South Point Hotel Casino Sportsbook Director Chris Andrews brings over 30 years of bookmaking experience to the table in this weekly series, designed to find an edge in the upcoming week's NFL betting lines. Andrews and Host Gill Alexander give their thoughts on every game on the Week 4 slate on Monday's Beating The Book podcast (September 26, 2022).
Check it down, man, now down. Then the numbers told the story. This is a numbers game with Gill Alexander, Visa in good Monday morning too. It is a numbers game and Visa the sports betting that work, Visa dot Com, the Visa Have Football Game plus I Heart Radio, YouTube TV, all probably brought you by bet MGM Nevada. It is guesting lines for week number four the National Football League, Gil Alexander, Christie Andrews, who, by the way, uh put on the wrong pair of glasses. So he's spritten back to the office. He's coming right back. And of course Kelly Middling Bidland, who comes from a long line of ancestry that middles games. That's what they do. How you doing, man? You had a great You had a great NFL day yesterday, Awesome NFL Day survivor through five in the contest every bet I made and then college football happened on Saturday. Why do you do this? Don't know? Man, I don't know, and I talked about it every week. Why did you do it? Um? So here's what we're By the way, when Chrissy gets back, will start guessing lines and again for those who are just new to the show. This is a tribute to the old Stardust radio show of the same ilk with Roxy Roxburrow back in the day. I don't know what the lines are, right, stay in a cocoon from yesterday. I give my best guest as to guests as to what I think the line will be, and then Christie andrews Um will tell us he's the sports book director here at the South Point Hotel from which we broadcast this show. He will tell us what he will actually put up as the line once he leaves the studio after this show, and hopefully within that exercise and first instinct exercise, it will help us towards winning bets this coming football week. Now, Kelly, one thing I want to point out, because of your college football ridiculousness and the fact that you went five and oh again in the NFL, this inspired a new idea from you, and I think this is a full go that uh And I'll let you tell us what it's going to be tomorrow. What are we gonna do tomorrow? We will have one segment, not a whole show, one segment, one segment with guesting lines with Kelly Bidlin for college for college football, and because you're so bad at this. Yes, these lines could be twenty eight points off for all we know. Yeah, this really stems from last week. I forget who we had on the show. Maybe it was Felika or or it was like I need Washington fourteen and I'm like, all right, fourteen and I was like, wait a second, is that plus for minus fourteen? Yeah, that's exactly what it's. That's right. Oh yeah. Dr Bob tipped us off on one of his plays and I said, oh, it's Washington gainst Danford and I said fourteen like pregnant pause, Kelly plus our money check. All right. By the way, I don't think it's a full segment, but it'll be a funny bit anyway. Christie's back, Christie Andrews. And by the way, to those to whom this applies, Happy New Year to those that it apply on this morning. And I know it applies to you, Christie. That's why I bring it up. How you doing, man, How was your weekend? Good weekend, good wend. It was weird, weird. It was the weirdest of the weird, the weirdest of the weird. I would you know, the Colts game and the Colts and the Chiefs. That must have worked out great for you though, right, Yes and no, the sharp guys played, You played the hell out of the Colts and it was one of those after the morning games, and the sharp guys did really well in the morning games, and the oh man, we are in big trouble. We wound up we were okay because we had a lot of square business on, you know, on the bills, on the Chiefs, you know, a couple of other ones. We kind of zigna zag. Then the afternoon was very good for us, you know. So you know what brutalized me. The San Francisco forty niners brutalized me last night just absolutely crush. Yeah, you know, the public was on them strong. We wound up needing Denver. We needed the ender, so it wounded up being a very good game for us. What was that killing say again, I'm sorry whatever, Oh well, we just wanted to get through. How it was okay without further ado, Ladies and gentlemen, the beginning of guesting lines for a week four it goes a little something like that. They come all, I think we need lyrics for that, Kelly, like we're gonna get I think you'd just be in the background being like guessing lines or make up something we're gonna get, We're gonna geoe. Okay, Kelly, when you went five and oh, what were the five you hit yesterday? Five and oh in the contest was Ravens. Let's see, that was Ravens. Uh. You don't know, No, I don't even know if when you come up with it, you'll let us know. All right, Thursday night, what do we got Thursday night? First Thursday game this week? Dolphins at the Bengals, eight fifteen Eastern time, Eastern. Okay. And by the way, Kelly Christy, let me apologize in advance because some of these are gonna be long, some of them gonna be real short, but we'll get to it all. Yeah. So Miami the only undefeated team left in the a f C. The only undefeated team left in the a f C um three and oh against the one and two Bengals two O tako vloi yesterday in victory against the Bills in what is one of the most incredible box scores you will ever see. TWA was thirteen of eighteen for one six one touchdown. Note Pixie we sacked once Jalen Waddle four catches for one o two. The Dolphins only had forty one rushing yards in this game. They were out first down if you will, by the Bills thirty one to fifteen. They were out gamed by the Bills forty four ninety seven to twelve. In the most startling of all the stats, the Bills had ninety total plays to the Dolphins thirty nine. Remember, the NFL record is one ten by the nineties Skins against the Lions ninety plays that the Dolphins thirty nine. They were out time of possession forty forty. Thank goodness for the Dolphins. You don't win a football game on a box score. So how did Miami win this despite all of that, including the fact that they were only minus one in turnovers? Wasn't the turnover column either? Well, that minus one in turnover was a strip sack of Allan that did create a goal to go situation. Three plays later, seven and nothing. Game became seven to seven, so that turnover did matter. Miami did have one solid long drive in the second quarter that tied the game up at fourteen fourteen, and what turned out to be the last play of the first half instead of a spike at a field goal attempt for the Bills with no time outs left, Alan bobble Josh Allen bobbled the snap, was forced to throw it. The clock ran out on the Bill, so it remained fourteen and fourteen at the half. Third quarter, Bills have a twenty play drive that last nearly ten minutes. They settle for a thirty yard Tyler Bass field goal to make its seventeen of fourteen. Fourth quarter Bass misses a thirty eight yard field All of these things conspired to kill the Bills yesterday, ensuing Miami drive after the missfield goal to it a waddle for thirty two to it a waddle for forty five leads to go ahead touchdown twenty one seventeen. Buffalo, then with a seventeen play drive that comes up empty handed on an incomplete pass on fourth and goal to Miami two with one forty nine left. Then a three and out for Miami by the way, featuring a stupid pass play call that goes in complete, stops the clock for Buffalo when the Bills had no time outs left. That was unbelievable, Dolphins letting him back in. Then the Thomas Moore stead punting to Trent sheffields but resulting in a safety twenty one and nineteen. Great tweet from Mark Sanchez, stay out of my lane. But then Thomas Moore said, probably the most underrated play of the game, a seventy four yard punt after the safety that only gets returned for seventeen yards. So the Bills are really in trouble there. And on second and twenty at Buffalo forty seven with eighteen seconds left, Allan to Isaiah McKenzie for twelve but the Bills couldn't get off another snap because the clock ran out on him. It was ball game, punctuated of course by Ken Dorsey Temper Tangerm in the coach's box for Buffalo, their offensive coordinator. A straight home win for the Dolphins. They're playing Cincinnati. Not much to say there. Cincinnati wins. They get off the Schneide Borrow twenty three of thirty six against the Jets for two seventy five, three touchdowns, no pick, sack twice, Boyd four for one on five a touchdown, Higgins five for ninety three, Chase six for twenty nine and a touchdown. The Bengals were plus three in turnovers. The Jets had four. They only had one, by the way, on the Dolphins. In the last sixteen years, NFL teams two in one oh six when being out gained by a least two hundred and seventy five yards, both of them involving two A Tago Volo in the Miami Dolphins against the Rams being the other one. I made this a pick them because I don't think you can make the Bengals a three point favorite. This is where the Dolphins are playing. But I don't think you can make the Dolphins at three point favorite in this because everything we just talked about with the box score, it's not like they dominated. They got dominated in some respects. So I said, pick them, bingo B nine. I like your number better. Uh, my numbers came to the Bengals a half, so pick them or maybe one. It's three pretty much everywhere now would open favorite? Who you Kelly? Kelly bitten the Bengals. Now, I'll tell you my My numbers came to a half with like I said, which is essentially pick or one. Um. But I did a little more research, and your friend Aaron shots as a very good article this morning on Twitter. He calls it helmet stomps and guts and the stomp was by the Bengals this week. Is that an indicator of things to come? Or yesterday? I should say, I'm not so sure. They beat up up a very bad team. We talked about the Bengals offensive line. They have not they addressed it. They haven't solved it. They haven't. Okay, I wrote down Borrow got hit nine times yesterday. Um, I think there's one quarterback that got hit ten times and then there's another order quarterback. I know who this is, Carson Wentz. I'm sure got hit times nine and I don't know if they combine those or not, but that that was. So they have addressed the offensive line, but they have not solved it. But it is a blanket three and it did open lower yesterday. So the sharp guys are on the Bengals at least so far. You know, I'll probably open three just because I don't like that little two and have three game that they would play with me. But read Aaron shots his article. It's a very good articles, A very smart guy. Yeah, because a founder of Football Outsiders peers good article. You can find it on Twitter this morning. The thing you bring up about the Bengals, though, Kelly will go with three games next even here. The thing you bring up about the Bengals, though, that is the Paul, that is the that's what looms above them, right. That is simply unsustainable. You know how we talked about in baseball what is sustainable what is not with pitchers? And I go back to to last year's playoffs and a promptime action. We you know, I was like team Tennessee and Matt Brown was team Cincinnati and all this and and Kelly, I think was more in the Cincinnati's side. Tennessee sacked him nine times in the playoff game. So it's unbelievable that they won that game, right, And he got sacked seven times in the Super Bowl this year. Every game he's either getting he's either on the ground or running for his life. There is no way that is sustainable. Like this