In this Christmas Day special edition of Bloomberg Daybreak with Nathan Hager: 
Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income, discusses what the Fed will do in 2025.
Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets and Cameron Dawson, the Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, break down what we can expect in equities 
Burt Flickinger, the Managing Director at Strategic Resource Group, brings us the winners and losers of the 2024 holiday retail season. 

In this Christmas Day special edition of Bloomberg Daybreak with Nathan Hager:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income, discusses what the Fed will do in 2025.</li>
<li>Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets and Cameron Dawson, the Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, break down what we can expect in equities&nbsp;</li>
<li>Burt Flickinger, the Managing Director at Strategic Resource Group, brings us the winners and losers of the 2024 holiday retail season.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>

Listen for today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes. 

Each morning, hosts Nathan Hager and Karen Moskow bring you the latest headlines on US politics, foreign relations, financial markets and global economics. The show is recorded at 5AM ET each weekday, so you get the freshest reporting on the stories that matter. Get informed from Bloomberg's 3,000 journalists and analysts. Listen and subscribe to Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition.

Listen for today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes. Each morning, hosts Nathan Hager and Karen Moskow bring you the latest headlines on US politics, foreign relations, financial markets and global economics. The show is recorded at 5AM ET each weekday, so you get the freshest reporting on the stories that matter. Get informed from Bloomberg's 3,000 journalists and analysts. Listen and subscribe to Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition.

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

Daybreak Holiday: Inflation Pressure, Markets, Retail 

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/39bdbe48-4ea1-4724-962c-b25000b529fa/transcript

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.

On today's podcast:

1) US President Donald Trump threatened Iran with further attacks after the Islamic Republic’s new leader signaled defiance and suggested there would be no easing of a war that’s upending energy flows and global markets. “We have unparalleled firepower, unlimited ammunition, and plenty of time,” Trump said on Truth Social. “Watch what happens to these deranged scumbags” on Friday, he said, referring to Iran’s leaders.

2) Stocks extended their declines as investors remained wary of risks from the Iran war heading into the weekend, with oil prices holding above $100 a barrel.
Europe’s Stoxx 600 index slumped 0.9% putting the benchmark on course for a second week of losses. US futures retreated 0.4% after the S&P 500 Index slid to its lowest since November. Brent crude edged higher, trading around $102, after rallying 9.2% on Thursday.

3) Investigators worked Friday to determine the exact reason a man with a rifle crashed into a large Michigan synagogue in what federal officials are saying was an attack carried out by a 41-year-old naturalized U.S. citizen born in Lebanon. Ayman Mohamad Ghazali was killed by security after ramming into Temple Israel in West Bloomfield Township near Detroit, Michigan, and driving down a hallway in a vehicle that then caught fire, according to authorities.

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.
On today's podcast:
1) US President Donald Trump threatened Iran with further attacks after the Islamic Republic&rsquo;s new leader signaled defiance and suggested there would be no easing of a war that&rsquo;s upending energy flows and global markets. &ldquo;We have unparalleled firepower, unlimited ammunition, and plenty of time,&rdquo; Trump said on Truth Social. &ldquo;Watch what happens to these deranged scumbags&rdquo; on Friday, he said, referring to Iran&rsquo;s leaders.
2) Stocks extended their declines as investors remained wary of risks from the Iran war heading into the weekend, with oil prices holding above $100 a barrel. Europe&rsquo;s Stoxx 600 index slumped 0.9% putting the benchmark on course for a second week of losses. US futures retreated 0.4% after the S&amp;P 500 Index slid to its lowest since November. Brent crude edged higher, trading around $102, after rallying 9.2% on Thursday.
3) Investigators worked Friday to determine the exact reason a man with a rifle crashed into a large Michigan synagogue in what federal officials are saying was an attack carried out by a 41-year-old naturalized U.S. citizen born in Lebanon. Ayman Mohamad Ghazali was killed by security after ramming into Temple Israel in West Bloomfield Township near Detroit, Michigan, and driving down a hallway in a vehicle that then caught fire, according to authorities.

