South Point Hotel Casino Sportsbook Director Chris Andrews brings over 30 years of bookmaking experience to the table in this weekly series, designed to find an edge in the upcoming week's NFL betting lines. Andrews and Host Gill Alexander give their thoughts on every game on the Week 3 slate on Monday's Beating The Book podcast (September 19, 2022).
Check it down, man, now, down. Then the numbers told the story. Idiots believe in analytics. This is a numbers game with Gill Alexander Visa. Good Monday morning too. It is a numbers game at visa, the sports betting network, Visa Dot Com, the visa that football game, plus, I heart radio, Youtube TV, all proudly brought you by bet mgm, Nevada, Skill Alexander. Guessing lines for week number three and, of course, in the process, look back at another insane week of the National Football League. You thought week one was great. Oh that was adorable compared to yesterday. Of course, Kelly Bilin is here and, of course, the star of guessing lines, which we do every Monday morning during the NFL season, the man who runs the South Point Hotel Casino Sports Book, Christie Andrews. Sir, what's up? What you got there? What's what's your shirt today? I'm gonna see if anybody knows who that is. Okay, Alright, I'm gonna see if anybody tweet the show if you know who's insignia this logo. It was a logo. Okay, I'm assuming it's a college. That's it's the only hint you can go that far. Yeah, okay, so let me let me just start by saying this, and I'll bring it Kelly for this. Kelly, I feel like all of these years of NFL Games were bounces going against me and just pure NFL hell on Sundays. I feel like it's all coming back to me in two weeks. I'm happy for you well, but what I what I mean to say by that is this. I wasn't dumb then and I'm not smart now. It's just the NFL and it's all Planko. It's all Planko. You're you're raiders CLV. How's that going for you? Cashing in at the store and a free t shirt? That's all that went home with that. Oh my goodness, Chrissy, your your day, I would imagine, was made by that Raider's cardinals game. I was huge, huge. We had a couple of daymakers. That was probably the biggest daymaker. who were the other ones? Oh Man, I gotta get my sheet out here. Um, the Ravens, the Browns, the two losers. Those actually the dolphins and the jets, I would say. Um, those were two big ones. Um, those were the only good ones. In the morning we didn't have a great morning. It wasn't bad, but it just wasn't great. But then in the afternoon we actually needed the forty niners. Needed the cowboys to win outright. Would Have Been Nice, and of course we got that. Sorry, yeah, Bronco's winning and not covering was actually very good for cowboys. Winning outright did help you. Yeah, which I'm sorry that I say that. That's okay, okay, alright, so it did work out for you. I know. I'm still in my first cup of coffee last all right, well, let's get into the gates, because there's so much to get into with three just insane comebacks. Oh yeah, I forgot about this. It's your Ritro yes sing lines with Christie Andrews. Oh yeah, your old neighborhood theater. Fought there, Kelly. What we have? First Thursday night? First Thursday night football, steelers at the browns. Now here's the deal again. For those who are new to this show, this is a tribute to the old start us show of the same ilk back in the day with Roxy Roxborow again, the processes. I don't know the spreads. I've been in a cocoon, I guess what they are. Sometimes I will be close, sometimes I will be wildly wrong, but within this process we hope that there's something to learn and so far weeks one and two, Oh boy, have the instincts been spot on. Who was the game? What's the game? Thursday, steelers at the browns. Oh God, what am I gonna make that number? steelers lose to the Patriots yesterday. Mitch R Biskuey one thirty three and defeat one. UH, in terms of his passing yards, one touchdown, one pick, sack three times. The steelers only had two hundred and forty three total yards of offense. Miles Jack did have thirteen tackles on defense. That's nice. But the key sequence in this game, if I may, uh. The Patriots were up ten to six and Mac Jones throws what looks like a sure fire interception dropped by Cameron Sutton, and then the ensuing punt, because that was the third down, gunneral Olshefski muffs it and it leads to a goal to go situation for New England three plays later, at seventeen to six, by the way, that sequence and then the last touchdown of the first half where Nelson Aghaloor just out fought the coverage for the catch. The steelers could have had this, but those, the big moments, just went against him. So tip of the CAP to the Patriots. And then there's the browns. Oh then there's the browns. Jacoby Brisset, two of twenty seven for two twenty nine in defeat, one touchdown, one pick sack, Woods Nick Chubb, sevent for eighty seven and three touchdowns. The browns had a hundred and eighty four rushing yards against the jets. Oh my goodness, Um Amari cooper, nine catches for one. I wanted a touchdown, but, as you know, this was historical. With two Oh nine left in the game, the browns are up twenty four to seventeen. It's also historic, an edition of being historical. Up to seventeen and Barton me. With two oh nine left, the jets have one time out left. Kareem hunt runs out of bounds stops the clock with two O two. Then, with two O two left, Chubb takes it to the House. Thirty to seventeen and York misses the p a t all either player had to do was stay in bounds. Didn't happen. Hunt goes out abounds, tried to stay in bounds. Chubb took it to the House. Didn't have to. Kevin Stevanskin the coaching US staff did not sort of prep the team for that. Kate York misses the P A t. What could possibly go wrong with them? Up Thirteen with one fifty five left. I'll tell you what could go wrong. FLACCO to Conkland for nine and then, with one thirty two left, flacco to a wide open Corey Davis for sixty six and a touchdown. Thirty to twenty four. No defender was in the screen when Corey Davis caught that ball. Still gotta recovering on side kick. On side kicks only work of the time, roughly last year, of course. The jets Justin Hardy recovers. One twenty left, no time outs. Down six. Nine plays, fifty three yards, four first downs, cap by a flacco to Garrett Wilson, fifteen yard touchdown, after which flacco showed more emotion, more emotion than I've ever seen him from his entire career to date, including a super bowl title with Baltimore. Jets lead after the extra boy. Thirty one to twenty two seconds left for the browns after the jets don't mortar kick second play from scrimmage per set picked by Ashton Davis Ball game in one of the more unbelievable finishes in the history of the National Football League. In fact, teams that have been down thirteen plus in the final two minutes two thousand two hundred twenty nine straight losses. You may recall the two thousand one game between the bears of the browns. Is the last one? Or maybe not? Um, I don't know what to make this game. PIT AT CLEVELAND. I split I. I don't think you could make it Cleveland three, I think, and it's not a pick. I split it. I say Cleveland minus one and a half. Oh my gosh, already we're in. We're in guessing lines. Bingo, I like your number better. It's three and a half. WHOA, my power rating has come to two and a half. I know Pittsburgh lost. They offensively certainly looked horrible. Defense still played great. The one catch, what was at the end of the first half? That was an unbelievable catch for the touchdown, you know, for for New England. Yes, if you remember that, then they had the short field. O'shansky, a pro bowl return or fumbles the punt Um. Anyway. I I've thought two and a half. I thought was, you know, I think, a good number, but it's three and a half everywhere. You know, I guess I'm gonna open three and a half just because we do that little dance with the three that can get us into a lot of trouble. But if I see this trending lower in any way, shape or form, I'm gonna go lower with it. And let's say, CLEVELAND, I still have a way to blowing games. And, by the way, Jacobe Brissette, I played very well. He really did not his fault at all. Getting three and a half man, I'll take that. Pittsburgh, by the way, how do you like our new graphics? You like your your face right there, Christie, you look like your bond villain with the line right here. Oh, we'll throw it up there, right there. All right, there's the guests. You're putting it up a three and a half, though I'M gonna put up three and a half for now if I see a trending lower. Like I said, everybody likes to play that three three and a half game with us because we do everything at eleven and ten. If I see this trending lower in any way, shape or form. On one of three. Once again, Adam turned off with it with a tweet about that. Again. All all hunt had to do was go out of bounds. All Chubb had to do was go out of bounds, and you say to yourself, well, yeah, but do you really? Do you really coach that in those situations? You have to. You have to just be aware of every possibility. churt off saying hunt goes down to either of his runs. I would certainly say the second. New England staying in bounds. They're supposed to. We've seen him many, many times before. Bryant Westbrook famously right. If Hunt goes down or Chubb Slides, the Browns that kneel out the game and win by well, they've win by seven actually. Instead, they score and now headed a one and one on the season because of it. LOSSES ENTIRELY ON CLEVELAND AND THEIR COACHING staff. What's first on Sunday morning, Kelly? What do we got? Already a discrepancy on the Thursday night. Came first up Sunday, one P M eastern time. Texans at the bears. Texans had a whole difference. Alright, we'll go by your rotation, we'll go by we'll go by this rotation. UH, Texans Fall to oh one and one. They lose the Broncos, Lord knows the Broncos game, every chance to win. In Chicago Falls to Oh and two. Last night, case you missed it, Houston in their in their loss to the broncos in a stinker of a game. Davis Mills Nineteen of thirty eight for one seventy seven. No touchdowns, no picks, act three times. The Texans only managed fifteen first downs and two four total yards. They were two of thirteen on third downs one of the three on fourth. They had eight penalties for ninety four yards. UH, the real they had a fourth and inches at one point of the Denver Fourteen. It was a six, six game. Ten twenty seven left in the third quarter. They went forward and converted. Ended up settling for a field goal anyway, but it wasn't like Houston wasn't trying. They were taking their chances. Still couldn't get it done. They lose sixteen to nine. Then Chicago last night, Justin Fields. After completing eight forward passes in week one, he complete seven last night, seven of eleven for seventy yards, no touchdowns, one pick, sack three times, eight for twenty on the ground for a touchdown. David Montgomery was a beast out of the Backfield, though. Fifteen for one two. The bears only had eleven first downs in their defeat against the packers last night. They were one of seven on third down. They were Oh for one on fourth. They only had two hundred twenty eight total yards, only forty eight passing. When you put it all in the wash, they were out time of possession, if you will, thirty seven, fifteen five. But they can be summed up by this. They trailed twenty four to seven at a half. Their first drive of