team is so flawed in that way that what Burrow is doing is really unbelievable that there that they remain competitive in these games, let alone win something. And I think Miami is very good now if you look at the box score, not very impressive, but they didn't win. They did. You know, I was impressed with Miami. I've been impressed with Miami throughout the year. I keep saying, you bet against that Super Bowl loser over the years, unless it's Tom Brady that happened to lose the Super Bowl and he's lost three of them. But usually that Super Bowl loser comes out and has a bad year to also had to leave the game Teddy Bridgewater through two passes. The NFL p A wants an investigation onto why Too was allowed back in the game. Yeah, and rightfully so. Yeah, because I heard that because Mike Floria was talking about They determined it was a back injury when he fell to the ground, not a not a head injury. Okay, um, do some people owe to an apology? Do you think that people who are not doing a lot of them, A lot of people. QBR was seventy nine point oh, very high. We'll talk about some other one. But there's only a couple I see higher. All right, maybe too higher. That's all. We'll make it up with three games. Next setment right here, guessing lines numbers game visa these sports Betting network. By the way, Kevin keV, I uh I failed you Cincinnati was was thank you? That was one of mine that's my fault. This is the first time it's my fault. I got through on Survivor one of the entries with the Bengals. More to come, by the way, Um okay, this is guessing lines for Week four Gal Alexander Christie andrews Kelly, Bidlin Kelly. Let's go to Sunday. What do you got head in New London fight Kings at the Saints nine thirty a m. Eastern time. You're getting up at six thirty Pacific to watch this. I'll be in North Carolina. Actually, then you get up at nine. You are so not getting up. You're on this game already, do you? Oh? What do you? What do you? Well? Don't tell me yet? All right? Minnesota they get it done for the second year in a row, by the way, Kevy keV Minnesota another one. Uh. They get it done against the Lions for the second straight year for Survivor players by the skin of their teeth. Kirk Cousins connecting with the wide open kJ Osborne for the go ahead twenty eight yard touchdown forty five seconds left Vikings rally to beat the Lions to twenty four. Minnesota's first lead of the game was that after falling behind fourteen to nothing and also fourteen cousins twenty four or forty one for two sixty two touchdowns no picks. We sacked once. Dalvin Cook seventeen carries for ninety six yards and a touchdown. He also lost a fumble before leaving with a shoulder injury. And by the way, Pro Football Talk report and they Dalvin expected to wear a brace but is going to play in Week fourteen. In this game at London against the New Orleans Saints, Lions, by the way, had a fourth and one at the Minnesota thirty three thirty five left in the game, up twenty to twenty one. They go for it and fail. So the Vikings have the ball with a chance to take the lead. But five plays later, fourth and eight at their own forty seven, still down to thirty six left, incomplete pass and you're like, well, it's over for the Vikings, but their defense stiffens. They used time outs in a two minute warning to their advantage. They do get the ball back fourth and four, uh four Detroit at the Minnesota thirty six with one fourteen left. Detroit faced with the uh you know, do they give the ball back to Minnesota via punter. Do they try to kick a field goal to go up to twenty one and Dan Campbell elects to attempt an Austin Cybert fifty four yard field goal? No good. It remains a three point game. Three plays, fifty six yard drive. That's the one that k j Osborne accounted for all the yards in Minnesota had their lead four and on the Lions fifth play of the ensuing drive, golf picked by Josh mctillies. Uh, Jefferson is an interesting thing. Justin Jefferson. Remember everybody, uh, including ourselves, talking about how all this is gonna be justin Jefferson's year three catches, fourteen yards. He was blanketed by jeff Acuda. So the first half of the first game this year, remember the Vikings against the Packers, he had six catches for a hundred fifty eight yards and two touchdowns. Since then the five halves of football since ten catches for eighty eight yards and no touchdowns. By the way, the Vikings outscored the Lions fourteen and nothing in the fourth quarter. Cousins eight and one versus the Lions. Now as the Minnesota quarterback that include twenty touchdowns against just two picks. And then there's New Orleans. Jamis Winston out of what school, Kelly for the state or forty one, three fifty three, one touchdown, two picks. He was sacked once in the Saints. Uh just horrible loss yesterday to the Carolina Panthers, O Love nine, te Quon Smith four for one oh five. They outgained Carolina did the Saints two ninety three, but they were minus three in turnovers. And that's all you need to know. New Orleans didn't score until the fourth quarter. They were scoreless until then. They lost Michael Thomas, Jarvis Landry and track Want Smith to injuries in the second half. Minnesota at London against the Saints. Minnesota will be a field goal favorite three points. My numbers come to Minnesota three and a half. I think there's something wrong with Jamis Winston that's not going to be solved right away. By the way, it's two and a half almost everywhere. I see two and a half with juice on the favorite, three with juice on the dock. I'm gonna open three on this one. I think there's something wrong with Jamis Winston. And even yesterday again, qb R can be really weird. Uh, his was fifty eight point one, which is a good performance and one touchdown, two interceptions. How many points did they get on the game? Uh, four teen points? How that relates to a high QBR. I have no idea, but my numbers coming to three and a half. I'm gonna open three in this game. I'll be the only three flat in the world. So if you want to take three there, there'll be the counter, right, the only three flat in the world. By the way, Saints head coach Dennis Allen saying that Jamis Winston would continue as the team started quarterback. And I think Taysom Hill is hurt. I think he's like questionable right now for next week. I don't know. I do not like. There's a lot of things about this Saints team that I don't like. And they were steams pretty good in the preseason, and I just never liked them, and I still don't. Kelly, normal early window? What do you got? Yeah, first regular early window game, Titans at the Colts one pm Eastern Time on Sunday. Oh, whoa, you throw a curveball on me? Sure you want to go to that game? Okay, we'll go to that game. Maybe when we get two in this segment all right. Tanna Hill for the Titans yesterday night seen of twenty seven for two sixty four, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked once I did get a touchdown on the ground and the Titans win over the Raiders yesterday twenty four to twenty two. Derrick Henry five and to touchdown five catches for fifty eight. Titans never trailed in this game yesterday against the Raiders. They scored touchdowns on each of their first three possessions, with drives of at least seventy five yards, staking them to a twenty four to ten half time lead. Up twenty four to sixteen, the Raiders convert a fourth and fifteen on a car to Hollands past forty eight, then a fourth and ten on a Tennessee defensive hold to keep their final drive alive, and then fourth and goal up the nine down to sixteen after Keeling Cole just dropped the third down pass in the end zone touchdown Carda mccollins, but the two point conversion fails on side kick fails. Tennessee holds on twenty two, and then there's Indianapolis. Indianapolis with the outright win over the Chiefs, and that was a big survivor carnage game. Matt Ryan matty ice twenty seven of thirty seven for two twenty two two touchdowns note picks sacked five times. Jonathan Taylor better than his nine carries last week, twenty one carries for seventy one yards. Colts had a fourth and one at the case forty nine to forty five left in the first quarter, Up seven and nothing, Ryan was strip sacked. Four plays later. It was excuse me, the Colts were up seven and nothing. Yeah, Ryan was strip sacked. Four plays later it was seven to six, missed extra point for the Chiefs and Mendola. By the way, Ryan has fumbled seven times already this season, the fifth highest single season total of his career oh Man Indianapolis. Though. Here's the stretch of the game. Fourth and one at their own thirty three down seventeen to thirteen, six thirty nine left. Matt Ryan sneaks for a conversion Sneake Kelly Sneake loved it. Twelve plays later, twenty nine seconds left, Ryan to Gilanni Woods for twelve yards and the touchdown to seventeen that proved to be the game winner by the way Gilanni Woods two touchdowns on his first two NFL catches, Ryan on the final drive eight of ten for fifty five. But here's the deal. I don't know if you saw this. Uh an unsportsmanlike conduct call on defensive tackle Chris Owns following a third down sack on that final drive extended that drive with less than five minutes to play. Ryan wasn't sure himself. Matt Ryan wasn't sure what even drew the penalty. Referee Shawn Smith later explained it was for abusive language. Come on, That's how the Colts sustained that drive. Come on, So chief survivor players were just beside themselves. By the way, Roddy McCloud picked off Mahomes on the third case he played from scrimmage after the Colts went up drive where Butcker's absence by the way Harrison, Butcker's absence loomed large for Casey even though it didn't come to that. It loomed large all game. They missed a field goal, they missed an extra point. Yeah, I'll say Indianapolis minus four and a half in a big a FC South health all of a sudden yesterday minus were and a halves too much. Yes, what is it? I mean my numbers came the one and a half. It's kind of like right in the middle. It's three with juice on the favorite. Oh you made it sounded like I was like, way off. I mean that's the point and a half. It's a big point in a half. Yeah. Last night the numbers were three and a half pretty much for the openers, you know, and I don't you know the opener is well, I don't know, guys open all kinds of stuff. I'm talking about about nine o'clock at night something like that. Three and a half seemed like the number, but it has come down a little bit from there. I'm gonna open three. It's mostly three with juice on the favorite. The three and a half's are gone. There is another three out there, a couple of threes out there, but I'm gonna open three. Even that, I think it's a little high. I'm still not sure this Colt's team got healthy all of a sudden. But I'm not a big believer in Tennessee either. This is where I sort of go back to my preseason thoughts, right, and I'm like, no, I still think the Colts are are far better team than Tennessee. Boy, I'll tell you what. That's a team that we had a lot of Super Bowl action on. We had a lot of to win the division. I mean, they're one one and one, they're a half game out of first place the division. Like the season is not done right. No, No, I'm just not sure they got everything cure. Yeah, I'm certainly with you there, that's for sure. Kelly. Do we sneak in one here? Do we wait till after the Bear? What do we get started? All right? What do you got? All right? Sunday one o'clock Eastern time. Bears at the Giants, Bears at the Giants, Do to do to do? Bears at the Giants. Boy, what a barn burner that is. By the way, the Giants undefeated heading into tonight's game against the Cowboys. You have a play on tonight's game at all? Nothing