is super talented and we are going to fall in love with T Higgins all over again in the offseason when some team drives a Brinks truck over to his house, maybe two Brinks trucks and just starts unloading piles of money on his doorstep, and like, hopefully it's the Kansas City Chiefs, because if he goes to the right place, Like, people are going to be drafting T. Higgins in the top fifteen or top twenty next year. But for this year, the range of outcomes is so wide and that range includes such an uncomfortably low floor that I just I don't want to mess with him in my lineup this week if I can help it.
Nah, you didn't even hurt my feelings at all there. I completely agree. I've unfortunately drafted him on one single team of all the teams, one single team, and it's just been a struggle off season long because you just can't rely on him. You mentioned Drew Sample even getting looks. We talked about my Scott Fish Bowl team off camera. You know who I'm starting at tight end in there, Tanner Hudson. I'm starting Tanner Hudson at tight end because he too has been more reliable than t Higgins crazy. Moving on to the Sea tier here, this is an intriguing tier. We're not going to pull out one specific player and talk about rink, but we are definitely going to talk about this tier as a whole because there are quite a few options here that have some potential upside. But it is definitely a volatile tier. We've got Josh Downs who've seen a dip in production, Curtis Samuel always an interesting streaming option. We talked about Jackson Smith and Jigba Noah Brown, Zay Jones, Gabe Davis, the nice little three range of volatility players there, Jordan Addison, Johan Dotson, George Pickens, and Jerry Judy bringing up the rear as usual. Now, looking at this tier, I'll start off with you, Billy, In this tier, I mean, it's quite a big grouping here. What player if you were going and looking at your flex spot in the Fantasy playoffs, Because we're in the Fantasy playoffs, we are looking to We're not looking to get by, we're looking to win here. Who would you be pulling to get you that playoff win from this tier?
From this tier, I'm probably looking at a combination of either Jordan Addison or I'd have to say it Kurtis Samuel, who's be heavily involved. But Jordan Addison I think has kind of been pushed down here just because of the presence of Jefferson again and so he's being placed out here. But even when Jefferson was active in the beginning season, yes it was with Kirk Cousins, but Addison was still scoring touchdowns and being pretty heavily targeted. So I think Addison has the highest ceiling but also has a better floor of most these guys in this category, so I'd be leaning into Jordan Edison.
I like that one as well. Pat, how about you.
I think Curtis Samuel is the safe floor guy here. And you know, Curtis Samuel has sort of destroyed the fantasy value single handedly if Johan Dotson this year, like Dotson's only good games have come with Samuel out of the lineup, And I think part of that is that it seems like Sam Howell feels a lot more comfortable throwing in the middle of the field than to the boundaries, and that's sort of where Curtis Samuel operates. So I think he's the safest floor. The guy we could probably talk ourselves into if certain things break right would be Noah Brown. The most obvious thing breaking right would be CJ. Stroud clear and concussion protocol and playing, in which case, all of a sudden, Noah Brown, this guy who had some really big games and had a really productive stretch, is potentially the number one receiver for a very good quarterback, you know, with no Tank Dell and most likely no Nico Collins this week.
Yeah, that one's a good point right there. Noah Brown does have some potential upside if C. J. Stroud plays this week. Moving on to the C minus tier, a little smaller tier, it's Elijah Moore, De Mario Douglas, Jonathan Mingo, and Nico Collins. Again, we talked about the injury situation with Nico Collins pushing him further back in these tiers, but we want to pull out the one at the top right there. It is Elijah Moore, and we've got some differences and opinions right here. ACR has Elijah Moore at wide receiver fifty one. Pat, you got him all the way up at wide receiver thirty six, and Billy has got him at wide receiver fifty two. So Pat, I will start off with you talk us into sell us on the appeal of Elijah Moore.