the game in the first half they had seven place, seventy one yards and seven points. The last ten plays of the first half they only had thirteen total yards and zero points. But Down Twenty four to ten. After a tremendous drive where the bears were gashing the pack, the Pack d fourth and goal of the doorstep. Eight thirteen left chance to get back in the game, to cut it to one score. They go in a shotgun and fields get stopped short. We're still doing that. Just sneak the ball, just snake it. He might have scored, by the way, but it didn't hold up on replay. Uh this, I made it a pick him. I don't know what to make this game. Houston had the bears. Is that lazy? Pick them? You know I made it one. Boy Two already. I like your number better than what I made it one. I made the bears one. It's two and a half and I even see like a three, even money, and most of the two and a half's have juice on the favorite. I made it one. You mentioned field stats. I mean they're they're horrible, they're atrocious and okay, we can make a little excuse week one because of the weather. No excuses yesterday. This is not a very good team. Houston plays hard for Lovie Smith. They're not that good, but they play hard. I think I like I do like your number better. I made it one. You made it pick. I'M gonna open two and a half just because I see it going higher. Justin fields. Has Completed Fifteen passes in two weeks. We'll come back. It's guessing lines on the numbers game at Feasta these what's betting that? This episode is brought to you by yes on prop twenty seven and draftkings. Half the country already allows online sports betting for adults twenty one and older. It's time to let California fans in on the action. There's no good reason your friends in New York, Chicago, Phoenix, Portland and Boston can bet online while Californians are still forced to deal with shady bookies. propy insures California finally catches up. So vote yes on prop skill Alexander Christie, Andrews Kelly. Bilin is guessing lines four week number three in the national football league and just just unbelievable. The NFL is the best anti drug campaign ever could be like. Why do you don't ever? Why? What's the point of taking drugs? Just bet on the NFL. You just need one snore to Jamis Winston for a couple of hours before that. Um, it's just unbelievable. Between, and we'll get to them all, but between the BROWNS, jets, the dolphins, Ravens and, of course, the raiders cardinals on a day in the national football league. And Boy Oh boy, are we happy that Dr Bob ended up talking us off the jets and the browns game. Just not that the browns shouldn't have won it, but and and covered in the process. But, good Lord, point I forgot. Both of you and I were kind of really considered fortuitous, bounced, as Daddard or if used to call it. All right, what's next? One o'clock eastern time on Sunday. Raiders at the Titans. All right, well, let's just get into it with the raiders. The raiders somehow lose to the cardinals. Derek carring defeat. Thirty nine for two, fifty two, two touchdowns, no picks, sacked once. Speaking about you know how Justin fields only completed seven passes in the bears game. He only threw eleven forward passes. Well, Davontae Adams only had seven targets and only caught two balls. For the raiders, two for twelve. That can't be raiders, of course, as is their history. Ten penalties for sixty eight yards. The raiders let led twenty to nothing at the half. Famously, twenty to nothing at the half. The cardinals could do nothing and then up twenty to seven late third quarter, the raiders end up going up twenty three to seven, because then there's a p I on a deep ball by Carter Mac Collins. Apparently we don't call uncatchable anymore balls. No human being could have, could have come close to catching that ball. Still A P I twenty three to seven and you're like, okay, it's the fourth quarter, it's twenty three to seven, it's this one's over. Raiders gonna win this? Oh sure they are. So up twenty three to seven, the raiders stopped Arizona on a fourth and one at the raiders eleven with twelve, thirty one left. Again you're like, AH, the raiders got this. But then the three and out for the raiders. Arizona matriculates the ball down the field. They convert a fourth and fourth the raiders. Forty one left on an unbelievable catch at the doorstep by Marque's Hollywood Brown. was incredible, incredible. Then, after a one yard touchdown run by Darryll Williams, Kyler Murray with a nearly twenty one second two point conversion in which he ran the ball and estimated eighty four point eight yards. That sounds like more than an estimate. Sounds pretty exact. Twenty three to fifteen. Then after a raider's punt, all of a sudden the raiders offense couldn't do anything. Arizona starts down eight, down eight points, first and tent at their own twenty seven, with four forty three left. Arizona then goes on a seventeen play game time drive that features a fourth and one conversion on a short Murray scamper to the right at the raiders forty three, twenty eight left, and then a fourth and fourth the six with twenty seconds left on a defensive holding call. Who Do you think? That was? A defensive old and then, ultimately, a first and goal of the three that the cardinals got after three incomplete passes. And then on fourth and goal, a kyler scramble to the left. Then they take a delay penalt because they still need the two point conversion. They take a delay. Oh my goodness, it's unforgivable. And they still get it on a Murray to a j green pass and catch pinpoint pass up the middle for Murray and a j green finally hangs onto one. We go to ot and probably cards get the ball. They can. They failed to convert a fourth and one at the raiders. Thirty seven, with five thirty left. Raiders take over forty minutes of real time at this point had gone by since the raiders offense had been on the field. And on the raiders third play, Renfro tackled by Jalen Thompson. Fumble. Foster Moreau recovers, though. What a play by Moreau, but the raiders relief was short lived. Two plays later, Renfro again, tackled by Isaiah Simmons. Fumble, this time Byron Murphy Junior to the House. Fifty nine yards. Touchdown, ball game, even though Murphy insists on flicking the ball up in the air hair after he crossed the coal linee Arizona. Unbelievable. And all of those raiders betters in disappair when it was somebody final in my office is you know, this game could get close and I had like written it off. I, you know, had other games I was watching. I was watching the Denver game, I was watching the ram game, was watching the cowboy game. Raiders wasn't even paying attention. All of a sudden it's by eight. We have a prayer here, you know, and the prayers were answered. And by the way, that that the lay a game penalty. I talked to one Raider Fan who thought that that helped the the cardinals. The lay a game penalty on the two point conversion because it forced them to pass. Yeah, it forced them to pass. Thought that that was that was better. You know, I'm not sure about that, but that's what they thought. Tennessee, of course, has not played. Tennessee part of the double header tonight. Tennessee's at buffalo and then right around halftime, people should know that about the double header tonight. These aren't these Games aren't stacked on top. there. There's they overlap. So then it's so it's bills titans, followed by the Vikings and the eagles about an hour and a half later tonight. Um, so we haven't seen the titans play their second game there, obviously, Oh and one after losing to the giants last week. I don't know what to make this line of Hypothetical Raiders Titans Lines, sight unseen. It's close to a pick them for me, though, I said pick them. Yeah, you know my my power rains come to the raiders too. Uh. One is what I see right now. Raiders. One. Okay, I'll open it. One. I don't know what we're gonna see tonight out of the titans, I think, kind of like buffalo a little bit. I think buffalo might wax them pretty, pretty good. Kelly, you have a play on either game tonight? Yes, I'm Minnesota for the contest. For me, I'm gonna open one just sight unseen. I don't want to mess with this one. In favor of the Raider of the raiders. Those are three dicey lines to start the start the show here. What's next, Gilly? One o'clock eastern time. Chiefs at the colts. All right, chiefs on extra rest here. They played the Thursday night game against the charges. You may remember Mahmes. Twenty four or thirty five or two thirty five, two touchdowns, doe Pixie was stacked once. And then there's Indianapolis. Is there a team I had pegged more wrong this offseason? You and everybody else. I got flooded on them to win the division. I have a lot of super bowl money on the colts, etcetera, etcetera. In an off season we're so far through two weeks, I have pegged most correctly. That is clearly the one I have the worst on. You know, I remember taking those division bets and think we're given away money on this. Well, they're oh one and one now, both division games too, by the way, both division games. Yeah, they tie with the Texans last week, by the way, the dregs supposedly of that division. Right. They tie with the Texans last week when Lovey Smith played the tie, and yesterday they get beat by the Jaguars. Now, now, maybe you thought indie Indianapolis wouldn't cover, maybe you thought Indianapolis wouldn't win, but did you think they were gonna get beat twenty four to nothing? Matt Ryan Sixteen of Thirty for one. No touchdowns, three picks, three, five sacks. And we talked about how Davante Adams only got seven targets, two catches for twelve yards. For the raiders, Jonathan Taylor had nine carries for fifty four yards. What are we doing? Jonathan Taylor, nine carries for fifty four yards. The colts could only muster nine first downs in this game. They were two of ten on third down, they were Oh for two on fourth and they only got two. Eighteen total yards, only fifty four of which were on the ground. Of course, the main statistic minus three in turnovers. It's all you really need to know. Colts had three, Jacksonville had nothing, and they were out time of possession, if you will, by Jacksonville, thirty eight, fift Kansas City at Indianapolis. Two weeks into the season. Kansas City has got to be a huge I said Kansas City minus six. Well, I like my number better. It's seven. I make it seven. My power ratings come to seven. It's six and a half. So it's right in between the two of us. But I'M gonna open seven here. If you want to come in and take it, there's the counter right over there. Take it. I'M gonna open the game seven. You mentioned a couple of things. Well, first of all, Matt Ryan had the worst Qbr of the day, six point three, which is abysmally bad and I expected him to be much, much better. Um, Trevor Lawrence will not get into this a little later. With the Jacksonville he was pressured on ten percent of his throws. You know how that of his shows was pressured. Colts did have key injuries, even though, yeah, I mean that's still a horrible, horrible performance. I follow a couple of writers out of Indianapolis and they said, you know, if y came in and fired everybody today, they could completely understand it. Um, they look terrible, but I'm gonna open seven at six and a half as the predominant number. Six half is the only number, but I'm gonna open seven. If you want to come in and take it, it will be on my boarder. I should say one other thing. I