for me tonight. I have the Cowboys in millions, but I don't have a play on the game. It's oh yeah, I know. I bet Dallas earlier in the week. That's not true. I did bet. There's a bet behind it as well, Chicago yesterday. By the way, the two in one Bears against the two and oh Giants. That's horrific just to think that that's the case. Fields yesterday eight of seventeen for the Bears and their win over the Texans for one oh six, no touchdowns, two pick stack five times eight for forty seven on the ground. He fumbled the ball twice though, um eighty two passing yards. When you when you factor in all the all the sacks Khalil Herbert twenty for one fifty seven and two touchdowns. On the ground, the Bears had two hundred eighty one rushing yards. This David Montgomery exiting in the early going with me and ankle injuries, but they end up winning again on the Roe Kuan Smith pick of Davis Mills setting up Cairo Santos game winning field goal. We'll get to the guests of this game and what Chris He's putting up the number more guessing lines for Week four numbers game Visa V Sports Betting Network. This episode is brought to you by Yes On Prop twenty seven and DraftKings. Half the country already allows online sports betting for adults twenty one and older. It's time to let California fans in on the action. There's no good reason You're friends in New York, Chicago, Phoenix, Portland, and Boston can bet online, while Californians are still forced to deal with shady bookies. Prop twenty seven insures California finally catches up, So vote yes on Prop numbers. Sports Betting Network start your football season on the right foot by subscribing to Vast and Pro. Get full access to everything we do, including our daily picks at a Glance recap of the top plas made by Visa show hosting guests twenty four seven video season prep that includes our weekly college and pro football matchup guides covering every game all season long. Pro tools like our exclusive betting splits and pro tips updated every hour with actionable insights to up your betting games. Sign up on our discounted Football special and get Visa Pro access to everything we do from now through the Super Bowl for only a hundred seventy five dollars or say off the monthly price with an annual subscription and bet smarter all year long. Go to Vista dot com slash subscribed for all your options and become part of the Sports Betting Network. Skill Alexander Christie Andrews. It is guessing lines on Monday morning for Week four in the National Football League. So we started off with a Chicago and the Giants next week. Giants site unseen because they play the Cowboys tonight. What's your action like on that game, by the way, pretty uh little slow, A little slow. I'm sure it'll pick up today. I'm sure it will. It always does, it always does. And the Bears again. The Bears win yesterday against the Texans twenty three to twenty three point closing number on that but again it it ends up being a ro Kwon Smith pick of Davis Mills late in this game, which set up Cairo Santo's game aning field goal. Uh he intercepted that Smith did Mills deep in Houston territory. Texans had a third and one at their twenty six when Angela Blackson tipped the pass intended for Birkehead, and Smith, who had missed practice all week because of a hip injury, intercepted at the thirty returned it to the twelve. Four plays later, Santo's thirty yarder Bingo Bengo Bears win. I'll say the Giants sight unseen minus four and a half. I don't like your number better, but I could see it. My numbers come to three. Let me just say the Bears they still have not had a quarterback since said Gilman. Tribesman, Gilman Luckman. What do we decide Gilman, Gilman, Gilman. Yeah, I thought you said Luk when the first Uh. I mean they're terrible. You know, he's terrible. The teams here. Anyway, my numbers come to three. It's three pretty much a blanket everywhere. I'm gonna open three just as a placeholder for tonight's game. Be believe there's a possibility that this could be the two and one Bears against the three and O Giants, which have got to be some of the worst two and one and three and os in the history of professional football. If that happens. By the way, justin fields total number of completed forward passes in three games this year, Oh yeah, what are we? Twenty three is the running counts QBRT four, which is horrible. I don't know how we scored that high. I really don't. He was terrible. Next next up on Sunday, we've got the Bills at the Ravens one o'clock Eastern time. Bills. Oh that's a good game. Good game, all right. Well, the Bills um they lose, there will be no undefeated season for those who thought that such a thing. Bills lose to the Dolphins, as we talked about, By the way, there's more to say about this game beyond just how the box score was dominated by the Bills. The Bills not only dominated the box score, they did so without All Pro cornerbacker Dabus White, who of course is still on the physically on a to perform list, Without safety Micah Hide, who landed on i R earlier in the weekend, which means he'll be out for the whole season. They did so without Jordan Poyer, who sat out the game yesterday with a foot injury. They did so without cornerback Dane Jackson, who was out after suffering a gruesome injury Monday night, you may recall. And then on the defensive line, the Bills didn't have Ed Oliver, they didn't have Jordan Phillips. At different points in the game yesterday, the Bills didn't have fourteen starters. So let's just keep that in mind about the Bills when you're doing your power rankings. They lost this game with at at some points them not playing with fourteen starters, and they still dominated the box score even though they didn't win. Josh Allen forty two of sixty three for four hundred yards, two touchdown snepics. He was sacked four times, eight carries for forty seven yards. He did fumble at three times, one was lost. Devin Singletary nine for seventy eight He scored a touchdown. That was he was there. He was the top receiver out of the backfield by the way, uh top receiver the game for the Bills. Again though the Bills nine lays to the Dolphins thirty nine four seven to twelve total yards advantage. Buffalo had a fourth and goal in a scoreless game. They went forth, they scored, made it seven to nothing. They had a fourth and two in the second quarter in the seven seven game, they went for it. They got it a few plays later, Buffalo fourteen to seven. So they were doing all the right things. Do you know what the Buffalo Bill's record is in one possession game since the start of last season, including the playoffs owen seven Really, so as great as this team is, they could be wildly better in terms of wins and losses. Go back there again. Read Aaron shots Is article this morning. I mean, it's just incredible. Like all the things they they still could you know, even show up better in in the final result, Baltimore gets it done. Um by the way, kevy keV survivor Lamar Jackson and Baltimore gets it done yesterday against the Patriots, Lamar eighteen of twenty nine. Ravens wins thirty seven to twenties six eighteen of twenty nine for Lamar for two eighteen, throwing four touchdowns, one pick, sacked four times, eleven carries for one oh seven and a touchdown. He's the first player in the Super Bowl era with three or more passing touchdowns and a one plus rushing yard game in consecutive games. Is it possible that as much as we appreciate Lamar Jackson, we still don't appreciate him enough. I think that's very possible. He had the second highest QBR of the day yesterday. I just don't like the rest of the team that's around him. Yeah, I really don't, But I think Lamar is fantastic. Well, the one guy that's getting it done for him is Mark Andrews. Of course, the type had eight eighty nine and a touchdown. Baltimore was plus two in turnovers their d forced turnovers. The defense force turnovers on three straight fourth quarter drives by the Patriots. Baltimore was forced to go with their fourth stringer at at left tackle, Daniel Fale. Pardon me, to protect Jackson's blind side. I guess that would be the uh yeah, they're blindside tackle in this case. After they lost Patrick McCarry on the first drive of the game, and of course Ronnie Stanley was inactive. Queen Patrick Queen on defense, dropped a potential pick six on in New England first and gold to Baltimore two in the third quarter, and then the Patriots went up twenty to fourteen the next play the Patriots. That's two weeks in a row. Now mac Jones is hit a defender right in the chest and the defender has done him the favor of not catching it. Let's keep that in mind about the Patriots first into the Baltimore nine. Left Baltimore up thirty one to twenty six. Jackson to Rashad Bateman on a play that has ruled a catch in a fumble. Did you see this? I have no idea what I'm watching anymore. How that was a catch and a fumble. I have no idea. Six plays later, Justice, when uh mc brown threw a pick in the end zone of Marlon Huffrey, third and six of their own thirty three five left Baltimore nursing a thirty one to twenty six leads. Still still one score game Jones to Agalore for a big game or thirty yards, but Kyle Hamilton's the rookie, poked the ball out. Marcus Peters recovered it just inbounds, game clinching touchdown drive and sued Lamar, accounting for every yard of that to go up thirty seven to twenty six. Peters inters option, sealing it at the end. Um. By the way, this from UH, This from UH, I don't know ESPN. There you go. There've been eighteen games this season decided by three points or fewer, the most through three weeks in NFL history. Doesn't apply to this game yesterday, but it applied to the Bears game we were talking about before. That's how close some of these games have been. Buffalo Baltimore, Buffalo still gotta be the favorite for all the reason we said. I'll say Buffalo minus three on the road it's pretty much a solid three. My numbers come to four. I thought the Ravens probably were not as impressive as the final score indicated. I think they struggled with a team that I think on the downside in New England, I think, you know, Buffalo, Yeah they lost, you know, but again, look at that box score. You know. So my numbers came to four. I'm gonna open it three. But let me give a quick shout out. In the old days, they used to read you the line for the first four numbers. Where I got in the NFL, all threes. I had a guy used to read me the line. And he wouldn't do it with everybody, but he said he could do it with me. If like there was two sevens in a row, fourteen and everyone remember one time, there's three sevens in a row. Now I'm looking, there's four three's in a row. And Mike Roth, he's been long passed away, worked for Lee Roy's. Mike would go bananas here, four threes in a row. If I called to get the line twelve, he would say, and he would he never got to that. We never had four in a row. But Mike, this is and I have a great Mike Roth story. I'll tell you something. So so far I've I've hit these either accurately or well off is basically what the story is. Let's squeeze one more in here, Kelly, if we can yep Sunday, one o'clock Eastern time, Chargers at the Texans. Sorry, this should be quick. Chargers and Kelly and I were talking about this off air. I have no idea why over a hundred people picked the Chargers and survivor. We talked about this people, Kelly, I talked about it at nauseum last week. You can't take the Chargers if you don't know what the Justin Herbert story is. Now, Justin Herbert in the end did play enough, Thank goodness. It was by what is it electronic measure, not by actual the doctor puncturing long or anything. You know how it goes in Sandy in a Los Angeles Herbert or forty five or two ninety