Oh, I'm so bummed I couldn't bring Billy along with me on this one. And then I look at Billy's ranking and he's actually below ECR on this I feel like John Belushi and Animal House trying to rally the frat brothers and charging out the door, and no one gets up from their seats. So in two games with Joe Flacco at quarterback, Elijah Moore has eighteen targets and three hundred and thirty four air yards. Now granted, two hundred and fifty five of those are yards came in week fourteen when Amari Cooper got hurt in the first half, but still like seventy nine air yards last week, that's pretty decent. And the Browns are letting Flacco air it out like He's had forty four and forty five pass attempts in his two starts for Cleveland, and this week it's really hard to run on the Bears, so I think Flacco is going to be airing it out again. I do think Elijah Moore with kind of a narrow target tree for the Browns. It's it's Cooper, it's Elijah Moore, it's Davin Nijoku. I do think More is kind of a sneaky wide receiver three or flex play Billy.
How are you feeling about Elijah More?
You know, I think Pat brings out a lot of great points, But in the leagues I play in, we get fantasy points for catching the ball and not getting air yards and more. Elijah More has had four or fewer catches in the last three weeks, even in the game where he saw twelve targets when Amari Cooper left against the Rams secondary, who's very beatable. Chicago, although very tough against the run if you look, and who has it kind of throughout the season, been again beat in the air over the course of the last three weeks, has been very stingy against wide receivers and has actually been one of the better defenses in the NFL and the secondary over the course last three weeks, they've only given up three hundred and fifty two yards to a receiver since Week eleven. That is good for the fourth best inside of the league. Only three touchdowns as well to wide receivers during the course of that span. So Chicago has definitely made improvements on the defensive front. And I just don't fully trust Elijah Moore this usage is either so seventy seven percent of routes last week, only fifteen percent of targets he did see twenty six percent the week that Amari Cooper went out, but of course didn't equate too much fantasy points. Still that week only saw eighty three total yards in twenty eighth overall wide receiver finish, and he went back to his kind of normal usage here when Amari Cooper's back on the field. Three receptions, six targets, and overall wide a seer forty six last week against Jacksonville, who is you know, top bottom three in the league against wide receivers. So don't have a lot of confidence in Elijah.
More Elijah Moore all the targets, none of the receptions. But I would venture to say that he's a lot happier than he was in New York. He's actually getting the targets now, so I'm certain that he's happy camper, even if we're not a happy camper with his actual usage. Moving on to the D plus here, we've got Juju Smith Schuster coming off of an interesting game there. Hey, you know, when you narrow it down and everybody else is hurt, he can he can provide some value. We've also got Jalen Hyatt and Wandel Robinson coming off of the strong performance. We weren't going to pull out anyone in particular, but I'll talk about Wandel Robinson here, or I'll ask you guys to talk about Wondel Robinson. Pat I'll start off with you. When you're looking at that Giant's receiving core. We got Tommy DeVito on a little bit of a role here. They're potentially trying to make this little playoff push Wandel Robinson coming on and looking looking fantastic. Are you do you have any trust in Wandel Robinson? Do you think he can provide some late season value here?
Boy?
I still think he is at the desperation level at this time of year. But the nice thing about it is, like with Jalen Hyatt, you have to get that big play or you're not getting like his last five games. I mean, hy Hat had a one hundred and nine yard game and every other game was like under thirty yards and there were a few zeros thrown in there too, Whereas I think with Wandel Robinson, like you're gonna see these manufactured touches for him, these very quick hitting pass routes and some runs too. So I think there's at least a little bit of a built in floor there where you're probably not gonna get a zero from Wandel Robinson. And in PPR you can maybe count on five, six, seven points at minimum, not a lot of big play upside, not a lot of touchdown upside, But like, if you're really desperate, I think you could get some minimum number of points out of Wandell Robinson.
Millie, would you turn to Rondo Robinson if you had to, if you had to, or or does one of these other guys appeal to you.
I'm looking elsewhere. New Orleans has been again fairly tough as well for the last as week eleven, I've actually given up the fewest fantasy points to the wide sleeper positions week eleven, they've only given up three hundred and two receiving yard since that time span, only one receiving touchdown. Although you know, this whole Devido story has been fun to watch, I think it might come to kind of a screeching halt this week.