got the cults wrong. So far through two weeks. It's only two weeks, but got that wrong. And you know what else? This this supposed gauntlet that the chiefs are supposed to go through the first seven weeks of the season. So far, easy peasy. Yeah, so far now. They had a tough game Thursday night. They did. But there's six. I mean you just go seven. I had them six. You said you put them up. I'm pointing up seven. Seven point road favorites at Indie. Like, how far have we come in two weeks? That's the odds on favorite to win the division and, like I said, big money on them to win the Super Bowl. In the preseason. Indianapolis, Jacksonville, Houston and UH and Tennessee what record wins the A F C south. You know, I'm thinking nine and eight. I mean I'd sign up for nine and eight right now, is if I was any one of those teams. You're in the playoffs? Oh for sure. I don't know if we get there now. I don't know either. All right, interesting numbers. Thus, far many more to come. Guessing lines on a numbers game at Vista. Week three, the sports betting network numbers game. Sports betting network starts football season on the right foot. By subscribing to Vista in pro, get full access to everything we do, including our daily picks at a glance, recap of the top lads made by best and show hosted guests. Seven video season prep that includes our weekly college and pro football matchup guides covering every game all season long. Pro Tools like our exclusive betting splits and pro tips, updated every hour with actual insight, stop your betting games. Sign up for our discounted football special and get visa pro access to everything we do from now through the Super Bowl for only a hundred and seventy five dollars, or say off the monthly price, with an annual subscription and bets Martin all year long. GO TO VISTA DOT COM slast subscribe for all your options and become vart of the sports betting that work. Gil Alexander, Christie Andrews guessing lines with Kelly Bilin in the House here on a Monday morning for week number three. We get tweets at beating the book. Always appreciate the feedback, and people were guessing about your shirt, Chrissie. Hump Day hockey. Is that the rock he's rapping? And he's not talking about dwyne Johnson either. That is that is the rock you're ribbon. tweeted me too. Slippery Rock. Yes, Scott Clary, slippery rock. University and capitals. Uh, let's see, this is also yeah, Bill Hooker, slippery rock. Everybody got it. Three for three. Uh. Listens from Oh good, got it wrong, got sorry, bear. Yeah, you guys say swarth words. That what he said. Yeah, Um, Oh, yeah, this is Nash said. A little hard to see the logo, but is that Stetson? No, okay, this is from e I, says e I. Seventy Seven. Yeah, I'M B seven. Who was the guest you had that moved the Wyoming Line three points then winning out right at seventeen point dogs was easily the highlight of my betting week. When can he come back on to do the exercise again? Michael Craig from Right Angle sports anytime he wants, anytime that line moved back to I don't know if you and Alf us. We had a lot of money on the favorite outright. Patrick at rather be in Vegas the guessing lines. Graphic funt is an homage to the old stardust funt. No, yes, that's exactly what it was. You put it in there. Yes, there is. There is thought behind it. Jack Hannon, you didn't tell us who the favorite is in the bear game. Bears to and a half, bears to an a a half. Okay, yeah, I think you did. Elvis Toast Patterson and he was toast. You could take the steelers in three and a half points with the defense, but that offense won't do you any favorites. Well, he's right about that. Tommy Row Gil, I'm loving that. Jaguars win total over five and a half now I don't think any team in the AFC south will be able to beat him. That's six wins there. Well, that's that is aggressive, but I hear what you're saying. All right, Kelly, what's next? They looked like world beaters. Right now I'm with them. One o'clock eastern time, bills at the dolphins. Jaguars should be two and should have been Washington Buffalo Place Tonight again, ten point favorites against Tennessee, the first of the double header tonight. Uh, that one is at. What time is that game at Kelly? Four thirty Pacific, seven thirty eastern for fifteen. Let's Snay have four fifteen Pacific, seven fifteen eastern for the titans at the bills tonight. And then there's Miami, the two and Oh dolphins, who trailed twenty to seven and then thirty five to fourteen and the fourth quarter to Baltimore, thirty five to fourteen. No team had come from a point deficit in the fourth quarter to win since. In fact, teams had lost seven hundred and fifty five straight in that situation. It's not quite the seven hundred and fifty five straight. How many years does that go? Yeah, the seven fifty five situations of teams being down. By the way, we said earlier, remember with the team's down thirteen plus in the final two minutes, talking about the jets. Two Thousand Two hundred twenty nine straight losses in that situation. I mean, what happened yesterday unbelievable. It's just off the charts. What's happening, and I'll tell you this. I still get back to my point about preseason. The fact that it went from four games to three games is having more of a wacky of effect on all of this than anything, because it's already hard to handicap the NFL and to beat it a t s pre flop. But now, when you when you don't know which teams like even some teams didn't even play guys, of course you're going to have these random outcomes, I mean when you look at it way. So anyway, Miami scores from thirty fourteen. They scored to make it thirty five twenty one with twelve eighteen left. Okay, no big deal. He's still down fourteen. On the ensuing drive, Baltimore fails to convert a fourth and one at the Miami forty. With nine sixteen left, Lamar Jackson runs right into the line. Five plays later, third and ten two at a tyreek for forty eight yards. It looked like Marcus Peters just stopped trying to meet. Did you catch that? Marcus Peters was like, I guess you're gonna catch it. Three and out for Baltimore. Of course it is. Right after that third play of the ensuing Miami drive. Five, twenty seven left, two at a tyreek for sixty thirty five. Thirty five to the Ravens. HAVE ANY SAFETIES? Like what's happening? Six play. Ravens drive to twenty three left, Justin Tucker from fifty one. Good, because of course it is. It's Justin Tucker. Thirty Eight, Thirty Five Baltimore. And then the next dolphins drive, the ensuing dolphins drive that starts at their own thirty two, with to twelve left to drive. That features two more tyreek catches. Nineteen seconds left, second and gold the Baltimore. Eleven two at a waddle touchdown for thirty eight. Dolphins win it. Dolphins seven of eleven on third downs, two of two on fourth. Five hundred forty seven total yards. By the way, the Ravens had four hundred seventy three. Two hundred thirty three total yards. For the dolphins of the fourth quarter alone to thirty three. They outscored the Ravens Twenty eight to three in the fourth quarter and they were minus two in turnovers for the game. Where the dolphins to thirty six of fifty for four sixty nine six touchdowns. Count them six two picks, one sacked. Tyreek eleven for one, two touchdowns, waddle eleven for one, seventy one and two touchdowns, a Cheetah and a penguin. Mike mcdaniel first Miami head coach to go to and Oh sis Jimmy Johnson. Bills site unseen tonight, but bill still have to be favorites. I'LL SAY BILL'S MINUS FOUR AT MIAMI. My Pot rags from the four and a half. I see it four and a half and five, but mostly four and half out there. So I think four and a half is a good number. That's what I'm gonna Open. Let's tell you something. Miami team, I think, is pretty legit and I look back now and I thought Miami made a huge mistake when they fired David Flores. Still made me think they did. But I think flora is like, for whatever reason, did not like to a Brian. Brian Flores, Brian. He did not like to a remember we were tanking for Ta, the whole thing. You know, and I mean I listen, having tyreek Hill. It doesn't hurt it. Ryan Fitzpatrick, I don't know if you caught this, said, said I thought it was the best sort of description of two last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick was like, here's the thing. He he doesn't have a particularly strong arm, he's not particularly fast, he doesn't have particularly good scramble ability to get out of trouble. So I thought that bag, it's not that big. So a guy with all of those, you know, sort of demerits, if you will, he's got to be elite when it comes to accuracy and he said Toua is actually very, very, very used. Three varies very good with accuracy. I would even argue at because if you look at the advanced stats, his receivers up to this year have had the smallest separation from defenders of any receivers. So like that's his strength. Now it does leave a very small margin of error, right, because if you're not that, then what are you? But you got to give him that much and I think they made a lot of good roster moves, uh in the off season. I think this Miami team's legit. Of course you're playing the best team in football, so I think four and a half is a good number. But but you know, look out from Miami. I've moved them way up in my powers. You know, before the season I would have buffalo seven probably in this game. What's your number now? Four and a half. Four, and that's when my power rains come to and that's what I see pretty much everywhere. Can we start that show, that tweet, now that we've gotten through all the three big comebacks? I mean, we'll talk more about it, but this is. This is this sort of puts it all in context. This is from stats by stats today in the NFL. Talking about yesterday. Dolphins trailed by twenty one and the fourth rally to win. The jets trailed by thirteen and the fourth, in the last two minutes, I should say, rally to win. Cardinals trailed by sixteen and the fourth rally to win. It's only the second time ever that three NFL teams overcame a thirteen plus point fourth quarter deficit to win on the same day. You may recall the Great Day of October four n two is the other. I thought we were going back to like big daddy lipscomb days or something like that. Big What's next, Kelly? One o'clock eastern on Sunday? Lions at the Vikings. All right, Vikings play tonight. They are short dogs against the Eagles in the second of the double header tonight. The lions get to one and one, they beat the commanders golf twenty of thirty four to fifty six. Four touchdowns, no picks back three times. A Mons St Brown getting it done. Star of hard knocks. Nine catches for one sixteen, two touchdowns. Also carried two times for sixty eight yards. A Mon St Brown eight straight games with eight plus catches. The only other two receivers in NFL history to do that Antonio Brown and Michael Thomas. By the way, St Brown's doing it at the age of twenty two. Those guys were twenty six years old when they did it. Deandre swift, five for fifty six. Two catches for thirty one in a touchdown. The lions had a hundred ninety one rushing yards. By the way. They were up three to nothing. That a fourth and goal at the Washington three with four oh seven left in the first quarter. They went forward and failed, but a strip sack safety got it to five to nothing, and then a great return on a free kick. Next thing you knew it was twelve to nothing and they were on their way. Aidan