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CPI Data Supports Bonds as Rate-Hike Bets Wane

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In-line July CPI readings gave US equities and Treasuries room to rise as markets relaxed after the data, even as Middle East uncertainty keeps energy shock tail risks alive. Core CPI rose 0.2% on the month, moving the annual rate to 2.5%, matching the slowest annual pace since March 2021. Combined with last week’s weak jobs report that pushed September hike odds to about 40% from roughly 50% before Wednesday’s release.
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  • Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at Economist Enterprise
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