Oh painful. So we'll have the end of the movie this week, because I do think that it is coming at some point. He Tommy to Vito movie. Moving on to the D tier here another you know, we get into these lower tiers and it gets difficult. There's some guys where you're playing super super deep leagues. You might be looking here, but it's got to be some fourteen sixteen team leagues and you're pushing the limits of these guys that you're tapping into. We've got Tyler Boyd. We talked about him a little bit earlier in terms of him compared to T Higgins. We've got Khalil Shakir, Dontavian Wicks, Jamison Williams, Alec Pears, Forshad Bateman, Darius Slayton, Quentin Johnston and Rondo Moore. Of these guys in this tier, Billy, I'll start off with you, is there anyone that you could lean to forwards if you had to?
I think it comes with the caveat of we got to see what happens inside of this Chargers offense, because if Keenan Allen sits this week, Quentin Johnson now becomes interesting. I know, we get Palmer back this week as well. So definitely just the way the pecking order is going to look inside this Chargers offense. But he has seen a bump in targets lately. He's actually caught a few balls, he hasn't dropped them all. So I think that this is something that we can kind of keep an eye on. I think Quinton Johnson would be an interesting discussion if in a desperation.
Mode, I can get on board with that one. Pat, how about you, oh.
Man, I don't think I can get on board with q Jana. It's just not like he couldn't get going with Justin Herbert throwing to him. I don't know if Easton Stick is gonna be the guy who unlocks Quentin Johnston, even if Keenan Allen doesn't play like Dantavian Wicks would be the guy here who would be most fascinating, especially in the good matchup against the Buccaneers. But it sounds like he might have sustained a high ankle sprain on Monday night, in which case a guy who's like not even on this tier and probably way lower Malie Heath might even be kind of interesting for the desperation the desperation crowd who needs some hail Mary at wide receiver. But yeah, this this is not a real appealing tier.
Quite frankly, it's not, I will say, in defense of Quentin Johnson just a tiny bit because he was so dreadful before he wasn't operating as the wide receiver three. He was a wide receiver four there for a while, especially in preseasons. So you know, maybe he has a nice little rapport there running with the twos with Eastern Stick. Maybe I wouldn't count on it, but it's a theory. It's a theory that you could run with. And by the way, you guys, just as a reminder, if you have if we have done, if we've helped out, if you're in the Fantasy playoffs, and we have provided any kind of information that has helped you along the way, we love to hear the feedback. We love it. If you would let us know how you're doing. You could go to fantasypros dot com, slash review, or you could go and review us on Spotify as well. We would greatly appreciate it. All right, We're going to be moving on to another Who would you rather segment for wide receivers? We've got Terry McLaurin versus the Rams or Drake London versus the Panthers. Terry McLaurin coming off of the bye week, Drake London coming off of the Massive game potentially match up though that really helped push that one forward, and that's such a good matchup against the Panthers. I don't want to tip my hat in terms of which way I am leaning, but Billy, I'll start off with you, Terry McLaurin versus Drake London. Who you got here?
I have these guys back to back. In my rankings, I both have them both as kind of back in wide receiver twos. That being said, when we have this kind of coin flip range and their neck and neck like this, I like to look at implied totals vegas totals. This game has an over under of forty nine. And then also it looked at the matchups and we've seen since Week eleven the Rams have given up six most Fantasy points to the wide receiver position seven hundred and five receiving yards as well. On top of that, so I could see this game becoming a kind of a gun slinger shootout between Stafford and Howell. And I'm going to lean towards Terry McLaurin in this matchup.
Pat, how about you.