Hutchinson three sacks in the first half. With five fifty five left in the second quarter, the Lions led twenty two to nothing and had at that point out first down. Washington eleven and nothing, and it out gained them to forty four to thirty. One. Just absolutely dominated them. And, by the way, when I was a kid, Washington had the biggest ownage of the lions. From nineteen sixty eight to nine seven. Washington beat the Lions eighteen straight times. In fact, there was a game in nineteen ninety where Washington ran a hundred and ten plays in a game against the Lions, which is the NFL record of all time. They just destroyed this franchise. Not yesterday a little payback. We had this one. I had this one on guessing lines last week. I couldn't believe that line, that it was below three. I'll say Minnesota by six or You're light, I'm heavy. UH, my power ratings come to nine. I still gonna see Minnesota tonight. I think Minnesota is very good, although I mean all the wise guys why didn't do so great last sweep, by the way, but all the Wise Guy Money is definitely on philly tonight over over Minnesota. Um, my numbers come to nine. It's pretty much it's seven painted on everywhere. So I'm gonna open seven, like I said, with us doing everything at eleven and ten, I don't want to mess with a seven and a half right now. I'M gonna look for that trending higher, but it it does go higher. High, I am gonna go higher, but yeah, we've got to see how I'm Minnesota place tonight coming back on a numbers game with visa, the sports betting networks, Gill, Alexander, Christie, Andrews Kelly, Bidlin. We have screens on here. Obviously multiple televisions on here in the studio here the South Point and uh, you know, they're on the the the national networks, and of course they're showing the showing the biggest story that's been in the world here for the last ten days. Would you like to share with everybody what you said off air about this? Something happened to the Queen? I hadn't heard. I'm sorry, we were we set our gondolas is, of course, to the people who great, it's something happening. Well, I mean it's been a while, hasn't it? It's really Kelly, Kelly and I have a packed. Kelly said that when he passes away I can wheel him around for ten days and he's okay with it. We get at Bernie's style and Gills gonna take me in the fanciest places in Las Vegas. Get him the Burstudo and the MELANS, whatever, all the jokes you want. Oh Man, seventy years as Queen, a good run, as we like to call I would say she's had a pretty good run. All right, Kelly. What's next? One o'clock eastern time on Sunday. The Ravens at the Patriots. The Ravens at the Patriots, to one and one teams. Now the Ravens, as we talked about, somehow squander or twenty one lead to the dolphins in the fourth quarter, where it appeared like they had no safety's plan. And I know they were banged up, but good Lord, Lamar nine yesterday and defeat for three eighteen, three touchdowns, no picks, he was not sacked. Nine carries for one hundred nineteen yards and a touchdown. Did he end up as the NFL's leading rusher yesterday or no? Maybe Montgomery had to have to check. That was the longest play from screws uh touchdown from scrimmage, though. I know I saw earlier in the day when he had that seventy five yard touchdown. Montgomery had a hundred twenty two, so I think he just Lamar almost was but that David Montgomery did his thing. Um Rashod Bateman, four catches for one, way in a touchdown. Man, was he showing his speed? Andrews? Of course, the tight end. Nine catches for one, oh four and a touchdown. As we mentioned, Baltimore was plus two in turnovers and they only had one penalty against the dolphins for a grand total of five yards. Still couldn't win. And don't forget they started the game with a Devin duvern a one hundred three yard kickoff return. Four, a touchdown, seven and nothing before you could blink. And I thought to myself, by the way, at that point, because I had in Miami, I thought to myself, I'm like, it's gonna be one of these days. By the way, after the opening kickoff, subsequent ravens drive, they're up seven and nothing. Fourth and one at the Miami thirty seven, five twelve left. They went forward and converted. That led to a Miami goal line stand. If you recall, after a third down review, overturned to Lamar. Lamar would be touchdown as part of a nearly eleven minute drive. So Miami did keep it to seven nothing at that point in the game. So you thought, Oh, maybe this will be close. It wasn't. Baltimore still went up twenty one again twice. And then New England. We talked about beating Pittsburgh. Mac Jones one thirty five for two, fifty two, one touchdown, one pick. He was not sacked. Harris, fift seventy one and a touchdown on the ground, a Galore, six for one, ten and that amazing touchdown towards the end of the first half. And the law firm of Jacoby Myers. Nine catches for ninety five yards. Baltimore at New England. I said Baltimore minus three. Well, you're right on it is three. Excuse me, Ray, come to two and a half. I'm gonna open three just because, you know, again they played that little game with us, but if I see this trending lower, I'm going lower. Interesting Stat on the Ravens. They have given up more fourth quarter passing yards since the beginning of last season than any team in the NFL and they got a new defensive coordinator this year, Mike McDonald, who was their linebacker coach for a long time. Last year he did spend it was defensive coordinator in Michigan. They brought him back. It was like wink Martindale was their defensive coordinator. No longer there. I went to the giants, but they that's that's a troubling stat I mean you talked about that. They have safeties even playing in this game. So that's not an aberration. Since the beginning of one they've given up more fourth quarter passing yards than anyone in the NFL. There's three, a little too high. I really do just a shade. Like I said, my part rains come to two and a half. Kind of kintting pretty close there. There's I mean, both of these teams right like so Baltimore, as we said, not only did it look like they didn't have safety, it looked like Marcus Peters just stopped playing on the on the second to last tyreek touchdown. But Baltimore, like you know, I had Miami. So when they were down twenty one, what I was saying in my head was, oh, I can't wait to stay on guessing lines tomorrow. How I'm done under I'm done underestimating Baltimore, because somehow they still managed to get it done. Like they should have lost that game yesterday, right, but they made it. And then there's New England, which we talked about earlier. I had Pittsburgh in that game. I felt like Pittsburgh had every opportunity to win it. We talked about the UH Weschewsky Muff, the fact that they should have had a pick right before that, the unbelievable catch for a touchdown, yes, all of that stuff. So yeah, I think you could say it. But in Baltimore, I've been saying this in the obviously, and there was seven and over the eight and nine. I think last year they were eating three at one point. Yeah, but I mean and they fell apart, you know. And Uh, you know, Jackson was missed I think four games last year. His ratio was not very good. You know, his cube is, I think it was fifteen and like thirteen or something like that. You know, touchdowns, interceptions, there's a lot of flaws on this team and we just automatically have them penciled in as a serious contender. I'm not sure they are. How many teams do you feel like you really have your arms wrapped around after two weeks? You know, maybe two the chiefs in the bills right now. I mean I'm looking at my power writings there there are a couple of points away from everybody else in this league. I mean we think about it like if I had told you two weeks ago Cincinnati, the raiders and the colts wouldn't have a single win, you've been like, come on, and the rams look terrible, chargers look good, but now we have to worry about Herbert. We have to worry about Herbert. You know Um, you know the bucks. Yeah, I'm sorry. Going into the fourth quarter last they had one touchdown. Offensively, going into the fourth quarter last night. Next Kelly, next up, bengals at the jets, one o'clock eastern. Speaking of the Bengals, bengals O and two at the jet. So we already talked about but bengals in defeat against the cowboys yesterday. Joe Burrow Twenty four of thirty six one, one touchdown, no picks. And once again, Ladies and gentlemen, for the you know, Fiftie or however many weeks he's played in football, consecutive week, six sacks. Six was seven. Last week it was nine. In the playoffs against the titans. You remember seven against the rams. Was it seven last week? I can't remember. It's so many sacks. Bengals only mustard two fifty four total yards against Dallas yesterday. Well, they put together an eight minute, fifty four second drive, plus a two point conversion to tie it up. Nonetheless, it's seventeen to seventeen and you thought, okay, Bengals have finally got their act together. And then Dallas had a four and out towards the end of the ball game. So Cincinnati had the ball with the chance to win in regulation. They go three and out and then Dallas takes over. With fifty seven seconds left. First and ten at their own thirty five, seventeen, seventeen, Cooper rush completes three passes for thirty yards. Three yards later it's Breton Maher to win it as the clock goes to zero. Zero from fifty on a field goal. By the way. That did not look good live. It did not. I was like, well, that's clearly a miss. Oh wait, they won. It actually did go in, but I had to take the replay of it three times to make sure. The jets, as we mentioned, that unbelievable, improbable comeback win against the browns in the final two minutes. Joe FLACCO was twenty six and forty four yesterday for three Oh seven, four touchdown passes, no pick sack twice. Flacco a hundred and twenty six passing yards and two touchdowns in the final one. Five of the Games in incredible. Garrett Wilson Eight, the rookie, eight catches for one oh two and two touchdowns. The jets score two touchdowns inside the two minute warning to win it. To win it, by the way, the fourth and two at the jets forty six when they were down seven and nothing early in the game. One thirty nine left in the first quarter. They faked a bunt, they converted, they led. That led to the jets first touchdown to tie it up. Sauce Gardner got hurt. He left the gate with an injury, but again they outscored the browns fourteen to nothing in the final one twenty two and that's all she wrote. The O and two bengals will still be the favorite, I'll say, by four and a half. That's my number. You're dead on my probably my power rating has come a little higher, but I think I'm gonna make an adjustment because, remember, I said on this show last week you gotta Bet against the Super Bowl loser, and every year we say the same thing. Okay, this year I think it's gonna be different. You know, we said that about the bengals. Are An up and coming team. They address their offensive line problems, but I don't think they solve their offensive line problems. And we'll get to Dallas a little bit later. I think Michael Parsons turned around that game, myself for he was unbelievable. But Anyway, I'm my pore ratings something the five and a half. I actually I'd like four and a half better. Uh so I'm gonna probably make an adjustment to my power ratings, but that's what I'm gonna Open. Four and F I see