As we head to the polls this weekend, election analyst Ben Raue has been calculating the path to victory for the major parties. 

The Coalition needs to pick up 18 seats to win, while if Labor loses four seats, they lose their majority.

But as the electorate shifts in all kinds of surprising ways, the path to victory is becoming increasingly complicated for the major parties.

Today, analyst at The Tally Room Ben Raue, on the seats that will decide the election – and why Victoria matters more than ever.

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Guest: Analyst at The Tally Room, Ben Raue.

Photo: AAP / Lukas Coch