I'm going to go the opposite way on this one. I'm going to go with Drake London. And it's funny like I think we maybe talked about this, but if you had told us before this season that the Washington Commanders were going to be like the pass heaviest team in the league this year, and that Sam Hall was going to lead the league in pass attempts for most of the season, I think we would have been drafting like Terry McLaurin at the two three turn, and right now he is the wide receiver thirty seven in PPR scoring, And I think that does kind of get back to what I was talking about earlier and Sam Hall feeling much more comfortable throwing to the middle of the field into the boundaries. So man, But like the rankers just don't want to move Terry McLaurin down all year. He's been just way too high week after week in the rankings. So he's at wide receiver twenty nine. They moved him down a little bit, but he's typically much higher than that. Yeah, Like I'd rather play Drake London and I know the matchup against the Panthers isn't great. They've allowed the fifth fewest Fantasy points to wide receivers, but London's just been way more efficient with his targets this year, like eight point nine yards per target versus six point nine for McLaurin. Give me the more efficient receiver and the guy who's like the only wide receiver in his offense, whereas like the commanders are chopping it up like all these different ways, and even Dmmy Brown is getting targets every week.
That's true. Anyone and everyone getting targets at a shockingly equal rate there in Washington makes it miserable. I still do lean towards Terry McLaurin given the matchup and Drake lun and I just get I get worried about I don't I don't hate it, but I just get a little bit worried this week for him. The second who would you rather it is? Romeo Dobbs versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers good match up there, or Jay Jones coming off of a very high target game oddly high target game there versus the Ravens with Christian Watson out for the season. Pat, I'll start off with you, who would you rather? Romeo Dobbs or.
Zay Jones two guys who benefit from missing Christians. With Christian Watson and Christian Kirk both injured this week, I've got Zay Jones ranked a little higher than Romeo Dobbs. Granted he only had five catches for twenty nine yards last week, but Jay Jones did have fourteen targets, didn't do a lot with them, but he was getting peppered with throws. And I think we can count on a healthy target total for Jay Jones. Again, with Christian Kirk out, Dobbs does have the better matchup against the Buccaneers, but Jordan Love really spreads the ball around. The last time Dobbs had more than seven targets in a game was October twenty ninth, So yeah, even with Christian Watson out last week and the Packers trailing the Giants for most of the game, Dubbs only had seven targets and that was about as many easy scene in a month and a half. So I will take Zay Jones. It's close, but give me.
Za volume does favor to day Billy. Who would you rather?
Man? Pat and I have been on opposite spectrums for the most of this show, and so I'm gonna just keep the trend going here and I'm gonna go with Romeo and Pat kind of touch base on it. There's no Christian Watson he also touched based on it earlier. There's probably no Dutavian Wicks, who saw fourteen percent of the target shares, so that opens up another double digit amount. So I do think that although Romeo hasn't seen a lot of targets, I think it's gonna be out of kind of de fact though, He's gonna have to see more now with just the fewer competition for targets there. And so Jayden Reid's probably gonna see, you know, twenty five to thirty percent, and I think Romeo Dobbs probably gonna see twenty to twenty three percent. So I do think he might see double digit targets this week. And Pat also mentioned the match is a little juice here. He faces Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who have given up the fourth most Fantasy point since week eleven here to the wideceiver position, I've actually given up seven hundred and forty receiving yards as well to the wedesceeer position, which is what is which is the fourth most. So I'm going to be leaning into this matchup as well.
Oh, Billy, you made this decision kind of difficult for me. I was leaning towards Zay Jones. Is the volume play here. You made a really good point about Dontevin Wicks actually having an effect there in terms of target share. So Matt, it's a toss up here. It's a toss up for right now. I'm leaning towards a Jones, but you're right, if we've got that narrow targets within the Green Bay offense. I can get on board with what you're with what you're selling over there. Moving on to one more segment here, we're going to do flex appeal. It is a fun one here where we are combining players at all positions, players that fall into the flex zone. And you guys are going to tell me, how would you order these three players? Billy, We're going to start off with you. The first one is Devin Singletary, Deontay Johnson and Brandon Cooks. How would you order these three players?
Just as you listen to them, I think Singletary has been just this breath of fresh air at the positions take since he's taken over the role. I think he's got the safest floor but also has a ceiling. And now we potentially have a new quarterback here. Our Mills is going to be I should say, playing quarterback potential this week, and we could see a few more dump offs a Singletary as they're lacking off asive weapons. So I think Singletary number one for me, Deontay Johnson just a safer bet in the receiving core versus Brandon Cook. So just as you listened.