one five out there, but I think four and has plenty. So so far. My my worst line, YEST IS PITTSBURGH CLEVELAND. I had Cleveland way lower than the actual number. Had One and a half. It was three and a half. Don't be surprised to see these wacky early weeks in the NFL continuing future weeks and UH, in future weeks, and I should say a future years, early in the season, in future years earlier this season. Be careful with your betting. The switch to three preseason games clearly seems to be affecting teams in a league that's already tough to handicap. Besides the wackiness of changing it from four to three in the preseason. That's your pro tip for the hour. We do want every hour on visa across every show, so that means at least twenty every day. They're all available for visa pro subscribers only at visa dot com, where you can sort them by sport, end by show. Full hour still to come. Guessing lines. Week three, national football league. The numbers told. The story is idiots believe in analytics. This is a numbers game. With Gill I likesand visa in our number two of the numbers game at visa, the sports betting network, Visa Dot Com, the visa APP, Foobo Game Plus, I heart radio, Youtube, TV, Baton Rouge salt, brought you by Ben Mgm Nevada Gil, Alexander Christie Andrews, the Star of guesting lines, and Kelly Bilin. Can we run that intro music again? And it goes a little something like this, Oh Betty, dramatic can you hear? You're here a little man. We give credit to or that intro? Uh Oh man. A lot of people involved, Rob Moreno, myself. I don't even know who designed the original graphic. He's like a lot of people kill a lot of people. I chose the music last week. Or there you go. I like that rob edits it all together. He does all the fancy animations. I don't even know who's responsible for the original graphic. That's what I feel like. We deserves the most credit. That goes back years. At this point. We get tweets and we get texts from the Christopher Felika. How are you familiar with this guy? Chris? Chris Felika, who is the bear at ESPN's College Game Day? UH, stay receiving the bear podcast in daily wager. He Texas both uh, with with a little attitude, I may say. He said if you had under ten forty five stern in the quote time, Gil will talk about the ninety one redskins pool. Cash your tickets, by the way. By the way, incorrect. It was the nine skins. I should just have you know. So you're wrong. There are shows side bets always allowed to just text me anybody's allowed text, text, tweeting. Say Yeah, yeah, whatever it is, that's right. He guess, he guess. skidboard said it was. Actually you said smart. Two of those, I can't believe. I just want to say this again. It's all plank, oh, like the the NFL, a T S, pre flop, like the I was talking to Kelly before the show about this and I said it on air again, which is it feels like for me in two weeks, every every possible break has gone my way. And I don't say that to say hey, look at me, I say that to say when, all those years, when they were going against me, I wasn't dumb, and now I'm not particularly smart. It's the NFL, and so I have unbelievable respect for anybody who beats the NFL on a consistent basis, year to year, the last Vegas Christ is of the world. Uh, there's a few of our guy on twitter, cleave T A, who does such a great job of doing very well. Give him a shout. Um, so good at beating this on a year to Bais your uncle Jack. It's incredible. I don't know how you do it. Say. Do you have to learn something from your Uncle Jack. Yeah, I did. I still can't pick NFL games away. Did I just can't. But this, this couldn't have gone better. And if the Vikings can get home, oh my goodness, want to start to millions. That cardinals raiders game is the perfect example. Right, like you and I were heads up ish on that game, and it's like you can't walk away like would neither one of us feeling like, Oh man, I was so wrong, or you're imagine I was like Kelly, you just you have the handicapper on. Buddy, I'm just that much smarter than you are. It's like you can't, you can't anything like that that game. I'm great and you suck. It's all there is to it. So clear I still think Kyler Murray isn't that good. So I was. I was channeling your voice the whole time. I think that, Chris, and then I also think, what, what do we expect to them to do? Every time it's fourth and one, fourth and two, or there's a two point version. It's Kyler went around for for two minutes and then do eight, four point two yards or some exact number. The twenty one second. I'll give you the exact numbers. The best play they have. It's the best play they have. It was a it was a twenty one. I'M gonna get this exactly right on. So nearly twenty one seconds. Just shy of twenty one seconds and he ran around for why kid? I find it now currently the best play call in the in the cardinals playbook and the bears playbook. Eighty four point eight yards. By the way. I tried to. I tried to track it to see it was eighty four point eight yards. That felt high to me, but still you get the point. I thought you were tracking. No like because after I knew the number, I was like, let me see if this is really eighty four point eight yards. I saw that with my eyes. I was gonna say a tracking device, you know. You know skins had to play. I saw that tweet two last night Gil that. I saw the replay again. I'm like, I don't know about this. I don't know about any four point eight. Oh Man. All right, you ready for the next guest? Seven o'clock eastern time. Eagles at the commander's eagles are playing. WHO commanders? I haven't heard of them. Eagles play tonight again, Short favorites against the Vikings, game two of the double header. Let's go vikings, get it done. Washington one and one. They probably shouldn't have beat Jacksonville the first week of the season and they started so slow, as we mentioned against the Lions yesterday. Literally had no first downs before the five minute mark of the just over five minutes left in the second quarter yesterday, that they dug themselves such a big hole they couldn't get out of against Troy. If you remember, on guesting lines. That's the beauty of guessing lines is the first instincts man. When they're good. They're good so far through two weeks. Very good. I was like this should be at least three points and it was won by the end. Was it close to a pick him at the end this game? I know it got down at one, but Carson Wentz again. Good and bad. Right, Carson Wentz thirty forty six for three thirty seven, three touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked five times. He didn't have a lot of time. Curtis Samuel Again, welcome. Seven catches for seventy eight yards and a touchdown. One carry for one. The incomparable Terry mclaurin, four for seventy five and then my dude Kelly, my best offseason ticket right now is looking like Johan Dotson. We got Johan Dotson for rookie of the year at forty one, four catches for fifty nine and another touchdown for the kid from Philadelphia. Is gonna be like a three and a half point favorite. will be more than three. It's four. My power rings come to five, I gotta tell you. You know, if you look at just the stats in the game, Washington's are fairly impressive. It was all garbage time stats. I mean it really was. Just when you thought they were going to get close. You happened a couple of times Detroit. What's yeah, and you know I tweeted out before. I'll say it here in the air. You gotta Follow Jeff Vogel on twitter because if you don't have time to just pour through all these box scores, Jeff will do it in one or two tweets with commentary along with it, and he's very thorough. He's really a smart guy. And he pointed out that when they did score their touchdowns, when they made all that noise, they were down by double digits the whole time that they were doing that and it's easy to do that in the NFL. You see how many games wind up close to that field goal. So my part rains come to five. I am gonna open at four. That is what the number is pretty much everywhere. Uh, you know, just sit on seeing tonight as far as Philadelphia, but I kind of favor the higher number there. I just I think, and by the way, if you have Carson Wentzon fantasy, you're probably doing great. Yeah, but you know, I don't know what that means as far as winning football games. He is so again, like with with so many things in the NFL, is such a conundrent right, because he'll make some throws where you're like wow, Taylor Henick, he couldn't have done that, and then he just his ball protection is so poor you're like, oh no, please, don't hit him. Yeah, I I don't. I'd like the higher number, but I'm gonna open for it. Like I said, we haven't seen philly tonight, so I'm gonna just kind of stay conservative. The last three or four games I've been on a spectacular guessing run here. Next Kelly. Next up, Jamis Winston in the saints visit the Carolina Panthers. One o'clock Eastern Carolina. Let's start with the saints. Saints Fall to one and one. Remember they had to comeback win against the Falcons week one. And then yesterday was this three to three game deep into the second half. Nobody was scoring in this game and then New Orleans kind of fell apart. There was a brawl where Mike Evans just trucked marshawn lattimore. Tom Brady was ornery through a Microsoft. What do you call those things? Microsoft soft surface surface. Thank you, Spike. That to the ground. He apologized. It was it was. It was loud. It was lattimore talking smack to the sideline. Looked like Brady came over little bit to give him crap for talking crab to the sideline. Well, Brady wanted to flag on that past to Scotty Miller and then marshawn had something to stay there right and then four dead right away, protecting this quarterback that Mike Evans was clearly just waiting for it to blow up and Evans and Lattimore got ejected from the game. Jamis but we're not talking about the bucks yet. Jamis in defeat of forty for two, thirty six one touchdown, three picks. He was sacked six times. o Lave Five for eighty, Michael Thomas six for sixty five and a touchdown, but that's all you need to know. The saints were minus four in turnovers. They had five of them to the bucks one, and they had nine pen at least for sixty yards. That Buck's defense is good. Saints lose it ten. And then there's Carolina. Carolina falls to O and two. Is Matt Rule, the leader in the clubhouse for first coach, fire leader. Let me tell you some halfway through that raiders game it was cliff Kingsbury. Yeah, except for the fact that he's in his second game, I would say the guy from Denver. What's his name? Hackett? Yeah, we'll get to that. But Carolina loses the giants yesterday nineteen to sixteen. Mayfield fourteen of twenty, nine for one, one touchdown. Note picks, sack twice. I used to do a podcast with the Brits over there. Dave Kellner was this guy, and he used to say things like Gil Tony Romo's performance was, how can I put this, lamentable, and that's how I feel about Baker Mayfield. It's like lamentable. I was like, yes, it was lamentable, exactly. Christian McCaffrey, if we beat them in lamentable, wouldn't you say? Fifteen, fifteen carries for one, oh two for McCaffrey. But Carolina was minus two in turnovers. They had to the giants had none. They fumbled the opening kickoff. That led to a giants field goal. Then the subsequent driver, Robby Anderson, fumbled, led led to the giants leading six to nothing. So all that helped the panthers under Matt Rule. Will