seven, one touchdown, one pick of sack once really was outplayed by his counterpart Trevor Lawrence in that game. Sixteen first downs. That's all the Chargers had in this game, sixteen first downs and only twenty six rushing yards. They were minus two in turnovers. They were out time of possessioned if you will, thirty eight twenty seven to twenty one thirty three. Chargers defense had zero sacks, zero takeaways. They lose thirty eight to ten and Houston Davis Mills. In that loss of the Bears twenty of thirty two for two forty five, one touchdown, two picks, sack once. They had a play where they snapped it to the up back on fourth in one of the Houston forty six down twenty to seventeen, five thirty eight left in the third quarter. They converted that led to the game tying field goal, but they never scored again after until that ro Kuwan Smith pick sealed the deal with just over a minute left. I'll say the Chargers on the road by four and a half at Houston six or six and a half. Whoa, okay, you know my power rainings come to seven and a half. But that's assuming you know healthy Herbert. He's not healthy. It should have never played him yesterday. You're paying Chased Daniel big money. That guys are competent quarterback. They should have put him out there. That was just and have him play all four quarters. Yesterday was just inexcusable for the charges. I'm gonna open six and a half. I'm gonna assume that he's gonna be okay, Herbert, But if I see any you know, Glitchen that I'm gonna lower it because I don't think he's a dent, but I just do. The Chargers aren't as bad as they look last week. They're they're not, But I'm not sure I trust them to lay that many against anything. I'm not. Yeah, I'm not sure. All right, we'll all caught up on pace. As they say. More guesting lines on the other side, numbers game Visa, these sports betting network get skill Alexander, Christie Andrews, and Kelly Bidlett. By the way, Rihanna in for the super Bowl halftime show, Taylor Swift out. That is what we call strokes gained plus everybody that is plus the v Taylor Taylor, Oh my god, Taylor. Here's the thing, Taylor Swift. You know, listen, I got nothing against um. You know, I got no beef with no Viet cong I got nothing, no problem with her, but a halftime show in a super Bowl, She's not exactly going to get the people in a frenzy Rihanna. On the other hand, John, I'm with you on that. Yeah, nothing wrong with Taylor is a better entertainer. I would go, yes, I would go with that. We had tweets at meeting the book. I was appreciate the feedback. Double Jay's Chris, it's Luckman, not Gilman. I had the wrong tribesman. My most humble apologies. By the way, again, Happy New Year to all that applies to. Whereas my mother said, Gilly, you're working on Russia Shina, Yes, because it's football. This is from Greg V at New Jersey, New York. He said, here's a quick point on that Chief's Colts game. How the hell does Andy read up seventeen to thirteen, go full galaxy brain and convince himself to fake a thirty nine yard field goal and fourth and eleven instead of just kicking. He also went for to early one up twelve ten. Just some odd decisions from him yesterday. Well, I can explain both of you, Amndola is not reliable miss an extra point? Mr. The field goal. I mean, I will tell you this about fourth and eleven, but I can understand his thinking. Yes, the well put, well put? All right, Kelly, what's next? Next up, Seahawks at the Lions one o'clock Eastern time, Sunday. It's still early games here, Lions, Mom, Okay, just even thinking about this right here, I think I'm already thinking about the Lions for something, you know what I mean. Seattle yesterday loses to Atlanta. One of Kelly Bidlin's correct circumillions picks. Nice job Gino in defeat for the Seahawks thirty two or forty four for three twenty five two touchdowns, one picks act twice. Tyler Locke at nine for seventy six. DK metcalf five or sixty four to touchdown. Seattle had a fourth and two at the Atlanta seven in a twenty to twenty game with three fifteen left in the third quarter, and they elected to kick at Jason Myers twenty five yard field goal to make it twenty three to twenty m As if that's not going to come back and haunt you, because all it took was five places for Atlanta to take the lead after that for Good on a Mariota to London Drake London that is, fourteen yard touchdown pass with forty one seconds left in the third quarter. Seattle was without three of its top cornerbacks in this game already burned Sydney Jones, Justin Coleman. They were all inactive and then Detroit. We talked about them leading the whole way until well they didn't against Minnesota, losing that one. Jared goff In defeat twenty five or forty one for two seventy seven, one touchdown, one pick, no sacks. Jamal Williams eight seven, two touchdowns, Amans st Brown a Moan st. Brown six catches for seventy three yards, so his streak of h three games with at least eight receptions that was tied for the lungs in the league history was stopped. He got hurt in the middle of the game, but came back. Fourth and five for Detroit at the Minnesota thirty two. This is early in this game. Scoreless game, they went for it. They converted golf to st. Brown for thirty down at the doorstep. Williams touchdown one play later made it seven and nothing. Detroit fourth in one Minnesota at the Minnesota forty five, up seven and nothing, one fifty three left in the first quarter. Detroit runs and converts six plays later, fourteen to nothing, and then we already talked about how it ended. They had fourteen and Nothingly, they had fourteen lead and they still cough up the game. Eighteen straight quarters the Lions have had with a touchdown this year until the fourth quarter yesterday. That's an amazing stat. Eighteen quarters in a row dating back to last year. Hadn't had a quarter without a touchdown this year until the fourth yesterday, um first quarter of this season without a touchdown. In fact, the Lions had zero points on their final five possessions yesterday two points turnover, run, downs, missed field goal, interception. The Lions are now oh ten and one in their last eleven road games dating back to last season. Golf O six and one on the road as a Detroit starter, and Detroit has lost eight one possession games since the start of last season, tied for the most in the NFL. So they were also a one possession U negative variants team that said Detroit by six, is that too many against thee attol No, because it's six and a half, and that's exactly my power rings come to um. It's virtually six and a half everywhere. Man. That like a good opening number for me. So Detroit feels like a survivor possibility next week coming with taking your life in your hands. But I can see it. You know what. I've come to terms with that every one of these is taking your life at your own hands. Like I just did. Nothing is confident this year, Kelly. One more? What's next? Jets at Steelers? Oh, Jets at Steelers. By the way, Steeler speak of the Steelers. Last week, you had that slippery Rock shirt on. I can't believe how many Pittsburghers have evidently watched the show and knew that was slippery Rock. Very intelligent audience this show, I guess, because I think most of Pittsburgh onesn't know that it was just that ass you know. Well the Jets yesterday, So this week, yeah, oh this week. I'm sorry. This week? What he got? Northern Arizona? My daughter went there for a semester. Okay, all right, there's always always a different shirt, always a story, alright. Jets yesterday lose to the Cincinnati Bengals. Joe Flacco two eighty five and defeat, no touchdowns, two picks. He was stacked four times. Jets were minus three in turnovers. As we mentioned, that was really the biggest stat of this game the Bengals beating the Jets twelve may I interject that is just come across now, Wilson is actually questionable this week. Just came across in the last minute. My next line was Zach Wilson expected to return. I'm sorry, shouldn't. No, no, no, no no. But then what you're saying is just questionable Humber moving. It looks like he's a lot more than questionable. Okay, problem. Let me just follow that up by numbers moving. Is that numbers to the positive for the Jets for the Jets, because that's a question mark to me. Also, I would agree, but boy Flacco Flacco was great last week. He did pretty bad. Yeah your day. Yeah, well he's Joe Flacco. Yeah. And then Joe Joe way too cool, I would argue, too cool. Yeah yeah. Pittsburgh. Um, Pittsburgh loses on Thursday night, remember, so they've got extra rest here. Mitch Drobiski in defeat was twenty of thirty two for two oh seven, no touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked once in that game against Cleveland on Thursday night, where Pittsburgh was one of nine on third downs. Cleveland had thirty six minutes and nine seconds of time of possession to Pittsburgh one. Kelly and I talked about this game on Friday, the Browns Steelers game, and I'm not sure if if we were some partical on this, but I think we were where I was sort of like, I think, Kenny Picken, this is a good question for you as a Steelers guy. I think Mitch Robiski is at the point now where he can do no right. Like I didn't think he was that bad. And immediately when the game ended, people like, oh, we gotta go to Picket, like, come on my humble, Yeah, you gotta get rid of that canon to who's the offensive coordinator? And I had, guys because I put that out on Thursday after the game. Oh, you can't change offensive coordinators in the middle of city. You can't seem fired. You know, head coaches. If you can fire a head coach, you can fire an offensive coordinator. Don't tell me you can't do that. And the guy's been terrible since he's been at Pittsburgh, you know. And I don't know why. If you saw that first half of that, they were in rhythm, they were moving the ball, boom boom boom. Rabisky played well, then they received the second half kickoff, and your figure, Okay, that's just gonna keep going like that. They totally went in the show for for what reason. I have no idea. And to me, listen, I'm not saying Robisky is I'm great quarterback or anything like that, but I think it's Matt. Canada is absolutely holding him back and holding back this entire offense. And I'm not saying I'm not saying Sisky is Dan Marino either, or Joe Montane or whatever your quarterback of choices, but i do feel like he's getting the worst of it here. He is, he can do no right. I'll say Pittsburgh minus four, well it was for my power rings seem to file against Flacco. I'm not sure what to do with Wilson. I mean, I think he has an improvement over Flacco, otherwise he wouldn't be the starter. But right now it was four pretty much, you know, fifteen minutes ago. Now it's all pretty much three and a half, three and a half. So the market is saying he's worth half a point. I'm gonna have to look back at I'm gonna probably go with three and a half. Just kind of look at things, see how Wilson practices all week and all that. I think the kid actually is pretty good, so it's probably an improvement over Flacco. But he hasn't played in three weeks, you know, so we'll have to see. But I'm gonna go with three and a half. At this point, I'm trying to think, what have I liked the best so far with all these guests in the first hour, And I think my answer is the Indianapolis Colts because you're saying it's three, right, Yeah, Yeah, I think I like the Cults. Yeah, I probably I probably like the the Vikings a little bit. You know. I think there's something wrong with Jamis Winston. He's just not right. Yeah. That was that the one side I've made so far, as Vikings and then I Colts was probably the next one that jumped off the board at me. All right, we're in partico and