Trump Warns Iran; Hormuz Threat Keeps Oil on Edge

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/900556e1-88fe-44c9-8ff6-b40c00a0ff79/transcript

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.
On today's podcast:
1) Brent briefly jumped back above $100 a barrel after the Iran war led to more shipping turmoil in the Middle East and China tightened fuel export curbs to cope with the fallout from the conflict. The global oil benchmark surged as much as 10% to $101.59 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate rose to near $96, before paring gains. Two tankers were struck in Iraqi waters and Oman temporarily cleared ships from its key export terminal outside of the Strait of Hormuz, underscoring the widening threats to energy supply and overshadowing a record reserves release by the IEA to try and cool prices. In further signs of strain, Chinese refiners have begun canceling agreed refined fuel export cargoes, including gasoline and diesel. The country’s top processors were told last week to stop signing new contracts, and the latest directive is a step up from the earlier guidance.
2) Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. have told staffers in Dubai to stay away from their offices as Iran’s attacks on Gulf cities continue. Goldman has instructed employees to seek permission before going into its offices across the Middle East, according to people familiar with the matter. Standard Chartered Plc also asked staff in the Dubai International Financial Centre and nearby areas to leave their offices on Wednesday, the people said, declining to be identified discussing confidential information. Several Wall Street banks have already been allowing employees in the United Arab Emirates to work remotely since the war began. Some lenders have also offered staff the option to temporarily leave the country, Bloomberg News has reported.
3) President Trump’s administration started the first of several sweeping trade investigations that set the stage for new tariffs, the centerpiece of a push to replace levies struck down by the US Supreme Court. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer announced Wednesday that his office would begin a probe into more than a dozen major economies under Section 301 of the Trade Act focused on alleged excess manufacturing capacity. The investigations, which typically take months to complete, are required for the president to unilaterally place duties on imports from specific countries deemed to employ unfair trading practices. Economies that will be subject to the inquiry include some of the US’s largest trading partners: China, the European Union, Mexico, India, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: 1) Brent briefly jumped back above $100 a barrel after the Iran war led to more shipping turmoil in the Middle East and China tightened fuel export curbs to cope with the fallout from the conflict. The global oil benchmark surged as much as 10% to $101.59 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate rose to near $96, before paring gains. Two tankers were struck in Iraqi waters and Oman temporarily cleared ships from its key export terminal outside of the Strait of Hormuz, underscoring the widening threats to energy supply and overshadowing a record reserves release by the IEA to try and cool prices. In further signs of strain, Chinese refiners have begun canceling agreed refined fuel export cargoes, including gasoline and diesel. The country&rsquo;s top processors were told last week to stop signing new contracts, and the latest directive is a step up from the earlier guidance. 2) Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Citigroup Inc. have told staffers in Dubai to stay away from their offices as Iran&rsquo;s attacks on Gulf cities continue. Goldman has instructed employees to seek permission before going into its offices across the Middle East, according to people familiar with the matter. Standard Chartered Plc also asked staff in the Dubai International Financial Centre and nearby areas to leave their offices on Wednesday, the people said, declining to be identified discussing confidential information. Several Wall Street banks have already been allowing employees in the United Arab Emirates to work remotely since the war began. Some lenders have also offered staff the option to temporarily leave the country, Bloomberg News has reported. 3) President Trump&rsquo;s administration started the first of several sweeping trade investigations that set the stage for new tariffs, the centerpiece of a push to replace levies struck down by the US Supreme Court. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer announced Wednesday that his office would begin a probe into more than a dozen major economies under Section 301 of the Trade Act focused on alleged excess manufacturing capacity. The investigations, which typically take months to complete, are required for the president to unilaterally place duties on imports from specific countries deemed to employ unfair trading practices. Economies that will be subject to the inquiry include some of the US&rsquo;s largest trading partners: China, the European Union, Mexico, India, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.

Iran Escalates Attacks on Shipping; Oil Prices Keep Rising

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/e31c80a1-eebe-47d5-8c94-b40b009cc670/transcript

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.