leave it at this. Do you know what their record is? When they've allowed seventeen plus points? Seventeen plus, not like I'm not talking about twenty four thirty. Seventeen plus points under Matt Rule, when they've allowed seventeen plus one in twenty five straight. Oh, is that not the most horrible stat that is unbelievably horrible. Seventeen. I just never had an offense like. I mean, I get it. It rule has been terrible, but just no weapons. There, no weapons. I just said in New Orleans, minus three, just as a sort of lazy, I don't know what else to put it, because Carolina can't be favored. Oh No, no, you're you're right on. I mean it's three. I'M gonna open through my part raids actually come to two and a half. All offseason I was saying, I don't I don't know this love for the saints. I mean I had a lot of again, another team. I have a lot of super bowl money on him, a lot of money to win the division. You had a new coach, you know, a quarterback who's really not played for a while and even now he tends to keep both teams in the game at the same time. Jeff Vogel, I just mentioned, had a great line. He's there's rumors of of Winston having broken ribs and rumors of Brady having a broken marriage. His analysis, and I thought that was hilarious. Jamis does has four cracks in his back, but nuts can't get worse, they say. Yeah. So Anyway, I'm an open three, but if I see a trending lower, I'd probably go a little lower. Afternoon Games, Prime Time Games, guessing lines, coming back the numbers game on the sports betting network. Back on the numbers game live from the South Point Hotel, cause you know, tip of the Strip skill Alexander guessing lines with Christie Andrews, who you said you want to make a twitter coming, a very quick twitter comming. People ask me questions and you know and I do my best to answer everyone. Might don't. I'm far from perfect, but here's my one rule. If you're gonna ask me a question, you have to at least be following me answer. I got guys asked me quite they don't even follow me. You know, you gotta even if you're it's a con job. You're gonna follow me for thirty seconds. So I answer you, then you UN follow me. Knock yourself out. They have to at least be following weeks like for me to answer your question. Like todd right used to answer like hundreds of emails from our listeners when we would do appearances for fantasy football, and then it was like tell you what, I'm gonna put a little code in the middle of my podcast. You have to use the code for me answer it. And he was like, let me see, yeah, I guts and then I look, they don't even follow me. Why am I answering this game? There it is a twitter comment from Chrissy. I don't think that's unreasonable. I don't think so. Are we at the afternoon. Yeah, Harry Kelly, we are finally only four in the afternoon. Next week, one of those weekends. Yeah, four, oh five eastern time. Get things started with the Jaguars at the chargers to one and one. Teams obviously got their very different ways. Jacksonville with its eighth straight win versus Indie at Jacksonville. Can you believe? That? Just an insane that's an insane trend, stat whatever. The colts have a lot of insane trends right. They hadn't won an opening games since two. The thirteen can't win at Jacksonville to save their lives. Trevor Lawrence, as we talked about, in victory. Twenty four to nothing. Again, maybe you thought the colts wouldn't cover. Maybe you thought the colts wouldn't win. Do you think they're gonna lose? Twenty four to nothing, Trevor Lawrence? Twenty five of thirty for two, thirty five, two touchdowns, no picks and he was not sacked. Christian Kirk in his ten million a year six or seventy eight and two touchdowns. The Jaguars were plus three in turnovers, as we mentioned, and as we also mentioned, they had a time of possession margin. Thirty eight, fifteen five against the colts and Jacksonville was going forward. Man Doug Peterson doing his thing. Fourth and three at the INDE forty seven, eight oh five left in the first quarter in a scoreless game. Went for it, converted, led to a Jacksonville touchdown and seven and nothing lead. Then fourth and one at the Indie five, the five yard line. Up Seventeen to nothing. He eschoose, just wanted to use that word. The field goal. Twenty two seconds left in the third quarter. Touchdown past trevor to Kirk. That made it twenty four to nothing, the eventual final score. And then the chargers. They'll be on extra restroom where they lost to the chiefs last Thursday night. Herbert. Thirty three or forty eight and victory for three, thirty four, three touchdowns, one picksack twice Williams, Mike Williams, eight catches from one thirteen and a touchdown off the deckler fourteen for thirty nine on the ground, nine for fifty five. In terms of his receiving chargers won the total yards battle four oh one to three nineteen. Herbert Herbert is good to go here. Kelly. Is that the latest. It appears as if he is, but I mean he's officially listened. His questionable and I'm practiced or anything that this week. So I'd be I'd be careful, you know, laying whatever it is you're gonna you know, we haven't gotten that a number yet. Be careful with that. Assuming he plays. We're assuming he plays right now and everybody has a number up. I'd say six. If he's playing, okay, it's seven. Pretty much everywhere my numbers come to six and a half. I gotta Tell You, it's pretty impressed with the Jaguars. I mentioned the stat about the protection that they gave Lawrence and if you give any competent quarterback in this league that kind of protection, they're gonna pick you apart. I don't know if they could do that against that chargers defensive line. You know, the colts offensive line was horrible, but I gotta tell that was our the one really bad game of the day yesterday was the colts and the Jaguars. Everybody was on the Jaguars. Couldn't get colts money for anything. Um, I think this team is pretty good and you know they've got Peterson now the coach. He's pretty good coach, you know. I know he had some problems at the end in Philly, but there that's a pretty good team. Yeah, I'm an open seven. I don't want to mess with that too much, but I kind of like six and a half a little better. I think seven to me. We talked about this last week. What's your next number? What's your next number? If you open the game seven, you want a seven and a half? I don't think so. I think there's a better chance to go to six and a half and to go to seven and a half. So that was seven is a good number, but I would six and a half is better than seven half. That was interesting what you talked about that last because I've never heard you put it that way before. Yeah, like I said, I was fortunate that I I was a teenager and having lunch and dinner with Bob Martin. I mean, who gets to do that? It's like, you know, like a physicist sitting out with Stephen Hawking, you know what I mean? There's just an incredible education I got. I think it's I think it's a good point on this game though, too, because this was the one side I actually bet yesterday on the openers. took. Just took a speculative small bed of Jaguars plus seven and thinking, thinking it's probably we probably move six and a half of we get better, you know better, Herbert News, or everybody's gonna jump on a seven and a half of that pops before then. So uh, yeah, it was just a little small bet on me for Jaguars plus seven. Yesterday another one of those teams. Jaguars like. Do we think we know what they are? I don't know. Nobody you know, but there's a lot of good things right now with that team. That looked tangible, not just luck. You imagine this time last year the whole orb Meyer, whole Urban Meyer thing. What a disaster. Nebraska is clamoring the higher him. He might work in Nebraska. Who knows, it might pick their pocket like less miles did the Kansas. About the Jayhawks. By the way, packers at the bucks, packs at the bucks. Well, the packers got me through, one of my two survivors. That got me through yesterday's go st five or I hit it too. Kev hit it. Kevi must be reading emails or something. Uh, packers, as you said, what is this? Packers at the bucks, you said packers got it done, as we said, last night against the bears, just absolutely. I mean it did. At one point again, the bears had a chance to cut it to one score, but they went shotgun from the doorstep and Justin fields did not get in. But the packers win at twenty seven to ten. They get to one in one. Rogers Nineteen for twenty five and victory. Two, thirty four, two touchdowns. No, Pixie was sacked three times. Aaron Jones fifteen carries for one, thirty two and to touchdown. Three catches for thirty eight in a touchdown, and Sammy Watkins three for nine three. They out time of possessioned Chicago, if you will, thirty seven fifty five. And then there's Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is two and Oh, what a light feeling too. And oh it is after they crushed Dallas the first Sunday night of the year, nineteen to three, where Dallas just looked absolutely awful with dad getting hurt, and then yesterday floundering until late before the defense bailed them mount and they beat the saints. Brady eighteen of thirty four for one ninety. One touchdown was not picked, sacked, ones, thirteen first downs. That's all Tampa Bay had yesterday and they only had two hundred sixty total yards, but they were plus four in turnovers. Five turnovers by the saints themselves. Eight penalties for the bucks for one, oh one. They were down three to nothing. Was the fourth and inches at the New Orleans eight, with twelve seventeen left in the second quarter, they went forward and failed. They just have all kinds of trouble with the saints, but they got it done. A pair of Jamal Dean picks in the fourth quarter really helped the cause for the bucks. They went at twenty to ten. So they're two and oh. The packers of one and one. I would imagine the bucks would have to be favored by a little more than a field goal. I said bucks by four. It's a solid three. My numbers come to two. You know, there's things are not completely right with this bucks team. They're not, you know, and I tweeted out yesterday. Through seven quarters Brady had entered engineered one offensive touchdown. They got a little lucky at the end. I mean those twenty points. I'm not sure how much brady had to do with it. Our friend Brian Grayson, who's friend of the show. He tweeted after I tweeted that, he tweeted at me. He said, you know, this could be like Peyton mannings last year, where the defense carries him and Brady does what he has to do and they could still win the Super Bowl, and I had to agree with them because their defense, I think, is terrific, one of the best in the League. Um, boy there. You know, like I said last segment when I talked about Jeff vogels and Brady may have a broken marriage. Don't tell me that doesn't mess up your playing. I mean, may wait you here. He's taking all Wednesdays off, taking all Wednesdays off, had the mysterious eleven day absence. There's something that ain't right and I'll go back again. Let's see how I'll see what Felika says about me mentioning the seventies steelers, but one they won two straight super bowls and their first, their first two super bowls, Terry Bratcher went through a divorce. He was with Jojo starbuck at the time, what skater. He was going through a divorce at that time. And they, I don't think they missed the playoffs, but they had a horrible year at a horrible