the Colts at least there. Yeah, the Vikings also, but you know it's the Vikings, right, so you just never know. I mean, they look great week one, not so great week two. And eked that out yesterday. Pro tip of the hour is very simple, boys and girls, don't gamble on a quarterback's injury status. If you're unsure, stay off the game or wait to bet end game, particularly when it comes to survivor. Why we're over a hundred people taking the chargers not knowing about Justin Herbert. That's your pro tip for the hour. We do want every hour on Visa across every show. That means at least twenty every day. They're all available for Visa Pro subscribers only at Visa dot Com, where you can sort them by sport and by show. Second hour of guessing lines on the other side, right here at Visa these Sports Betting Network. The numbers told the story always do those idiots will believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gil Ilexander, Visa our number two but numbers game at Visa these Sports Betting that. We're Visa dot Com, the Visa a Fobo game plus I Heart Radio, YouTube, TV, bat Tone Ruse Loisiana. It's all brought to you by bet MGM bad. It's Gil Alexander, my mish book. Christie Andrews is here for guessing lines, and so is Kelly Midland Biddlin, who's gonna do his own college football guessing lines. Uh, which is something a little different tomorrow. Let's put it that way on the show. Yeah, are you confident in your Are you confident that you're gonna embarrass yourself? Oh? Yeah, Am I confident and embarrassed myself? For sure? Get inspired by the fact that Washington Stanford game. He's like, what's the line, Gell, I'm like, fourteen pregnant pause plus or minus. It's gonna be very entertaining, awesome, it's gonna be quality radio. We're doing all the graphics the same as well. We have an intro music were quick, quick turnaround, Isaiah and Wyatt inspired downstairs? Not a little bit, a little bit, a little bit, all right? What's then? Are we afternoon yet? Games? Yet? No, we're not, you all because we are in one of the weeks stupidest schedules when it comes to that. Oh no, still the early slate. Jaguars at the Eagles one o'clock Eastern time. Jag wires, Christie, you're Jaguars or jag wires When I slipped it's jaguars, but I know it's the Jaguars. Love when people pronounce it that way. Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars are two and one in a top the a f C South after three games. The Jaguars snapped in eighteen game road winning road losing streak yesterday when they beat the Los Angeles Chargers. Trevor Lawrence twenty eight of thirty nine for two sixty two, three touchdowns, no picks, He was not sacked. James Robinson seventeen for a hundred in touchdowns Zay Jones and Christian Kirk. There to ten million dollar receivers. Jones ten for eighty five and a touchdown, Kirk six or seventy two and a touchdown. The Jaguars were plus two in turnovers Chargers had too, they had none. The out time of possessioned the Chargers, if you will, thirty seven to twenty one thirty three. The Jaguars scored on their final seven drives, four touchdowns and three field goals that excluding the kneel down at the end. They had a fourth and five on their opening drive of the game. They went for it and failed twelve thirteen left in the first quarters, so right out of the shoot they went for a fourth and five, no consequence for not failing it. After holding the Charges to a three and out after that, then fourth and one at midfield ten forty seven left in the third quarter, they're up sixteen to ten. They go for it, James Robinson to the house for fifty twenty three to ten, and then fourth and inches up twenty three to ten at the l A six A sneak from Trevor Lawrence. How about that, boys and girls, A sneak saw a few of them yesterday. Love it? They converted two plays later, Lawrence to Kirk thirty one to ten after two point conversion, and the competitive portion of the ball game was over. And then there's the Philadelphia Eagles. The Dolphins are the only three and O in the a f C. The Eagles are the only three and O in the NFC. The Giants trying to join him tonight. Jalen Hurts against Washington twenty two of thirty five for three forty three touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked three times. Davonte Smith, Hey, Kelly, remember on Primetime Action when we were like, why are why do people think Davonte Smith is not gonna be a good bro? Why do they talk themselves out of this? DeVante eight for one sixty nine and a touchdown. By the way, in the first half, he had seven for one, fifty six of those and a touchdown. It was twenty four to nothing Eagles at halftime. They've scored twenty four first half points the Eagles in all three games this year. How about that they got twenty four more up on the board and all three games this season Brown five, eight, five and a touchdown. Zero points allowed, by the way, on the first eleven Washington possessions. Zero points allowed on the first eleven Washington possessions. Fourth and one up tended nothing at the Washington. You know, in Washington territory, they go for it, they fail. It didn't matter. Fourth and goal of seventeen to nothing. The clock was stuck at eighteen seconds. Hurts to Smith to make it nothing. By the way, that was a fascinating part about the end of that end of the first half of that game. The clock just went off the screen, and so we were led to believe, we just had to believe them that Philly had enough time to do this, and sure enough, Hurts takes advantage, goes to Smith and was nothing. Um, let me just say this about cause we talked about Lamar Jackson earlier and we're talking about Jalen Hurts now. What do you think? Who do you think the top three? Here's my top three m VP candidates as they see them right now, Monte Sana, Michael Montasan, and we're texting about this yesterday. Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts, and Lamar Jackson. Pick your order. I think those are the three top three tops. Yeah, I'm not so sure that Jalen Hurts or Lamar shouldn't be the short shot right now. Lamar doing it very quietly. By the way, Lamar and Jalen to two guys who lot of people wanted to change positions once they got to the NFL. Can I go off for just a minute when Hurt I don't know, I don't mean to go off on a red but no, but a couple of things. When he got replaced at halftime in that National Championship game, I was impressed with the way he handled it. Okay, very impressed. Then he transfers to Oklahoma, they immediately make him a team captain. I think that said. I mean for a veteran team. I mean he didn't go to James Madison or you know, they may immediately made him a team captain. There's another one we talked about this with Josh Allen, how he was very inaccurate in college, came out and has been accurate ever since. Same with Jalen Hurts, he was inaccurate. I mean that was a legitimate beef. So maybe they have figured out a way to improve quarterbacks accuracy. But he also has a and Alan had Diggs is his uh Stefon Diggs as his. That helps a guy a lot. This guy has the want. Yeah, that's gonna help you too, by the way, but they still have performed, you know, So, I mean I had my questions as well about about Hurts, but he had this kid can play. All three of the guys who mentioned Josh Allen for accuracy concerns, which I raised my hand, all right, me too. Uh Lamar Jackson, who the Ravens had to trade back into the first round to draft at thirty two after people after he came out of Louisville's great college football player, people like, but they prose come exactly, um, and then everything you say about Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts, remember was considered to be overdrafted. The Eagles drafted him, Yeah, but but still an overdraft. I probably would have signed up for that too. Yeah, and I was dead wrong, but I think and they are arguably that having the three best seasons of any players in the NFL. And like I said, Jalen, I don't know. I only know what you see on TV. I don't know, but I was very impressed with his conduct and I thought he was a guy of like some quality. And I'm glad to see it out of the kid. Never root for anything from Philadelphia, but okay, yeah, I mean I think most texts going right yesterday was wow, is Philadelphia just this good? And apparently Nick Siriani had them like looking at a Kobe Bryant video the night before, and the final score of that game ended up being twenty four eight. Oh that's both of Kobe's jersey numbers. If you believe in such mystical things. I don't, but that is pretty wild. Philadelphia minus six in the end. That's how much respect I have for the Eagles right now. Yeah, that's um my numbers come to exactly six. It's seven pretty much, um seven with some respect in other words, as seven with some Jews. So I'm gonna open seven. But I kind of like the Jags. Quick. I have a grading system that I use. And the three top grades from yesterday. Number one top grade was Jacksonville, number two Miami, but number three Philadelphia. Now it's you know, it's hard. I wouldn't call it a math Faning would laugh at me if I said it was a by the way, I'm doing his podcast from nice, you know, but he you know, I wouldn't call it a math model. But I do call it a grading system. It helps me a little bit with my pie ratings. But you know, I think Jacksonville's for real. And a lot of it has to do with the coach who finally got Trevor Lawrence to blossom well, and how bad must Urban money your god, it tells you just how bad he was. How bad must that dude have been? But Fox had to happen back in the college football that you can't change a coach in mid season. That's what these Pittsburgh peopards are apparently not. Well. You got Kelly Still the Early State on Sunday, Commanders at Cowboys, the Commodore's against the Cowboys. Everybody's calling the Commodore's. Now, what's your favorite Commodore's? Jam? I just called the Commies. Thank you, Daniel So the other big thing we didn't say about that game between Washington Philadelphia. You said it earlier. Carson Wentz twenty five or forty three for two, eleven, no touchdowns, no picks, sacked nine times and what did you say, knockdown seventeen to back hits. Does that include sacks? I'm not sure. Uh, yes, in that case, I believe it. I'd say yes. Terry McLaurin the incomparable Terry McLaurin six for one oh two. But Washington was out gained in the first half. This is the second week in a row now Washington has just been a no show in the first half. Remember Detroit held them to like nothing till five minutes left in the second quarter. Yesterday, Washington was out gained three two to fifty in the first half. And when you factor in the sacks, Washington had minus sixteen passing yards in the first half of that game. Yesterday, they're at Dallas side on seeing Dallas plays the Giants tonight at New York Dallas trying to get to two in one with Cooper rush Um side unseeing Dallas by a field. Well, it's a brain deadline, but that's what it's gonna be. It's three pretty much everywhere. My numbers come the four, though, Washington team, how da sorry if you can't protect your quarterback any better than that. I mean, plus, you're going against Michael Parsons next week. How good do you think get kids are gonna be? He might have nine by himself, he might have not this. I mean, he's one of the three guys I said moves the number, you know, as far as defensive players, and I think he goes wild on you know, they can't protect them. My numbers coming to four. I'll open three as a placeholder, but I'm looking for that number to go up. Let me just make this clear also about Carson Wentz, because I you know, I hated the fact that Washington traded for him, is particularly what they traded for him, which was the