As predicted last week the strategy Luxon loathes is what got him back to power. 

Thank you overhang. 

His strategy of ruling Opportunity out didn't keep them out. 

But none of that really matters. The ends always justify the means. Here we are. 

At worst Labour's path to power is a like a winter trek up Mt Everest. 

National's is a walk in the park. 

For the left, the specials at best force Opportunity into play. But most likely to a hung parliament. 

So, the most likely outcome here is either the right alone. Or the right with Opportunity. 

And listen to how Erica Stanford described this to me on election night.

Basically, pick up the phone, or you'll get knifed. 

And Quilae Wong.

You see, even if everything goes Labour's way, they'd need Quilae.

And the Te Pati Māori, Greens, Labour and Opportunity government would skate on thin ice with a slim margin and no room for error.