year coming off two straight super bowl wins, and later on we found out, okay, I was going through that divorce and I think that really missed up the whole team. I don't know what's going on with Brady. He obviously he's not telling people like me and you, but something is not right. First of all, he looks skinny. I don't know where he lost. He looks he looks gaunt. That's a beautiful word that I would be beat me to the punch on that. He looks gaunt. Something ain't right there and I don't know if Rogers got healthy and connected with all his receivers all of a sudden, but I think three, to me, is I think that's too high. I'm Anna Open three because that's what it is, like a blanket, but I I like the packers in this. See, I'm going the other way because this and this gets back to what we're saying. If your preseason convictions on things were correct, chances are you've done pretty well the first couple of weeks of the season, and obviously the opposite would would be the case as well. But Kelly and I we we've said it. I think parlay and I may have said it too like I'm just I just don't think the packers are going to be that great this year and so for me I will still take that buccaneers defense at home against the packers. And I what's the number three? Yeah, I think I'm taking the bucks here. I might end up betting that as well. I've met the under last night on this game. Forty seven and a half. A shop hung out here it was forty seven and a half. Yeah, now, so I got through with the with the packers, one of the two teams I got through with yesterday, and survivor. Remember First Week of Circus survivorty out of three entries, Fifty six point five percent knocked out. Yesterday, out of the remaining three, six hundred and seventy three more knocked out. Twenty five point one percent, most of those browns and bengals. Wow, we are down to two thousand and ten coming into tonight. Moreticum numbers game. Visa, the sports betting network numbers game sports betting network, starts your football season on the right foot. By subscribing to visa pro, get full access to everything we do, including our daily picks. At a glance recap of the top lads made by visa show host and guests. Seven video season prep including our weekly college and pro football matchup guides covering every game all season long. Pro Tools like our exclusive betting splits and pro tips updated every hour with actual insights up to to up your betting game. Rather, sign up on our discounted football special and get visa pro access to everything we do from now through the Super Bowl for only a hundred seventy five dollars, or say, fifty percent off monthly price. With an annual subscription and bet smarter all year long. Visa Dot com slash subscribers, where you go for all your options and become part of the sports betting network. Gil Alexander Christie Andrews Kelly Bitlin guesting lines for week three in the national football league. I think I like Tampa Bay best of the bunch. WE'RE gonna agree to disagree. Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh so far standing out for me. All right, we have a couple more afternoon games here that we do Sunday for five PM Eastern time, Falcons at the seahawks. Buy Your tickets now. You are not required to watch this professional football game. The O and two Falcons, the one in one seahawks. The Falcons made it very interesting against the rams yesterday. They had a shot at winning this and breaking more survivor players hearts. Marcus Marriott, Hawaiian pronunciation. Seventeen, twenty six one, two touchdowns, two picks. He was sacked three times. Drake London, eight for eighties, six and a touchdown, also at two point conversion. He looked good. Falcons a fourth and one at the rams thirteen, with five thirty left in the second quarter, when they were down fourteen and nothing, they went for converted on a play where Mariota slipped, got up, completed a past still ended up kicking the field goal to make it fourteen to three. But you're like, all right, Marcus, let's do this. Only two D sixty one total yards for the falcons. But in the fourth quarter of the falcons outscored the rams seventeen to three and had the ball with a chance to win this and, by the way, to it. We'll get. We'll get to more of the sequence of this when we get to the rams. But do we have to have the discussion about when you're down eight and you go for two and you knock it down to six, because the rams, the Falcons, did this yesterday. They were down thirty one to seventeen. They scored on a block punt and they went for two and they got it to drake London to make it thirty one to twenty five. And so again, for those who are like wire teams doing this, the math bears it out. I don't know how else to say it. There's a couple of ways to look at it, because it goes it's countering, tuitive to our to our football brains for all the years we've watched football. But there's a couple of ways to look at it. One the difference between the difference between eight points and seven points. The difference between being downs eight points and seven points is is less than the difference between being down between seven and six points. And the other way to look at it is the the expected point of a extra point and the two point a version are roughly the same. So, given that there is no downside to doing that, have a chance to win. Expected expected point percentage of conversion of the one point your percentage of conversion of the two points. So again, the difference between being down seven points and being down six points greater than the difference between being down seven and eight, and so that is why you go for it. There Rufus peabody, another friend of the show. He explains it pretty pretty well and I think Captain Jack Andrews has another little piece on it too. You know, smart, smart guys, and they go through it because it is counterintuitive. And when I was first presented with that I thought, I think you're nuts, and then you go through the math and say, oh, wait a second, you have a pretty good point here. Here, here's, here's what I would say, because there's the book. The math also tells you, by the way, when you're down four to go for two. Then that one is much more difficult. That one's much more because that one, that one. I the thing about that one is, wait a minute, but you're going from being down, you know, two touchdowns. Yeah, so that that one's more difficult. This one, this one's a little less difficult to understand anyway. And Seattle yesterday loses. UH, seattle loses to the Niners, which we'll get to. The niners and the tray lands, Injury Geno Smith and defeat twenty four of thirty for one, seven zero touchdowns, one picks. He was sacked twice. Tyler Lockett nine catches for one. Oh seven. The the seahawks only had fourteen first downs. My goodness, how many bad offensive performances if we highlighted here. Fourteen first downs, two sixteen total yards, only thirty six rushing for the Pete Carroll, I'm trying to run down your throat. Offense. Only thirty six rushing yards. Seahawks were minus three in turnovers. They had three, the niners had none. They had ten penalties for one, Oh six, and they were out. Time of possessioned against the niners thirty one forty. By the way, this note from Brady Henderson about Geno Smith. This is a random according to a lias via ESPN stats in Info, Geno smiths eighty percent completion rate. Remember, he was twenty four or thirty is the highest minimum of thirty pass attempts in a game in which a quarterbacks team didn't score a single offensive point since stats were first tracked for individual players in nineteen thirty two. Are going to big lips come time. Yes, we are. What's this? ATLANTA AT SEATTLE? Was that the game? What a terrible game. I don't Seattle by three. I said, uh, it's too everywhere. My power rating has come to two. And you know, quick note on Geno Smith. His H B R. Where am I at? It was fifty one point six, which I was surprised was that high, but you know, he did UH. You know, we played well despite not getting into the end zone. You know. So, Um, he's not terrible, he's not great, but he's not terrible. He's not terrible, he's not as a ringing endorsement. Yeah. So what's your number? My power rains came to two. It's too pretty much everywhere. So I think two is fine for an opening number. Well, respect for the Falcons, I guess next Kelly, final afternoon game. Final afternoon game is the rams at the cardinals. Rams at the cardinals. Okay, so we talked a little bit about both of these, but the rams do squeak by the Falcons in the end. Thirty Seven, Matthew Stafford, twenty seven, thirty six for two, seventy two, three touchdowns, two picks, sack wants Cooper Cup eleven for one, oh eight, two touchdowns. He did lose a fumble, a huge fumble. That gave the Falcons the ball back and a chance to win. Both teams in this game, the rams and the Falcons, had three turnovers. By the way, Rams led thirty one ten in the fourth quarter. They led by twenty one in the fourth quarter. Imagine if this had gone by the wayside. As well, they gave up a touchdown and make a thirty one to seventeen. And again, as I said, the ensuing drive, Rams Punter Riley Dixon had his punt blocked and returned for a touchdown by Lorenzo Carter, and then the two point conversion to cut it from eight to six, as we just discussed. Then it was the ensuing drive where Cup had the fumble and Atlanta took over at the rams. Thirty seven with three, twenty two left, but on third and thirteen at the rams, twenty four with one eighteen left, Mariota intercepted by Jalen Ramsey. By the way, Atlanta had a chance for a Hail Mary attempt at the end of regulation, but Mariotta couldn't even get it off. Sacked by Justin Hollins. Weren't. And then there's Arizona. What have we not said about them? Kyler Murray's final stats thirty one or forty nine and the win, the amazing come from behind win against the raiders. Thirty one, forty nine for two seventy seven, one touchdown, one pick sack once. Five carries for twenty eight yards and a touchdown. The amazing twenty one second eighty four point, eight yard, two point conversion, multiple fourth down conversions from kyler. Arizona. Twelve penalties for a hundred twenty yards. What do you say by Kingsbury? Unprepared? Unprepared Arizona has allowed, by the way, points on thirty eight consecutive drives inside the red zone when they're on defense. So here's just the first half versus the second half and overtime. Arizona and points. Minus Twenty points in the First Half, plus twenty six second half and overtime. Five first downs in the first half, twenty three first down second half and overtime. Eighty six total yards first half, three D twenty seven second half and overtime, and then yards a lowed two fifty eight in the first half. Sixty six is all they allowed in second half. It overtime. Rams will be favored. It'll be more than three. I'll say Ram's minds three and a half on the road. It's for a blanket for my power ratings come the four. There's some flaws on both these teams and I was checking out. I do a preseason ranking, you know, power rating. I've lowered the rams one and a half points from my preseason ranking. It feels like I maybe should lower the more net I've lowered the cardinals four points from my preseason ranking. I still think Kyler Murray is not that good. I do not like Kingsbury. I've been saying that from day one and I'm not changing I mean it was a miracle that they won