A rise in the number of people not clearing their debts.
The latest data from Centrix shows consumer arrears increasing 13 percent year-on-year in July, while vehicle arrears rose for the fourth consecutive month.
Centrix Managing Director Keith McLaughlin told Mike Hosking it's a trend they were expecting.
He says they expected the discretionary arrears to rise first, and then go into secured lending.
McLaughlin says they're now watching the home lending to see what's going to happen there.
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