The effects of the US-Iran conflict are felt around the world. Businesses are absorbing higher input costs while consumers face a higher cost of living. But even if a permanent peace agreement is secured, we may be looking at a higher-for-longer oil price situation. 

Cedric Chehab, Chief Economist at BMI, a Fitch Solutions company, breaks down the macroeconomics of the current oil shock, from geopolitical risk premiums and sticky inflation to a subsidy regime in Malaysia that is fast becoming unsustainable.

Tune in to find out:


 Five Reasons Oil Prices Won't Drop Overnight: Why a ceasefire announcement does not equal cheaper fuel the next morning. 


 The Sticky Inflation Problem: Even when oil prices fall, businesses and households should not assume an equivalent drop in what they pay day to day.


 The Future of OPEC+: UAE's recent departure from the alliance raises serious questions about OPEC+'s ability to coordinate global oil supply. 


 Signs of Demand Destruction: Specific indicators businesses should be tracking right now as early warning signals of a broader economic slowdown.


 Practical Steps To Take: This is the fourth major energy supply shock in six years. What businesses must do now to build resilience before the next disruption hits.



Image credit: Shutterstock

The effects of the US-Iran conflict are felt around the world. Businesses are absorbing higher input costs while consumers face a higher cost of living. But even if a permanent peace agreement is secured, we may be looking at a higher-for-longer oil price situation.&nbsp;Cedric Chehab, Chief Economist at BMI, a Fitch Solutions company, breaks down the macroeconomics of the current oil shock, from geopolitical risk premiums and sticky inflation to a subsidy regime in Malaysia that is fast becoming unsustainable.Tune in to find out:<ul><li> Five Reasons Oil Prices Won't Drop Overnight: Why a ceasefire announcement does not equal cheaper fuel the next morning.&nbsp;</li><li> The Sticky Inflation Problem: Even when oil prices fall, businesses and households should not assume an equivalent drop in what they pay day to day.</li><li> The Future of OPEC+: UAE's recent departure from the alliance raises serious questions about OPEC+'s ability to coordinate global oil supply.&nbsp;</li><li> Signs of Demand Destruction: Specific indicators businesses should be tracking right now as early warning signals of a broader economic slowdown.</li><li> Practical Steps To Take: This is the fourth major energy supply shock in six years. What businesses must do now to build resilience before the next disruption hits.</li></ul>Image credit: Shutterstock

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Helping you navigate the ever-changing universe of business, from headlines to the bottom line