yesterday and a bigger miracle that they even won by six. Yeah, that is that score could be very, very deceiving. So I mean my power rates come to four. That's what it is. That's what I'm gonna Open. But boy, this is this is a tough game. There's both these teams are pretty flawed, all right. Way, just thinking about survivor. Who the heck am I pick it next week? No, worry about that another day. Yeah, we gotta worry about those Thanksgiving and Christmas and you know the year. Oh, it's it's the I haven't even a tough part yet. Well, what's amazing again, the first year of survivor two years ago was circa was plus entries. It's two weeks and we've almost gotten there. From sixty three we're at two thousand ten. Man, Oh man, but there's nothing better than survivor. Yeah, but just looking at this at a glance, I have no idea right now. Well, of Kelly and I have all week to talk about survivor. Talk about a favorite teasers. Kelly, what are you in circumillions? How do you do one in three with Vikings pending tonight? A lot of those. Uh, I was on the opposite side a lot of those swings at the end of the Games yesterday and I was on the right side of all of them, and by right side I mean completely but lucky. But that's the NFL. You think I'm apologizing. hailes now Minnesota gets it done. It's a pair of four and ones for me in circumentals. Who Not that that's going to give me a quarter win? You can, you can win a contest going for in one, but you can't win a quarter going for and one. That's the that's the interesting part about that. Coming Back Primetime Games next, on guessing lines numbers game again Monday night. doubleheader tonight, and Kelly points this out. We might complain here on in the Pacific Time Zone. Hey, I wish the games you know, we could watch one full game and then started the second one. But for the East coasters this is a good deal that they overlap by a half. Yes, yeah, I would think so. Seven fifteen and eight thirty eastern time starts for those two. Yeah, I know last year we got the seven o'clock Pacific Time one for us. I think it was last year the year before. That was nice, but yeah, I think ten o'clock eastern time it's a little late for an NFL game and be starting. All three of us have grown up on the east coast, so we know we know it very well. Best part about living in the Pacific Time Zone Sports Times. Without question, lack of humidity. Was gonna say lack of mosquitoes. Number two. That would be my DC perspective on things. All right, Sunday night football. What do we got? Forty niners at the broncos. Well, good thing they didn't trade Jimmy Garop. I mean this is listen. We when when Las Vegas, Chris Matt Brown and I Matt Brown, Co host of the final countdown, with story. We bought a Tony here on the network when the three of us did the mega, the NFL preview megapod back in August. I said that loud. I was like why aren't this point? Aren't they just keeping them? Like what do they think that this is somehow like this is a super bowl ready team? And Matt and Chris Greed Co signed wholeheardly keep him. And so now Trey Lance, who was two of three for thirty yards, he suffers a season ending broken right angle, broken right ankle. Pardon me, you're thinking about right angle. I don't blame it's not a broken right Anglo broken right ankle on a play with two thirty three left in the first quarter. Poor kid, just awful to see. I mean it's gonna be like three years before he's actually played a football game. Had like two. Tim Hasselbeck said, you know, in the last one thousand days, do you know how many starts he's played in football? I'm talking about college, in pro one thousand six and Tim, you can't get better at anything not doing it. So, Malcolm gladwealth theory got have ten thousand hours you know what? Three hours the Beatles in Hamburg, Ten Tho hours. So Jimmy Garoppolo comes in, and remember the stat starting quarterbacks under Shanahan and San Francisco. Thirty one and fourteen with Garoppolo, nine and twenty nine with everyone else. Garoppolo ends up thirteen of twenty, one for one, four, one touchdown, note picks. He was sacked once. Debot Four for FIF three on the ground, five catches, forty four yards. They held Seattle. The two D sixteen total yards, thirty six rushing, as we mentioned, and they were plus three in turnovers and had the time of possession lead to thirty one forty total domination. Only one penalty for the niners the whole game. Twenty six yards. I'm guessing that was a p I. They're at Denver, another one of my survivors. Another one of my survivors, Kev. Someone helped from the corner. I think he is answering emails right now. Kevin Keiv's like I got things to do. Kill. Denver Beats Houston Sixteen to nine. Good God, is Denver bad? Wilson Fourteen for thirty, one for two, nineteen, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked three times, but if a two minute warning of the first half, do you know what his numbers were? Four of fifteen, forty eight. Almost halfway through the game, courtland sutton ends up with seven catches for one to Denver had thirteen penalties for a hundred yards. This a week after they had twelve penalties for a hundred six yards in that debacle versus Seattle. That's twenty five penalties for two hundred six yards in two weeks. That's how poorly prepared this team is under Nathaniel Hackett. Twenty five penalties for two hundred six yards, and so many of them are delay penalties. It got so bad, and I've never seen this in in my entire life of watching football, the Denver home crowd was chanting the countdown of the play clock. Have you ever seen that before your life at a football game? It was like a free throw. Three bizarre these first two weeks. I mean they've had problems with it. It's it's crazy in this guy he said he sounds like a doofist two when he gets on the on the MIC post. He's out of breath. He's out of breath. Yeah, I just doesn't seem prepared at all to talk about the decisions he's made. The whole game. He's walking around the sideline. He's got that little chart that he's writing down. I think Parlay said he's two weeks into the season. He's the worst coach in the NFL. Yeah, Kelly said Du Fus he think he's the worst coach in the NFL. I don't even know. It's two weeks in. He asked to be Um. By the way, the Broncos lost both Jerry Judy and Patrick'Sir Tan, their two first round draft picks in previous years, here, to shoulder injuries in the first half. They never returned. But just to give you know, Denver. And then the sequence says it all well. First of all, DENVER. Fourth and two at the fifty. There down nine to six, six thirty five left and the third quarter they went forward. They converted Wilson to Sunton for six yards. Okay, but then three plays later it's third and one at the Houston forty, at the Houston thirty five, they're down nine to six. Third and one at the Houston thirty five, they're down nine to six and they call a tight end option. Andrew Beck in a very poorly space tight end option where the running back was not nearly far enough away from him. They lose a yard. Then, instead of going for it on fourth again, like they had just done at midfield, they decided to go for the game tying field goal, but they get called for delay and have to punt. That sequence sums up the first two weeks of Nathaniel Hackett right there. Somehow they cobbled together a victory, but their fans are chanting down the play clock. UH, San Francisco minus three on the road. By the way, I Bet San Francisco once the niners decided to keep him this offseason. I bet them to win the NFC and the Super Bowl. I'll say niners minus three. It's funny. You'll lose your starting quarterback and I haven't updated my futures. That's going to be the next thing I do. After I'M gonna lower the niners because they've got a better chance. Uh Boy, you know my numbers come to San Francisco a half a point favorite, so pick them. Essentially, let's pick them everywhere really, and I'm looking at this game. No chance. I could bet denver and give me baby. Comes down to any kind of a coaching matchup, forget about it. This would be off the charts. This is a pick up. This is a pick him game everywhere. I even see them favored in one spot, I would say one spot. Yeah, I believe there was a shop or two here in town that opened up Denver one. Yesterday I still see a one hanging out there. Man. I mean, like I said, my numbers something and I always say it just gives you a place to start power ratings. But I'm looking at power ratings and I have half a point fair, which is pick them. There's no chance I could bet denver in this game. Zero chance I could bet. Then you know Russell Wilson got his hand, got jam the Hammer Finger last year. We Thought, oh well, he's tough coming back from the injury. He may not be good anymore. He I was just going to say that. Remember I've always said how feared I was of this guy for years and years and years. I think he is taking a step downhill. He is not the same quarterback and they just gave him like what twod some million the sign here. I think they were waiting for that ownership to go through. UH, he is not as good as he was. Some of US might have been for M v P Kelly. Monday night. Monday night football, NFC East battle. Cowboys at the giants Dallas. One and one. Cooper rush, nineteen of thirty one yesterday to thirty five. One touchdown, no picks, sack once and the cowboys win over the bengals. Noah Brown, five for ninety. One touchdown. Um. Cowboys had a fourth and two at their own twenty nine left in the first quarter. Rushed to Brown for seventeen. Six plays later, rushed to Brown, nine yard touchdown pass. That put the cowboys up seven and nothing. They were on their way. Giants there two and Oh, and they could be four and oh or six and two based on the schedule. Giants beat the panthers. Daniel Jones. Thirty Four for one, seventy six. One touchdown, no pick sack three times. Stay queventy two. Giants only had two sixty five total yards in victory. They gave up only two seventy five. But again they were plus two and heard overs. I mean, I'll pick them. I guess it's at New York. Right, it's at New York. I made the giants too. It's pretty much three everywhere. Uh. And, by the way, you gotta Mend my I'm gonna open the niners at one point favorite. I'm not going with the pick him anyway. This is from Aaron shots, just the preview of the giants, probably after beating the cooper rush cowboys. Here's a list of the worst three and O teams by D v O A. Can you listen? Down and the giants or a month now? That or not three and oh yet, you know, but if I mean their favorite this week, they'd be one of the worst according to the D v O a. So I think they've been pretty lucky. Anyway, it is three everywhere. I'M gonna open three because that's you know, I don't want to mess with that, but if I see it going lower, I'm definitely gonna go I think. I think the niners and the bucks are my favorite two blades of the week based on this exercise. By the way I see it, two and a half. I'M gonna make sure to monitor practice reports for bang up quarterbacks this week, for example, that chargers linel go wildly changing based on Justin Herbert News. That's your pro tip for the hour. We do what every hour on visa across every show, so that means at least twenty every single day. They're all available for visa pro subscribers only at visa dot com, where you can sort them by sport and by show. Appreciated what Barney Line next at visa these sports betting network