kitchen sink. There were reports this weekend that Washington had tried to trade for Jimmy Garoppolo, that that then Garoppolo decided to get shoulder surgery, and that's what made that deal fall through. Ron Rivera of course denying that this morning. But as much as I hated the Carson Wentz trade for Washington, none of this is really his fault, like, he has no chance on most of these plays. You get hit seventeen times. I mean, what do you think Tom Brady would be if he got seventeen times? He has no chance. I mean, and he's made throws this year that Taylor Heineke could not have made. Absolute And I mean the one, I mean, the biggest that I have on Wentz is you know, he is loose with the football when he does get hit. That didn't really happen yesterday. He was just under you know, he had no shot at it, no time. So uh, none of that to say is really his fault? Um, mainly I would say, I mean, yeah, there's probably some incremental fault of his, but very generally it's the offensive line with these uh, with this Washington team. All right, more guesting lines. Hopefully we'll get to the afternoon games. What are the three afternoon games? Does it? That's it three? Because there's a London Oh no, why do they do this? More guesting lines? On the other side, it's a numbers game at Visa, the sports betting network, the Numbers game Sports betting Network. Hey, Kelly, the NHL season is almost tier. Did you know that? Oh yeah, let's go. Our hockey betting experts are ready for all the action. The Visa and Hockey Season Prep Guide. It's gonna be available soon with strategies and best bets for the season ahead. Get in depth analysis from our hockey experts, including our own Any mc neil will join us on a numbers game this Wednesday to start his previous He's got predictions for teams and players, win totals, daily betting tips, season long trends to watch, plus three things every new NHL better should know. The guide is a must have with key insights and data for both of avid hockey betters and those new to the sport. Give yourself an edge of this season and get the Visa Hockey Season Prep Guide by becoming a Visa Pro subscriber today. Yet another benefit of being a Visa Pro subscriber at Visa dot com slash subscribe. You know we're booking preseason hockey. You are everybody is. Did you not do that before? I don't. I think we probably did last year, but I don't know that we did it every year. I know Michael gone when he finds out, he'll go crazy. What Michael, this isn't anymore? What's it. What What are the words that are gonna come out of his mouth? What the hell are you doing booking preseason hockey? Michael? Everybody is we have no choice, We have to do it. Nineteen Yeah, what a year that was? By the way, what a year? Yeah? I graduated college. Did you see the Super seventies sports thing in the specame nineteen seventy eight? I sent you in Felik of the Super seventy sports that Twitter handle Mike Cobbage nineteen seventy eight base. I didn't retweet that because it's it's hilarious. Alright, to the afternoon for Week four on Sunday, No Browns at Falcons? Oh my god? What's that? So that's nine? What is it? Nine? Brutal? Alright? Because I only have nine TVs in my office. Cleveland on extra rest. Remember they beat Pittsburgh last Thursday night. Jacoby were set in that game. Was twenty one thirty one for two, twenty two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice, Nick Chubb for one thirteen touchdown and Marie Cooper seven catches for one. I wanted to touchdown David and Joeku nine eighty nine in a touchdown. And then there's Atlanta who got by the Seahawks yesterday. Marcus Mariot thirteen of twenty for two nine, one touch down, one pick. He was sacked three times. Core Darryl Patterson career high game seventeen carries for one forty one in a touchdown, hundred and seven of those one in the second half. Kyle Pitts five for eighty seven, Drake London three for fifty four to touchdown once again. Up twenty seven to twenty three. The Falcons were on the Seahawks. Marcus Mariota and Tyson alas Here fumbled in exchange that hu Chenna Noo suit recovered for the Seahawks with five twelve left. That opened the door for the Seahawks. Four plays later, it was a fourth and one at the Seattle forty seven. With three forty left. The Seahawks go for it and convert on a Richard Penny four yard run. Pardon me, but Seattle got as far as the Atlanta twenty four. Remember they needed a a field goal down excuse me, a touchdown down four couldn't settle for the field goal, but once they got to the twenty four, a hold an offensive hold, holding penalty, a sack, and then an overthrow that Richie Grant picked off. An overthrow by uh By, the the great Geno Smith that Richie Grant picked off on fourth with one thirty left in the game sealed the deal. Cleveland Atlanta. This is a barn burner of a football game. Am I ridiculous to say Cleveland minus three on the road? Not ridiculous? But it is a solid two and a half. That's exactly what my power ratings came to. It was two and a half. I'm gonna use two and a half. I knew I was too lazy on that one. I tell It's one of those weird things that I've said a couple of times on this show. When you see a game of solid two and a half, probably you should take it. See a game a solid three and a half, you should probably lay it again. See a game of solid two and a half, you should probably take it. Now. Of course, you want to take plus three if you can get it. If you see a solid three and a half, you should probably lay it once again. Of course you'd rather lay three than three and a half. But what that tells you is the sharp money if it like the favorite game would go if it's two and a half, if the sharp money like the favorite, it would go to three. And conversely, if if it's as three and a half, if the sharp money like the dog, it would go to three. So it tells you you move away from that key number kind of that tells you where the sharp money is. But obviously you're not gonna win every one of this. I'm just telling where the sharp money would lie. You know what I spell, Kelly, I smell a pro tip? Yeah, writing it down already? Do I get for those that I think I copyrighted that I think I mentally copyright of that work. I was gonna say, you receive no monetary compensation for damnit? Sorry about that. We should have should have gotten in their contract before the show. I should all right, what's what's the number? Two? Here we are in the afternoon. Now are finally in the afternoon. Cardinals at Panthers four oh five Eastern time. This is another stinker. Cardinals at the Panthers. Do you have any feel for either of these two teams? Maybe you do. Cardinals lose their seventh straight game at home. How about that? And I didn't either lose their seventh straight game at home. Kyler Murray in defeat and the Rams beat the Cardinals yesterday to twelve, and they had every opportunity in the book to win this game. The Rams were like, here, take it from us, and the Cardinals were like, no, thank you. Kyler Murray thirty seven for fifty three, fourteen, no touchdowns, no picks, he was sacked twice. How about Marquis Hollywood Brown yesterday fourteen for one forty I've done the math. That's ten yards catch. By the way, Uh, here here's the here's the Cardinals offensive drives to start the game three and out, three and out, four and out, three and out, followed by a nineteen play drive that resulted in a field goal, so they're down thirteen to three. They eked out another field goal by the end of the half to make it thirteen to six. Then they had a sixteen play drive in the third core that ended in a field goal to make it thirteen to nine, and you're like, the Cardinals could win this game. But after the Rams made it twenty to nine, the Cardinals ensuing drive stalled on the fourth and fourth the Rams with five left, and then because they couldn't get it on fourth down, and then another seventeen play drive that resulted in yet another Matt Prator field goal with one ten left on side kick, Rams are covered. Game is over. Final score twenty to twelve. Oh my god. By the way, the Rams only had fifteen first downs in that game. The Cardinals are just a mess, and the Raiders are sitting there listening to this going, oh my god, we lost to them. And then there's Carolina. These are two one and two teams. By the way, Carolina gets it done yesterday against the Panthers two to fourteen. Now remember that stat we gave last week. I have not stopped thinking about that stead Matt rule for those who missed it. As the head coach of the Carolina Panthers, when opponents get to seventeen points, when opponents score seventeen plus points, Matt rules Carolina Panthers are one in twenty five straight up. That is one of the most startling stats I've heard in a long time. Again, not twenty four points, not thirty points, seventeen plus points by the opponent. They hold the Saints to fourteen. Remember, the Saints didn't score to the fourth quarter and so the Panthers get it done. Twenty two to fourteen does not apply. Baker Mayfield as mediocre as ever, and I'm being kind. Twelve of twenty five for one, seventy one touchdown, no picks, three sacks only, twelve four ward passes completed, Christian McCaffrey twenty five carries for one oh eight Lovisca she alt two for ninety and a touchdown sixty seven of those ninety on the touchdown. And then the other big play for the Panthers Markus Haynes returning a fumble forty four yards for a touchdown. Panthers beat the Saints twenty to fourteen to snap a nine game losing streak dating back to last year. They were out gained by the Saints four to two. The Panthers only had twelve first downs the whole game, but they were plus three in turnovers and that's all you need to know. Saints had three, Panthers had none. It's Arizona at Carolina to one and two teams. I'm going back to the preseason thoughts here because I have to think that Arizona is still the better football team. And you know what, I might be horribly wrong. But I'm going to split the difference between the three and the pick, and I'll say Arizona minus a point and a half. Okay, bingo again, I like your number better. My number came through exactly Arizona one and a half. You know, Carolina, it's just a bad team now. You know, I think very poorly of Kyler Murray, even more poorly of Cliff Kingsbury. I mean, I don't like this team at all, but boy, Carolina is just terrible. They had that fumble return for a touchdown Baker Mayfield low man on the totem pole. As far as qb are, eleven point something for the day, I made it Arizona one and a half. Now, I do like your number better. I see it anywhere from Carolina one up to two, so anywhere in there. I'm gonna open Carolina one. Interesting. But you know that's one of those games, you know, I know you do the Megapod. Which game would you want to stay away from? Put me down for this one? Yes, Well, the megapod question is if you were forced to make a bet in every single one of the games on the slate on the side we do the Megapod on the beating the book feed, which this appears on the podcast for him, We do that on Thursday. But you were allowed one pass, what game? One game that you want no part of whatsoever? Which game would it be? And you're saying Arizona CA. Yeah, I mean it would be tough to beat. As the answer, Yeah, I mean it would be one of those if you could find plus money, like plus a dollar fifteen, plus a dollar twenty on either side, I'd say, yeah, give me that, because I have no idea what the hell is gonna happen. The thing about this game is I could be convinced to bet Arizona. I couldn't never be convinced to bet Carolina. But I still Arizona. Like I said, Kyler Murray is still going to have the best highlight reel in the league. That doesn't translate