On today's podcast:


1) The International Energy Agency is proposing a release of emergency oil reserves, according to a person with knowledge of the matter, as governments seek to contain a spike in energy prices driven by the Middle East war. It was not immediately clear whether the IEA proposal was formal and included specific amounts for member nations. While countries have so far agreed in principle to inject more oil into the market if needed, it is not evident that all believe that the situation is yet urgent enough to make that move. The person, who asked not to be named because discussions are not public, did not provide a figure. The Group of Seven nations said on Wednesday that they supported, in principle, “proactive measures” including the release of strategic reserves, though they did not provide details on the scale of a potential intervention.


2) Energy markets whipsawed for a second consecutive day as investors raced to interpret rapidly shifting comments from the Trump administration over the war in Iran. Oil prices plummeted after Energy Secretary Chris Wright erroneously posted — and then deleted — a message that the US Navy had escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt subsequently conceded no such operation had occurred, while adding the US military was “drawing up additional options” to address any attempt by Iran to constrain trade through the vital artery. Later Tuesday, President Trump posted his own flurry of messages on social media. First, he insisted the US had “no reports” of mines being placed, but then urged Iranian forces to remove any explosives they may have laid.


3) Oracle Corp. shares gained in extended trading after the company posted strong results and gave an outlook that suggested there is little letup in demand for AI computing. Revenue in Oracle’s closely watched infrastructure business increased 84% to $4.9 billion in the period ended Feb. 28, the company said Tuesday in a statement. That marked a faster jump than the 79% anticipated by analysts and a 68% sales rise in the previous quarter. The company is working to deliver on massive cloud infrastructure contracts with customers like OpenAI and Meta Platforms Inc. Known for its namesake database software, Oracle has found success with its cloud business by providing chip-filled data centers and other equipment for training and deploying AI models.

Today's top stories, with context, in just 15 minutes.
 On today's podcast:
 1) The International Energy Agency is proposing a release of emergency oil reserves, according to a person with knowledge of the matter, as governments seek to contain a spike in energy prices driven by the Middle East war. It was not immediately clear whether the IEA proposal was formal and included specific amounts for member nations. While countries have so far agreed in principle to inject more oil into the market if needed, it is not evident that all believe that the situation is yet urgent enough to make that move. The person, who asked not to be named because discussions are not public, did not provide a figure. The Group of Seven nations said on Wednesday that they supported, in principle, &ldquo;proactive measures&rdquo; including the release of strategic reserves, though they did not provide details on the scale of a potential intervention.
 2) Energy markets whipsawed for a second consecutive day as investors raced to interpret rapidly shifting comments from the Trump administration over the war in Iran. Oil prices plummeted after Energy Secretary Chris Wright erroneously posted &mdash; and then deleted &mdash; a message that the US Navy had escorted an oil tanker through the Strait of Hormuz. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt subsequently conceded no such operation had occurred, while adding the US military was &ldquo;drawing up additional options&rdquo; to address any attempt by Iran to constrain trade through the vital artery. Later Tuesday, President Trump posted his own flurry of messages on social media. First, he insisted the US had &ldquo;no reports&rdquo; of mines being placed, but then urged Iranian forces to remove any explosives they may have laid.
 3) Oracle Corp. shares gained in extended trading after the company posted strong results and gave an outlook that suggested there is little letup in demand for AI computing. Revenue in Oracle&rsquo;s closely watched infrastructure business increased 84% to $4.9 billion in the period ended Feb. 28, the company said Tuesday in a statement. That marked a faster jump than the 79% anticipated by analysts and a 68% sales rise in the previous quarter. The company is working to deliver on massive cloud infrastructure contracts with customers like OpenAI and Meta Platforms Inc. Known for its namesake database software, Oracle has found success with its cloud business by providing chip-filled data centers and other equipment for training and deploying AI models.

Massive Oil Stockpile Release; Iran Market Volatility

https://api.omny.fm/orgs/e73c998e-6e60-432f-8610-ae210140c5b1/clips/a1f708df-fe52-4083-8351-b40a00a38f44/transcript

Daybreak Holiday: Inflation Pressure, Markets, Retail

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