Him That's a good point there about the quarterback situation there in Houston. How do you have these guys ordered?
Well, Billy and I really are just Mars and Venus this week here because I've got Singletary third out of these guys. I don't necessarily hate the matchup against the Ty like the Titans, by most metrics, have a really good run defense, but it's just not the same if Jeffrey Simmons isn't playing, and Simmons has been out with knee injury, and I just wouldn't be very excited about the Texans offense if it were Davis Mills instead of c. J. Stroud, And you know, most likely, I think the odds of guys clearing concussion protocol in a week have been sub fifty to fifty this week. So I've got to look at it as if Mills is going to play really close call between the receivers, I've got Deontay rank just a smidge higher than Cook's, but like it's it's funny we think of Deontay as this high volume receiver who doesn't score touchdowns. Well, Deontay hasn't seen double digit targets in a game since late October. Buddy's had a touchdown catch in each of his last two games, so he's kind of flipped the script on script on us. Cooks meanwhile, doesn't get that many targets, but since week ten he is averaging two point eight PPR points per target efficiency. Probably too crazy to count on that sort of efficiency going forward, but oh man, now I don't know. Maybe I'm talking. I'm talking myself into Cooks here. I'm flipping this. I'm going with Cooks over Deontay really close. Yeah, give me, give me the high efficiency guy, Cooks Deontay. Then Singletary.
Okay, I'm glad you flipped because the answer I was going to give was going to be the one that literally fell right in between you guys, and so we were going to have three completely different rakings. And I know we were just going to confuse people here, But I'm with you, Pat, it I think it's Cooks d'on day and then Singletary for me. Moving on to the next flex zone, it is Taj Spears, Jackson Smith and Jigma and David and Joku. This is kind of a spicy one here.
Pat.
I'm going to start off with you, how do you order these three players.
I have Najoku and Jackson Smith and Jig, but neck and neck for the tops, I'm gonna go with Nijoku over JSN. I'm not chasing I swear I'm not chasing last week's points here because I'm certainly not expecting another two touchdowns out of David Nijoku. But he's seen thirty eight targets over his last four games, and he is the tight end four in PPR scoring over that stretch. I like the JSNS usage is on the rise, and the matchup against the Eagles is fantastic. He's a close second here. Spears kind of a distant third. I know he had one hundred and eighteen scrimmage yards last week, but largely because the Titans were playing catch up in the second half of that game. Spears was on the field a lot. Is the passing down back. His week to week touchcounts are still pretty hard to pin down. So he's a distance third, distant third. Give me Nijoku over JSN.
Billy, how about you?
Oh? Pat? And I finished on the same page here, so it's nice to see it come full circle and we become friends again. Who would have known that David Nijoku and Joe Flaco. We're going to be the Tom Brady and Gronk combination stretch when we needed them the most. And so n Djoku pat touch base on all the metrics. He had hit the nail on the head, and so I got Najoku one, JSN two and Spears also distant third.
I am with you guys, and I don't feel like we're chasing points within Djoku because you know, prior to that he had one bad game, but outside of that he had been consistently getting double digit Fantasy points in PPR. It's feeling like you could really rely on him. So I think he's I think he's a reliable guy in general. So I am with the order that you guys had. And by the way, if you have any questions and you're trying to make those tough decisions and you need a full breakdown of everything with these players that you're trying to figure out if you can flex them or not, you can always use the who would you start tool in my playbook. All right, that wraps things up for our rankings this week. If you do you have any questions about lineups, we are live each and every Thursday, on YouTube at three pm e s c. Taking your questions and if you want to see more advice from Pat, check out his rankings. Just go to Fantasypros dot com slash fits and make sure that you also check out Billy's work Unclaar profiler. You can find Billy at f f Museo, you can find Pat at fits underscore FF and you can find me at a Stereo time for Pat Fitzmorris for Billy Musio. I'm Tara Roberts. Thank you for tuning in, Thanks.
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