the wins, but he's gonna have a great highlight. But it's amazing. It's that it's either three an ounce or you know, four an ounce, or it's this long trap board. Boy, do they miss DeAndre Hopkins? You think they cannot put that ball down? Six games, six eight, I believe something like that. Yeah, all right, more afternoon games and the primetime games for Week four, it's a numbers game at Vista in the Sports Betting Network, the Numbers game. Sports betting networks don't forget. To start your football season off on the right foot by subscribing to vest and Pro, get full access to everything we do, including our daily picks at a Glance recap of the top plays made by Vista show hosting guests, seven video season prep including our weekly college and pro football matchup Guid's covering every game all season long. Pro tools like our exclusive betting splits and pro tips, updating every hour with actionable insights to up your betting games. Sign up on our Just Got a Football special and get Visa Pro access to everything we do from now through the Super Bowl, probably a hundred seventy five dollars or say off the monthly price with an annual subscription and bet smarter all year long. Go to Visa dot Com slash subscribe. That's where all the answers are. You ain't got all the answers sway, but we got all the answers right there. Visa dot Com slash subscribe for all your options and become part of the sports Betting network. UH Survivor in Circum in Circle, which again Derrek Stevens, Mike Palm, Matt Metcalf, Jeffrey Benson. What they've done with those contests has been spectaculars, particularly with Survivor, which is Derek's finest stroke. Started with six thousand, one thirty three entries, another twenty two point seven per cent or so of the remaining just over two thousand went down by the wayside yesterday. Chiefs were the biggest loser, followed by the Chargers Um and so we're down to under sixteen d entries. Now, how many guys just decided to donate their thousand dollars to the pot? A lot of people have well every week, it's every every week, it's double digits. And again, you know they'll they'll tell you that it ranges all the way from people just plumb forgetting. I just want to use the word plum and uh, I don't know where that came from, and I have no idea what just happened. It is amazing how many how many people forget each week though, even when your weeks into the season, where you know each one of those in one of those entries dollars, A lot of money. Yeah, well maybe Warren Buffet wouldn't care about that, right, but it probably doesn't care. But I'm just saying, like, you know what, Warren doesn't care. I've read a lot of stuff. My beloved Gracie fifteen year old. Fifteen year old Gracie called I told you, calls me in the middle of Saturday, or she texts me. She goes, I need help on a project for school. You gotta help me, and so I drop everything to help her, right, And I realized when I finished with her, I was like, oh my god, when's the deadline? Like I could have I could have botched it. So there's all kinds of reasons. And then by the way, they they'll tell you over it. Once they had somebody die literally one week. That's why his didn't get into So that's that's an acceptable excuse, right, you said. A couple of lines moved here in the the while we were talking. Yeah, Um, the buffalo has gone towards my number, which I told you. I made the bills four. I see it. It was three, gone up, actually went to four, and then it's back down the three and a half. So I'm at debate where they opened three and a half and four. Originally I said three. The other one the Eagles, it was seven like a blanket, my numbers came to six. It's now gone to six and a half. So the sevens are completely gone. So I'll definitely open six and a half then and again, for those who think Chrissy's just making that up, these these games are not available to bet here at the South Point, you have not put them up yet. I wait for this show, Gil, I'm just reminding the people. I wait for this show. Thank you. I'm very honored by that. Alright, final afternoon games, Kelly Brown goes at Raiders. I got so much to say about this game yesterday. The Niners brutalized me yesterday. I lost a millions pick on them. Um, I bet them that was a guessing lines instinct last week. And can we just shout out, by the way Dr Bob Kelly for a second. Dr Bob comes on this show every Friday, and you know he typically gives us college football plays, but he also in the last week has given us his thoughts on a pro football game, and two weeks in a row now he has saved me. Maybe you two, Kelly, because two weeks ago he was like, yeah, I kind of like the Jets against the Browns. Obviously, we know the shenanigans that happened at the end of that game that Kenny helped me out of big time, kept us off the Browns, and then this past week he was like, hey, you know, Denver with it now again. You could argue he got completely lucky on both, but he kept us off both and saved us because I might have thought about San Francisco today. Anyway, For those who missed it, last night, Denver beats the Niners eleven to ten, second time, second time in the history. And I was telling my wife at the time, I said, I remember the first one you do because yeah, Scott Hanson calls it does score origami. I believe he calls it final score or agami on a on red zone. Denver had nine three announced. Last night. Denver had nine three announced. They had no touchdown passes, They only had a hundred twenty six yards passing total, and they won. They started drives. This is interesting. Last night they started drives. Denver did at the at their own twenty nine, twenty six, one, fifty twenty five, fifty, nineteen one, five, twenty and at the end of forty two twenty four but basically either horrible field position or outstanding field position. San Francisco, by the way, started drives at their own ten nineteen fifteen, three eleven, two forty three Denver forty one. Literally no drives in this game started between the twenty six and the forty like it was all bad or good and they still couldn't didn't matter. Russell Wilson twenty of thirty three for one eighty four, no touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked four times. Uh Sutton eight Courtland's on eight for ninety seven through the year. Denver was plus three in turnover saw you need to know they had none. San Francisco had three second half Denver three and out, three and out, miss field goal, three and out, three and out. But then the drive that mattered, where Denver converted a third and one, a third and ten, a third and six, culminating in a touchdown to put him up eleven ten with four thirteen left. San Francisco had such a shot to win this still all they all they needed was a field goal, right, and they got it at their own forty seven. They got it all the way to their own forty seven before Jimmy g through a pass. It was deflected by Kareem Jackson picked by Jonas Griffith. But then a three and out for for Denver, and San Francisco got the ball back again, but second and twenty two from their own three, Garoppolo hits Jeff Wilson and just as he's approaching the sticks, p J Locke pokes the ball out. Kareem Jackson recovers it. Ball game. Also earlier in the game, by the way, the Niners were up seven and nothing. Remember the second quarter. They were up seven and nothing. Twelve minutes left in the first half, San Francisco declined to holding penalty and instead allowed Brandon McManus to attempt and make a fifty five yard or so. Remember that moment that ended up mattering. And also remember that fourth and two at the Denver thirty three for San Francisco. With fourteen fourteen left, San Francisco settled for a fifty one yard field well to make it ten to five. You can't be both of those things. You can't get praised. Oh good, he's hey, you know he settled. It made him kick a field goal there fifty five yarder and then also not be aggressive. But like you can't know, those are incongruent things. So Kyle Shanahan deserves a little guph for that. And then there's the Raiders. We talked about them, by the way. The Raiders are oh and three. They've lost all three games by a total of thirteen points. Josh McDaniels not having a good time, Derek carr in defeat three or three, two touchdowns, one Pickie was sacked once, mccollins eight one a touchdown, Davante only five catches, Waller only three catches, Derek rr and the and the Raiders were one of twelve on third down, but three or three on fourth. They had a fourth, fourth and two down seven and nothing. They kicked a field goal to make it seven. Three subsequent Tennessee driver right after that to go at fourteen and three, so settling for a field goal kind of bit them there. They had a fourth and one at the Tennessee twenty nine down to ten and the third quarter they went for it and converted. Six plays later. They had a Carlson field goal to make it thirteen. But then, as you remember, at the end, they were down to sixteen They converted a fourth and fifteen on a Hollands forty eight yard catch, a fourth and ten on a Tennessee defensive hold to keep their final drive alive, then a fourth and goal and nine down eight Keelan Cole had just dropped a third down pass Carter Hollands two point conversion fails. All that to say, Raiders by four. I still think they're more than a field goal favorite over Denver. You know, it's funny my power rings come to exactly two. It's a blanket too out there, nothing different than two. But this wouldn't be a numbers play. But I definitely like the Raiders in this spot. And three coming home Denver, you know, pretty big win on Monday night, you know, lucky win. They're so out of sorts. Yeah, I mean, I really like the power rating too. I have no beef with the two, and that's the number that's painted on everywhere. I really like the Raiders in this spot. What's the number? Okay too? Oh wow? Yeah, I like I like Raiders. I do too. I like that as much as Indie. Alright, not not in numbers play, but I think this is a good situation for the Raiders. Kelly next next up in the afternoon, Patriots at Packers. Jones mac Jones twenty two of thirty two for three twenty one yesterday, no touchdowns, three picks. He was sacked three times Davante Parker. Remember he's in a Patriots uniform five ft six. But the Patriots, as we mentioned, minus two in turnovers. They had four. The Ravens had two yesterday. And don't forget mac Jones limped off the field on his final pick with a very pained expression in his face. His left leg crumpled up from behind. And by the way, he and Rappaport re reporting this morning that mac Jones leave to have suffered a high ankle sprain Penning m R. I. That's per him and Tom bellisero. That means he'll miss time and potentially head to I R if the m R I confirms that. Wow. They had a fourth and three at the Baltimore and Baltimore Territory, down seven to three, they went forth. They failed, still managed to be within a point at the half. Yesterday, they had a fourth and one down thirty thirty eight left fourth quarter. Jones scrambled and converted two plays later. It was thirty one to twenty six. The two point conversion failed, and we already talked about the end of that game, how many chances the Patriots had could not capitalize before Baltimore ran away with it and then Green Bay. They really crushed the Bucks yesterday. Matt Lafleur, now forty one and eleven, is head coach of the Packers. They sealed it on the Tampa Bay failed two point conversion with fourteen seconds left after the Bucks took a delay penalty that pushed him back to the seven. Looked like four net could have just walked into before the flag. Rogers thirty five to fifty five, two touchdowns, one pick, sack once uh and the Packers only