New polling out of Virginia is raising serious questions about Abigail Spanberger’s strength in the governor’s race. Once seen as a dominant frontrunner, Spanberger is now facing declining approval ratings and growing resistance from key voter blocs.

In this episode, Ryan sits down with polling expert Chaz Nuttycombe, executive director of State Navigate, to break down one of the most fascinating and tightly contested political landscapes in the country.

Why are recent Virginia polls diverging from expectations? What makes a poll truly accurate in today’s volatile political climate? And which voter groups are driving the biggest shifts ahead of the next election?

Chaz explains how his team outperformed other pollsters by adjusting for turnout trends, party ID shifts, and real-world voting behavior—offering a behind-the-scenes look at how modern polling actually works.