had fourteen first downs in their fourteen to twelve win. The Bucks just don't look good. I'll say, Green Bay by a full touchdown seven points way low? Whoa really? Because mac Jones now, okay, different story, It's gonna be at least double digits. Then it's ten and a half everywhere I got the mac Jones in my power ratings, I got eleven and a half, And again I wrote, then diminishing returns might be a little high, but I think I'm gonna open eleven, it's ten and a half. Ever, I'm gonna open a level. Brian Hoyer would be your starting quarterback for the Patriots at mac Jones is unable to go. Sorry to run you intow wall there. Primetime games are next on Guessing Lines Numbers, Game Visa, the Sports Metting Network. Kelly, what do you say we do the old pro tip? Because I don't plan on saying anything more intelligent than what Chris said earlier. How about we do that? Let's do it all right? Your pro tip of the Eric case you missed it? Uh, from the from the mouth of Christie Andrews. You've done a great job here, Christie, and again, no monetary compensation for you. If you're seeing a game settle at two and a half or three and a half, it likely isn't going to the three. Is that what you said? That's not really what you said. Is It's really not what you're pulling away from the butcher? Okay? So I mean if you see a game settles in a two and a half rather than going in three, probably the dog is the right side, at least in the eyes of the settles. I'm not talking about opening them about settles in Yeah, if you see a game settling at three and a half, probably the favorite is the right side according to the wise guys, or else they would take and it would go to three, so that you know, judge by you know, the movement away from a key number three being the biggest. Key seven would be in there. But we don't see that many seven and a half certainly not in the NFL all, you know. But that's now that, ladies and gentlemen, is your pro tip of the hour? Will we'll rewrite that for for Visa dot Com subscribers there get paid for editing. You do not. That was our pro tip for the hour. We do one every hour on Visa across every show, so that means at least twenty that's twenty every day. They're still available. They're all available, i should say for Visa Pro subscribers only at Visa dot com, where you can sort them by support and by show. Because I love so many things about Kelly, but one of them is like, I'm watched it immediately owns I watched it. Uh, one of the great Kelly. It was the greatest hits along with Shoulders Fine, Shoulders Fine on me Gil Sunday night eight, twenty Eastern time, Chiefs at Buccaneers. Okay, Chiefs, as we mentioned, lose that game to the Colts. And by the way, we should let me let me just read some tweets here real quick. We get tweets at beating the book mark n LBC. Happy New Year guilt, Happy New Year to you if it applies as well. Um. The one I was getting at here because this triggered it was from this is from Kenneth. That's one nine with three says. I'm convinced the Refts are out to get me. First was the nineteen Ramstads p I non call that Stevie Wondersaw Division and Super Bowl tickets in hand. And yesterday with the abusive language person personal foul to knock me out of Circus Survivor, which we talked about earlier, which just destroyed Chief's Survivor players. But Patrick Mahomes in defeat twenty of twenty five or two sixty two, one touchdown, one Picky sacked once. Kansas City Chiefs running backs, uh, I should say tailbacks and fullbacks eighteen carries for thirty one yards. That's all they had. Yesterday they were up to twelve to ten. They led, they went for two. It withstood replay. It was fourteen to ten. They had a fourth and long um up fourteen to ten. In the third quarter, they went forward and converted, but settled for a field goal seventeen to ten. Chiefs never scored again, and as we mentioned, a fake field goal attempt for Casey up seventeen the thirteen that resulted in an incomplete pass from holder Tommy Townsend who double clutched his past to Noah Gray with thirteen thirty four left in the fourth quarter, is chewing the forty one yard field goal attempt. And the reason again for these a Mendola Matt A Mandola missed a thirty four yard field goal up seventeen to thirteen with eight forty one left. He missed an extra point in the first half. And remember he's replacing an injured Harrison Butker. Parlay asked this question on on on the megapod. He was like, what matters more, Harrison Butker's absence were the Chiefs or Keenan Allen's absence for the Chargers, And I immediately said, it's Harrison Butker for the Chiefs, which I'm sure I listed a lot of commons, a lot of moans people. We do not talk about field goal kickers enough. Not having him on the field colored everything they did yesterday. It's a it really is a new ballgame with kickers. I tweeted this out this last week. Look at the Jon Stanner Rud's stats. First guy, he couldn't make a Division One team. He couldn't kick for Alabama. I mean maybe, like I said, I keep picking on James Madison, maybe he kicked for them, but he couldn't. I mean, he's in the Hall of Fame. He couldn't kick for Division One. Thing. These these kickers have gotten so good. Mark Moseley won the National Football League MVP Award in nineteen two because he kicked Are you ready for this twenty seven consecutive field goals? Think about that? Like people do that left and right now? Straightaway? Kicker handlebar? One handle bar on that. Mark Mosley one of the redskin Greens. Um okay, So the Chiefs they do lose that. By the way. They also had a little, uh, a little dust up at the end of the first half between Eric bi Enemy and Patrick Mahomes, which Tony Romo narrated fabulously and then there's Tampa Bay. This is the Sunday night game. Kansas City at Tampa Bay. Good Sunday night game on paper anyway, or is it because Tampa Bay down? Look good? Brady thirty two for two, seventy one, one touchdown, no picks, sack three times. Remember there was no Mike Evans gauge twelve twelve catches, rather Fhrady seven yards in a touchdown. But the Bucks six points and two turnovers on their first ten drives of this game. They scored this year twenty or fewer points in all three games this season. Is one answer to that question. Three offensive touchdowns in three games. That's it. Three offensive touchdowns in three games. They had a fourth and one at the Green Bay forty two with twelve thirty six left in the first quarter, Brady to Beasley for four they converted five plays later. They settled for a field goal, but those were the only points they scored in the first half. They had drives resulting in two punts in a fumble the rest of the half, plus a kneel down. Anyway, Kansas City is gonna be aavorite. They're gonna be more than a field goal favorite on the road. I feel like I've given like a lot of more than field goal road favorites. Kansas City minus four, I'll say it's a solid three. This game opened last night to tu and it not open. But like I take like the nine o'clock numbers was too to and a half and it's moved up ever since. I gotta say my power ratings come to Kansas City one. But I don't like my number better. I like the move better. I think you might be a little high, but I'm gonna open three. This team Tampa has a lot of problems. I want to look a little more closely into that team, and I'm think I'm gonna probably have to adjust my power rating. I just mentioned how many points have they scored this year? Not that many, you know. And rumors about Brady and his wife, you know, all sorts of things, and I think I mentioned I think I might have mentioned on your show. I might not if I can't remember, um, But remember nineteen seventy six, Terry Bradshaw was going through a divorce with we at the end of the year, he finally came out because he had a terrible year. They were coming off two straight Super Bowl wins and you know they I think they went out the first week of the playoffs or whatever, but I think you know that can and your quarterback is your key guy. I don't care who else you have on your team. The quarterbacks sets the mood for the team, and especially if you're Tom Brady. UM. So there's something wrong here with this team. So my power rains come to one. But I definitely I don't know if I like your number better up to four, but I definitely like the three better. And that's what I'm gonna open. And then Monday Night, Kelly, Monday Night Rams at forty Niners two and one Rams one and two niners Rams. Yesterday, as we mentioned, they tried everything to give that game with the Cardinals. Cardinals just refused to take it. Stafford eighteen of twenty five for two forty nine, no touchdowns note picks he was stacking once. Cooper Cup only four catches for forty four yards, had a drop in this game too. He didn't have one carry for twenty yards, his first rushing touchdown of his career. UM. But I called this before the season. I said the Rams were just lolly gag for half the season before they like decided to start playing, so are that's kind of it with them? And then then San Francisco last night we mentioned losing somehow to Denver eleven to ten. Garoppolo Jimmy g eighteen for twenty nine for two eleven, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked four times. We should also mention also with nine fifty sect six left in the third quarter in San Francisco up seven or three, Garoppolo and the Niners may never have been happier for a safety as he does. The Dan or Lobsky thing, how great was Orlovski's tweeters was hilarious. Uh, Jimmy, you just stepped out of the back of the end zone while tossing a pass that Bradley Chubb then picked off at the three for what looked to be a pick six, But that would have raised the seven to three deficit, but instead it's the safety. Um, So it was the Niners up seven to five. Also by the way second and ten at the Denver six for the Broncos late in the third quarter. Remember, Melvin Gordon fumbled and Russell Wilson recovered, so there was a lot of fumble luck there for the Broncos as well. Wilson Junior for the Niners twelve seventy five yards, three catches for thirty one. Remember that fumble lost to seal the game. Niners were only one of ten on third down. There were minus three in turnovers. They had three, the brag has had none. Fourth and one at the Denver thirty three up seven to five, fourteen ten left. Remember they settled for that fifty one yard field goal to make a ten to five. So again it's a little inconsistent with Kyle Shanah in the first half of like here go ahead, take the field goal and there and he's you know. And then later when he took the field goal, Chris Collinsworth is praising him for like the value of every little point in this game. Well, then you should have put them out of field goal range in the first half. Can't be both. I'll say Chargers, Chargers Rams by three on the road. How many of these minus threes have I put out? Are quite a few, But that one's way off. Time to make a bag. Gil Uh. It comes to the Niners two and a half. My numbers come to pick Niners two and a half. Niners by two and a half. What was the pro tip. This game settles in a two and a half. I think the Rams are the right side because my numbers come to pick are one niners. This game settles into two and half niners. Rams on the right side. Mark that down Niners by two and a half. M hmm, yeah, well the Rams are lollygagging. Your number is gonna be whatever. The real number is gonna be way better than that. Trust the pro tip, though, I trusts the pro tip. Trust the pro the trust the pro tip. Write that one down too. All right, we've done all we can copy right down. I think I like the Raiders and the Colts, and obviously I gotta like the Rams. Now enjoy from Visa, the Sports Betting Network.